GKS Katowice v Widzew Łódź prediction · Ekstraklasa

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

GKS KatowiceDrawWidzew Łódź

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 17:00

Before kick-off · Match result · GKS Katowice 49%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

GKS Katowice are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: GKS Katowice 49%, draw 26%, Widzew Łódź 25%. Over 2.5 goals 52%, both teams to score 54%.

The AI’s read on GKS Katowice v Widzew ŁódźBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 25 Oct 01:45 · locked at kick-off

GKS Katowice win49%

Draw26%

Widzew Łódź win25%

Kick-offSAT 31 OCT · 17:00

RoundMatchday 13

VenueStadion miejski w Katowicach

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

GKS Katowice

Widzew Łódź

7Days since last match8

Last match: 24 Oct · Ekstraklasa

Last match: 23 Oct · Ekstraklasa

2Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
8	GKS Katowice	12	+5	18
14	Widzew Łódź	12	−1	11

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · gks katowice winFirst published 25 Oct 01:45 · locked at kick-off

49% The market–

Us49%

We make GKS Katowice a 49% chance to win. The model expects 1.6–1.1, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 12%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · GKS Katowice v Widzew Łódź~~1.65 – 1.10

~~Form · last six in Ekstraklasa this season · since 5 Sept~~W3 D0 L3 · W0 D5 L1

~~Table places · points 18 v 11~~8 v 14

Built from every result and the chances each side creates and concedes, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
GKS Katowice win	49%	–	–
Draw	26%	–	–
Widzew Łódź win	25%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	52%	–	–
Both teams to score	54%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	77%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	30%	–	–
GKS Katowice or draw	75%	–	–
GKS Katowice clean sheet	34%	–	–
Widzew Łódź clean sheet	20%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 12.5%

0123450 7.5 6.2 3.9 1 9.7 12.5 6.3 2.3 2 8.7 9.4 5.2 3 4.8 5.2 2.9 4 2.2 5

under 2% 5% 12%+GKS Katowice down, Widzew Łódź across0–5 goals a side shown (99.2% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from the goals and expected goals of 1,633 Ekstraklasa matches up to 24 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Ekstraklasa matches have gone over 2.5 in 60.2% of games this season, across 103 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 7 previous meetings since 2021/22 in every competition we cover, 2.43 goals a meeting; 3 of 7 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

GKS Katowice at home: 2.50 scored, 1.17 conceded a game (last 6). Widzew Łódź away: 1.17 scored, 1.17 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.65 goals for GKS Katowice, 1.10 for Widzew Łódź. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

7 meetings since 2021/22

~~Goals a meeting~~2.43

~~Over 2.5~~3 of 7

~~Both scored~~3 of 7

~~Last meetings~~GKS 1–1 WID · GKS 1–0 WID · WID 3–0 GKS · WID 1–0 GKS

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Ekstraklasa this season · since 5 Sept

GKS KATOWICE

LWWWLL1–2 · 3–2 · 4–1 · 2–1 · 0–1 · 0–1

WIDZEW ŁÓDŹ

DDDLDD0–0 · 1–1 · 2–2 · 1–2 · 0–0 · 1–1

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Gornik Zabrze	12	+10	27
2	Lech Poznan	10	+18	25
3	Pogon Szczecin	11	+10	24
4	Legia Warszawa	11	+13	23
5	Wisla Krakow	12	+4	21
6	Piast Gliwice	12	+4	20
7	Zaglebie Lubin	12	0	19
8	GKS Katowice	12	+5	18
9	Korona Kielce	12	−4	18
10	Wisla Plock	10	−5	14
11	Motor Lublin	12	−4	13
12	Jagiellonia	10	−4	12
13	Cracovia Krakow	12	−5	12
14	Widzew Łódź	12	−1	11
15	Wieczysta Kraków	11	−5	8
16	Radomiak Radom	12	−16	8
17	Slask Wroclaw	11	−8	6
18	Raków Częstochowa	12	−12	6