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Widzew Łódź v Gornik Zabrze
Widzew Łódź
Gornik ZabrzeEkstraklasa · FRI 23 OCT · Stadion Widzewa Łódź
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Gornik Zabrze win at 37%.
- 1′Little has changed for our model: Gornik Zabrze 37% before kick-off, 37% now. 0–0 · 34–29–37
- 1′KICK-OFF Widzew Łódź v Gornik Zabrze
- 16′A goal for Widzew Łódź on 15′ — 1–0. 1–0 · 65–21–14
- 16′⚽ GOAL · 15' Widzew Łódź 1–0 Gornik Zabrze
- 16′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 16' Gornik Zabrze win: 37% at kick-off, 14% now
- 16′THE CALL SWINGS · 16' Widzew Łódź win is now our likeliest result at 65% (was Gornik Zabrze win 35%)
- 17′We said Gornik Zabrze at 37%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 14%. 1–0 · 65–21–14
- 17′Karol Świderski scores for Widzew Łódź on 16′ — 1–0. 1–0 · 65–21–14
- 22′SUBSTITUTION · 21' Widzew Łódź · On: Stipe Biuk · Off: mariusz fornalczyk
- 30′The goal count is tracking the 2.5 we expected. 1–0 · 67–22–11
- 30′🟨 YELLOW · 29' Malthe Hojholt · Gornik Zabrze
- 40′We said Gornik Zabrze at 37%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 9%. 1–0 · 69–22–9
- 41′⚽ GOAL · 41' Widzew Łódź 1–1 Gornik Zabrze
- 41′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 41' Gornik Zabrze win: 37% at kick-off, 31% now
- 41′THE CALL SWINGS · 41' Draw is now our likeliest result at 40% (was Widzew Łódź win 69%)
- 42′40′: Kacper Urbanski on the scoresheet for Gornik Zabrze, making it 1–1. 1–1 · 29–40–31
- 45′HALF-TIME Widzew Łódź 1–1 Gornik Zabrze
- 46′Gornik Zabrze have had 11 attempts to 6 and it is still 1–1. 1–1 · 28–42–30
- 46′SECOND HALF Widzew Łódź 1–1 Gornik Zabrze
- 47′12 shots for Gornik Zabrze, 7 the other way, and nothing between the sides on the scoreboard. 1–1 · 27–43–30
- 54′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 54' Gornik Zabrze win: 37% at kick-off, 27% now
- 59′We said Gornik Zabrze at 37%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 25%. 1–1 · 24–51–25
- 60′SUBSTITUTION · 60' Widzew Łódź · On: Sebastian Bergier · Off: Karol Świderski
- 60′SUBSTITUTION · 60' Widzew Łódź · On: Christopher Cheng · Off: Steve Kapuadi
- 61′We said Gornik Zabrze at 37%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 24%. 1–1 · 23–53–24
- 64′SUBSTITUTION · 63' Gornik Zabrze · On: Maksym Khlan · Off: Zeidane Inoussa
- 68′Gornik Zabrze have had 17 attempts to 8 and it is still 1–1. 1–1 · 19–60–21
- 70′We said Gornik Zabrze at 37%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 19%. 1–1 · 18–62–19
- 71′20 shots for Gornik Zabrze, 8 the other way, and nothing between the sides on the scoreboard. 1–1 · 18–64–19
- 72′🟨 YELLOW · 71' Giannis Papanikolaou · Widzew Łódź
- 73′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 73' Gornik Zabrze win: 37% at kick-off, 17% now
- 75′SUBSTITUTION · 74' Gornik Zabrze · On: Erik Prekop · Off: Sondre Liseth
- 79′SUBSTITUTION · 78' Widzew Łódź · On: Marcel Krajewski · Off: Jusuf Gazibegovic
- 79′SUBSTITUTION · 78' Widzew Łódź · On: Fran Alvarez · Off: Darian Males
- 84′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 84' Gornik Zabrze win: 37% at kick-off, 7% now
- 87′24 shots for Gornik Zabrze, 10 the other way, and nothing between the sides on the scoreboard. 1–1 · 5–89–6
- 90′We said Gornik Zabrze at 37%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 4%. 1–1 · 4–92–4
- 90′SUBSTITUTION · 88' Gornik Zabrze · On: Jarosław Kubicki · Off: Kacper Urbanski
- 90′🟨 YELLOW · 90' mariusz fornalczyk · Widzew Łódź
- FTFULL TIME Widzew Łódź 1–1 Gornik Zabrze
- FTWidzew Łódź 1–1 Gornik Zabrze · Gornik Zabrze win: wrong · Under 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: right
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
Close to call, with Gornik Zabrze just ahead.
The Pitchside prediction: Widzew Łódź 34%, draw 29%, Gornik Zabrze 37%. Over 2.5 goals 44%, both teams to score 51%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 17 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off
Widzew Łódź win34%
Gornik Zabrze win37%Kick-offFRI 23 OCT · 19:30
RoundMatchday 12
VenueStadion Widzewa Łódź
RefereeKarol Arys
Match timeline
All events
Widzew ŁódźMIN
Gornik ZabrzeEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Widzew Łódź
4-1-4-1
Gornik Zabrze
4-4-2
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Widzew Łódź
Gornik Zabrze
Last match: 16 Oct · Ekstraklasa
Last match: 18 Oct · Ekstraklasa
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Widzew Łódź
4-1-4-1
1 B. Drągowski
70 J. Gazibegović
25 P. Wiśniewski
14 Visus
3 S. Kapuadi
5 G. Papanikolaou
19 D. Males
8 E. Kornvig
6 J. Shehu
7 M. Fornalczyk
28 K. Świderski
Coach · M. Stolarski
Substitutes
79 · S. Biuk
99 · S. Bergier
17 · C. Cheng
48 · Franciszek Golański
30 · V. Ilić
20 · A. Klukowski
91 · M. Krajewski
18 · L. Selahi
90 · Ioan Vermeșan
10 · Fran Álvarez
4 · M. Żyro
Gornik Zabrze
4-4-2
1 P. Schulze
21 O. Zmrzlý
26 R. Janicki
20 Josema Sánchez
64 E. Janža
19 Peter
6 M. Højholt
82 K. Urbański
27 Z. Inoussa
8 Paulo Bernardo
23 S. Liseth
Coach · M. Gašparík
Substitutes
24 · K. Semik
11 · E. Prekop
99 · T. Loska
14 · J. Kubicki
33 · M. Khlan
29 · W. Kania
7 · Y. Ikia Dimi
34 · B. Durdov
28 · B. Donio
66 · M. Dietz
4 · P. Bochniewicz
2 · P. Warczak
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Widzew Łódź
4-1-4-1
1 B. Drągowski
70 J. Gazibegović
25 P. Wiśniewski
14 Visus
3 S. Kapuadi
5 G. Papanikolaou
19 D. Males
8 E. Kornvig
6 J. Shehu
7 M. Fornalczyk
28 K. Świderski
Coach · M. Stolarski
Substitutes
79 · S. Biuk
99 · S. Bergier
17 · C. Cheng
48 · Franciszek Golański
30 · V. Ilić
20 · A. Klukowski
91 · M. Krajewski
18 · L. Selahi
90 · Ioan Vermeșan
10 · Fran Álvarez
4 · M. Żyro
Gornik Zabrze
4-4-2
1 P. Schulze
21 O. Zmrzlý
26 R. Janicki
20 Josema Sánchez
64 E. Janža
19 Peter
6 M. Højholt
82 K. Urbański
27 Z. Inoussa
8 Paulo Bernardo
23 S. Liseth
Coach · M. Gašparík
Substitutes
24 · K. Semik
11 · E. Prekop
99 · T. Loska
14 · J. Kubicki
33 · M. Khlan
29 · W. Kania
7 · Y. Ikia Dimi
34 · B. Durdov
28 · B. Donio
66 · M. Dietz
4 · P. Bochniewicz
2 · P. Warczak
We make Gornik Zabrze a 37% chance to win. The market has them at 43%. We are 6 points less confident than the market. The model expects 1.2–1.3.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result and the chances each side creates and concedes, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 43% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Widzew Łódź win | 34% | 30% | +4 |
| Draw | 29% | 28% | +1 |
| Gornik Zabrze win | 37% | 43% | −6 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 44% | 49% | −5 |
| Both teams to score | 51% | 55% | −4 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 71% | 73% | −2 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 23% | 29% | −6 |
| Widzew Łódź or draw | 63% | 57% | +6 |
| Widzew Łódź clean sheet | 28% | – | – |
| Gornik Zabrze clean sheet | 31% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 9 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
8 meetings since 2021/22Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · last six in Ekstraklasa this season · since 30 Aug
WIDZEW ŁÓDŹ
GORNIK ZABRZE
The table
2026/27| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gornik Zabrze | 11 | +10 | 26 |
| 2 | Lech Poznan | 10 | +18 | 25 |
| 3 | Legia Warszawa | 11 | +13 | 23 |
| 4 | Pogon Szczecin | 10 | +9 | 21 |
| 5 | GKS Katowice | 11 | +6 | 18 |
| 6 | Wisla Krakow | 11 | +3 | 18 |
| 7 | Zaglebie Lubin | 11 | 0 | 18 |
| 8 | Piast Gliwice | 11 | +2 | 17 |
| 9 | Korona Kielce | 11 | −5 | 15 |
| 10 | Wisla Plock | 10 | −5 | 14 |
| 11 | Cracovia Krakow | 11 | −3 | 12 |
| 12 | Motor Lublin | 11 | −4 | 12 |
| 13 | Jagiellonia | 10 | −4 | 12 |
| 14 | Widzew Łódź | 11 | −1 | 10 |
| 15 | Wieczysta Kraków | 11 | −5 | 8 |
| 16 | Radomiak Radom | 11 | −15 | 8 |
| 17 | Slask Wroclaw | 11 | −8 | 6 |
| 18 | Raków Częstochowa | 11 | −11 | 6 |
The competition's standings before kick-off.
Lech Poznan
Legia Warszawa
Pogon Szczecin
GKS Katowice
Wisla Krakow
Zaglebie Lubin
Piast Gliwice
Korona Kielce
Wisla Plock
Cracovia Krakow
Motor Lublin
Jagiellonia
Wieczysta Kraków
Radomiak Radom
Slask Wroclaw
Raków Częstochowa