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Wieczysta Kraków v Wisla Plock

Wieczysta Kraków

3–0Full time

Wisla Plock

Ekstraklasa · FRI 9 OCT · Stadion Miejski im. Henryka Reymana

Full timeGraded 9 Oct 19:31

Wieczysta Kraków 3–0 Wisla Plock WIECZYSTA KRAKÓW WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Wieczysta Kraków win~~41%

~~The market said~~44%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.525

~~The market’s Brier score~~0.479

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay0 notes · 18 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said Wieczysta Kraków win at 41%.
71′SUBSTITUTION · 55' Wieczysta Kraków · On: Lisandro Semedo · Off: Efthymios Koulouris Corrected
71′🟨 YELLOW · 58' Kamil Pestka · Wieczysta Kraków
71′SUBSTITUTION · 59' Wisla Plock · On: Dion Gallapeni · Off: Jurica Pršir Corrected
71′SUBSTITUTION · 59' Wisla Plock · On: Said Hamulic · Off: Łukasz Sekulski Corrected
71′SUBSTITUTION · 60' Wisla Plock · On: Fabian Hiszpański · Off: Olaf Kobacki Corrected
71′🟨 YELLOW · 64' Sidnei·Tavares · Wisla Plock
71′⚽ GOAL · 68' Wieczysta Kraków 2–0 Wisla Plock · Lisandro Semedo (assist Kamil Pestka)
71′SECOND HALF Wieczysta Kraków 2–0 Wisla Plock
74′SUBSTITUTION · 75' Wieczysta Kraków · On: Bartosz Bialek · Off: José Antonio de la Rosa Garrido Corrected
74′SUBSTITUTION · 75' Wieczysta Kraków · On: Petar Pusic · Off: Tobias Christensen Corrected
83′SUBSTITUTION · 75' Wisla Plock · On: Deni Jurić · Off: Samuel Akere Corrected
83′SUBSTITUTION · 75' Wisla Plock · On: Krystian Pomorski · Off: Sidnei·Tavares Corrected
83′🟨 YELLOW · 76' Aleksandar Djermanovic · Wieczysta Kraków
85′⚽ GOAL · 85' Wieczysta Kraków 3–0 Wisla Plock · Lisandro Semedo
86′⚽ GOAL · 86' Wieczysta Kraków 3–0 Wisla Plock · Bartosz Bialek
95′⚽ GOAL · 95' Wieczysta Kraków 3–0 Wisla Plock · Lisandro Semedo
95′⚽ GOAL · 96' Wieczysta Kraków 3–0 Wisla Plock · Lisandro Semedo
FTFULL TIME Wieczysta Kraków 3–0 Wisla Plock
FTWieczysta Kraków 3–0 Wisla Plock · Wieczysta Kraków win: right · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle; a marked row was checked against the match’s final record afterwards.

Timeline

Events will appear when the match starts.

Pre-match prediction

Wieczysta Kraków win41%

Draw28%

Wisla Plock win31%

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Match information

FRI 9 OCT · 17:00

Venue · Stadion Miejski im. Henryka Reymana

Referee · Bartosz Frankowski

The game so far

Recorded statistics

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Players on the pitch

Recorded line-ups

Line-ups

Wieczysta Kraków

3-4-3

77 M. Kochalski

15 A. Djermanovic

16 A. Milic

55 D. Dujmovic

4 K. Fila

10 T. Christensen

20 M. Maigaard

33 K. Pestka

19 J. de la Rosa

9 E. Koulouris

12 L. Piazon

Coach · Zeljko Kopic

Substitutes

1 · A. Mikulko

17 · K. Dankowski

27 · M. Vojtko

13 · K. Zagrodzki

70 · P. Pusic

8 · B. Lederman

97 · T. Mras

88 · C. Lungoyi

23 · Miki Villar

21 · B. Bialek

7 · L. Semedo

Wisla Plock

3-4-3

12 R. Leszczynski

4 M. Haglind-Sangre

35 M. Kaminski

34 A. Silva

21 Z. Rogelj

18 J. Prsir

5 S. Tavares

23 P. Kun

57 S. Akere

20 L. Sekulski

7 O. Kobacki

Coach · Adam Majewski

Substitutes

26 · J. Burek

44 · P. Misiak

41 · M. Wieckowski

6 · K. Pomorski

88 · K. Savvidis

16 · F. Hiszpanski

91 · G. Kuchko

19 · D. Gallapeni

9 · D. Juric

10 · S. Hamulic

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Wieczysta Kraków

3-4-3

77 M. Kochalski

15 A. Djermanovic

16 A. Milic

55 D. Dujmovic

4 K. Fila

10 T. Christensen

20 M. Maigaard

33 K. Pestka

19 J. de la Rosa

9 E. Koulouris

12 L. Piazon

Coach · Zeljko Kopic

Substitutes

1 · A. Mikulko

17 · K. Dankowski

27 · M. Vojtko

13 · K. Zagrodzki

70 · P. Pusic

8 · B. Lederman

97 · T. Mras

88 · C. Lungoyi

23 · Miki Villar

21 · B. Bialek

7 · L. Semedo

Wisla Plock

3-4-3

12 R. Leszczynski

4 M. Haglind-Sangre

35 M. Kaminski

34 A. Silva

21 Z. Rogelj

18 J. Prsir

5 S. Tavares

23 P. Kun

57 S. Akere

20 L. Sekulski

7 O. Kobacki

Coach · Adam Majewski

Substitutes

26 · J. Burek

44 · P. Misiak

41 · M. Wieckowski

6 · K. Pomorski

88 · K. Savvidis

16 · F. Hiszpanski

91 · G. Kuchko

19 · D. Gallapeni

9 · D. Juric

10 · S. Hamulic

Our number · wieczysta kraków winPublished 9 Oct 17:06

41% The market44%

Us41%

~~Market~~44%

We make Wieczysta Kraków a 41% chance to win. The market has them at 44%. We are 3 points less confident than the market. The model expects 1.4–1.2.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Wieczysta Kraków win	41%	44%	−3
Draw	28%	26%	+1
Wisla Plock win	31%	30%	+1
Over 2.5 goals	50%	57%	−7
Both teams to score	55%	60%	−5
Over 1.5 goals	76%	79%	−3
Over 3.5 goals	28%	36%	−8
Wieczysta Kraków or draw	69%	70%	−1
Wieczysta Kraków clean sheet	29%	–	–
Wisla Plock clean sheet	24%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 10 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 13.1%

0123450 8.0 7.5 5.3 2.2 1 8.9 13.1 7.5 3.1 2 7.1 8.7 5.4 2.2 3 3.5 4.2 2.6 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Wieczysta Kraków down, Wisla Plock across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number7 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from the goals and expected goals of 1,608 Ekstraklasa matches up to 9 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Ekstraklasa matches have gone over 2.5 in 60.3% of games this season, across 78 played.

Head to head

No previous meeting in our records, so this step adds nothing.

Home and away form

Wieczysta Kraków at home: 1.00 scored, 1.50 conceded a game (last 2). Wisla Plock away: 1.33 scored, 1.83 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.45 goals for Wieczysta Kraków, 1.24 for Wisla Plock. Most likely score 1–1.

Line-ups

Confirmed 9 Oct 16:33. The model does not read them yet, so they did not move this number.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

0 meetings since 2021

No previous meeting of these two in our records. We say so rather than invent one.

Form · last six in Ekstraklasa

WIECZYSTA KRAKÓW

WLLDLD4–3 · 2–3 · 0–2 · 1–1 · 0–2 · 2–2

WISLA PLOCK

LLLDWW1–2 · 0–5 · 0–2 · 1–1 · 3–1 · 2–0

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Gornik Zabrze	9	+8	22
2	Legia Warszawa	9	+11	19
3	Lech Poznan	8	+10	19
4	Wisla Krakow	9	+5	17
5	Pogon Szczecin	8	+6	15
6	Korona Kielce	9	+2	15
7	Zaglebie Lubin	9	+1	15
8	Piast Gliwice	9	+1	13
9	GKS Katowice	8	+3	12
10	Jagiellonia	8	−1	12
11	Wisla Plock	8	−3	11
12	Widzew Łódź	9	0	9
13	Cracovia Krakow	9	−5	8
14	Radomiak Radom	9	−13	8
15	Slask Wroclaw	9	−4	6
16	Motor Lublin	9	−6	6
17	Wieczysta Kraków	8	−6	5
18	Raków Częstochowa	9	−9	3