Radomiak Radom v Slask Wroclaw prediction · Ekstraklasa

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Radomiak RadomDrawSlask Wroclaw

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 17:00

Before kick-off · Match result · Radomiak Radom 43%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Radomiak Radom are narrow favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Radomiak Radom 43%, draw 26%, Slask Wroclaw 31%. Over 2.5 goals 57%, both teams to score 60%.

The AI’s read on Radomiak Radom v Slask WroclawBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 25 Oct 01:45 · locked at kick-off

Radomiak Radom win43%

Draw26%

Slask Wroclaw win31%

Kick-offSAT 31 OCT · 17:00

RoundMatchday 13

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Radomiak Radom

Slask Wroclaw

7Days since last match14

Last match: 24 Oct · Ekstraklasa

Last match: 17 Oct · Ekstraklasa

2Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
16	Radomiak Radom	12	−16	8
17	Slask Wroclaw	11	−8	6

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · radomiak radom winFirst published 25 Oct 01:45 · locked at kick-off

43% The market–

Us43%

We make Radomiak Radom a 43% chance to win. The model expects 1.6–1.3, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 12%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Radomiak Radom v Slask Wroclaw~~1.61 – 1.35

~~Form · last six in Ekstraklasa this season · since 28 Aug~~W0 D1 L5 · W0 D1 L5

~~Table places · points 8 v 6~~16 v 17

Built from every result and the chances each side creates and concedes, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Radomiak Radom win	43%	–	–
Draw	26%	–	–
Slask Wroclaw win	31%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	57%	–	–
Both teams to score	60%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	80%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	34%	–	–
Radomiak Radom or draw	69%	–	–
Radomiak Radom clean sheet	26%	–	–
Slask Wroclaw clean sheet	20%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 12.1%

0123450 6.2 6.1 4.7 2.1 1 7.5 12.1 7.5 3.4 2 6.7 9.0 6.0 2.7 3 3.6 4.8 3.2 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Radomiak Radom down, Slask Wroclaw across0–5 goals a side shown (99.0% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from the goals and expected goals of 1,633 Ekstraklasa matches up to 24 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Ekstraklasa matches have gone over 2.5 in 60.2% of games this season, across 103 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 9 previous meetings since 2021/22 in every competition we cover, 1.78 goals a meeting; 2 of 9 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Radomiak Radom at home: 1.17 scored, 1.67 conceded a game (last 6). Slask Wroclaw away: 1.17 scored, 2.00 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.61 goals for Radomiak Radom, 1.35 for Slask Wroclaw. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

9 meetings since 2021/22

~~Goals a meeting~~1.78

~~Over 2.5~~2 of 9

~~Both scored~~3 of 9

~~Last meetings~~RAD 1–1 SLA · SLA 1–2 RAD · RAD 0–3 SLA · SLA 2–0 RAD

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Ekstraklasa this season · since 28 Aug

RADOMIAK RADOM

DLLLLL0–0 · 0–2 · 1–5 · 2–3 · 0–1 · 3–4

SLASK WROCLAW

DLLLLL1–1 · 1–2 · 1–2 · 1–2 · 1–4 · 2–3

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Gornik Zabrze	12	+10	27
2	Lech Poznan	10	+18	25
3	Pogon Szczecin	11	+10	24
4	Legia Warszawa	11	+13	23
5	Wisla Krakow	12	+4	21
6	Piast Gliwice	12	+4	20
7	Zaglebie Lubin	12	0	19
8	GKS Katowice	12	+5	18
9	Korona Kielce	12	−4	18
10	Wisla Plock	10	−5	14
11	Motor Lublin	12	−4	13
12	Jagiellonia	10	−4	12
13	Cracovia Krakow	12	−5	12
14	Widzew Łódź	12	−1	11
15	Wieczysta Kraków	11	−5	8
16	Radomiak Radom	12	−16	8
17	Slask Wroclaw	11	−8	6
18	Raków Częstochowa	12	−12	6