Czarni Sosnowiec W v Akademia Piłkarska LG W prediction · Ekstraliga Women

Full timeGraded 18 Oct 01:51

Czarni Sosnowiec W 1–1 Akademia Piłkarska LG W CZARNI SOSNOWIEC W WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · WRONGBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTOVER 3.5 · WRONG2–0 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Czarni Sosnowiec W win~~80%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~1.424

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

AI match analysis

Pass

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Czarni Sosnowiec W are clear favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Czarni Sosnowiec W 80%, draw 12%, Akademia Piłkarska LG W 8%. Over 2.5 goals 72%, both teams to score 51%.

The AI’s read on Czarni Sosnowiec W v Akademia Piłkarska LG WBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

Czarni Sosnowiec W win80%

Draw12%

Akademia Piłkarska LG W win8%

Kick-offSAT 17 OCT · 12:00

RoundMatchday 8

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Czarni Sosnowiec W

Akademia Piłkarska LG W

13Days since last match14

Last match: 4 Oct · Ekstraliga Women

Last match: 3 Oct · Ekstraliga Women

1Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
3	Czarni Sosnowiec W	5	+12	13
4	Akademia Piłkarska LG W	7	+2	13

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · czarni sosnowiec w winFirst published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

80% The market–

Us80%

We make Czarni Sosnowiec W an 80% chance to win. The model expects 3.0–0.8, and 2–0 is the single most likely score at 10%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Czarni Sosnowiec W v Akademia Piłkarska LG W~~2.95 – 0.80

~~Form · last six in Ekstraliga Women this season · since 31 July~~W4 D1 L0 · W4 D1 L1

~~Table places · points 13 v 13~~3 v 4

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Czarni Sosnowiec W win	80%	–	–
Draw	12%	–	–
Akademia Piłkarska LG W win	8%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	72%	–	–
Both teams to score	51%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	88%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	51%	–	–
Czarni Sosnowiec W or draw	92%	–	–
Czarni Sosnowiec W clean sheet	45%	–	–
Akademia Piłkarska LG W clean sheet	6%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 2–0 at 10.1%

0123450 2.2 2.2 1 7.3 5.4 2.3 2 10.1 8.0 3.3 3 9.9 7.7 3.1 4 7.3 5.7 2.3 5 4.4 3.4

under 2% 5% 12%+Czarni Sosnowiec W down, Akademia Piłkarska LG W across0–5 goals a side shown (91.5% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 423 Ekstraliga Women matches up to 4 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Ekstraliga Women matches have gone over 2.5 in 73.7% of games this season, across 38 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 6 previous meetings since 2023/24 in every competition we cover, 2.50 goals a meeting; 2 of 6 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Czarni Sosnowiec W at home: 2.83 scored, 0.83 conceded a game (last 6). Akademia Piłkarska LG W away: 0.83 scored, 1.67 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

2.95 goals for Czarni Sosnowiec W, 0.80 for Akademia Piłkarska LG W. Most likely score 2–0.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

6 meetings since 2023/24

~~Goals a meeting~~2.50

~~Over 2.5~~2 of 6

~~Both scored~~0 of 6

~~Last meetings~~AKA 1–0 CZA · CZA 4–0 AKA · AKA 0–0 CZA · CZA 6–0 AKA

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Ekstraliga Women this season · since 31 July

CZARNI SOSNOWIEC W

WDWWW5–0 · 3–3 · 3–0 · 2–0 · 2–0

AKADEMIA PIŁKARSKA LG W

LWWWDW1–2 · 2–1 · 2–1 · 2–1 · 1–1 · 3–1

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	GKS Katowice W	6	+15	16
2	Górnik Łęczna W	6	+12	15
3	Czarni Sosnowiec W	5	+12	13
4	Akademia Piłkarska LG W	7	+2	13
5	Pogon Szczecin W	7	+7	12
6	UJ Krakow W	6	0	10
7	Legia W	7	−4	9
8	Rekord Bielsko-Biala W	7	−8	6
9	UKS Łódź W	6	−7	5
10	Lech Poznan W	6	−9	4
11	Slask Wroclaw W	7	−9	3
12	Sleza Wroclaw W	6	−11	1