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Model 1.2

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Znicz Pruszków v Ruch Chorzów

Znicz Pruszków
16:30Upcoming
Ruch Chorzów

Cup · WED 28 OCT · Stadion MZOS Znicz

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Znicz PruszkówDrawRuch Chorzów
Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 16:30
Before kick-off · Match result · Ruch Chorzów 43%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Ruch Chorzów are narrow favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Znicz Pruszków 31%, draw 25%, Ruch Chorzów 43%. Over 2.5 goals 54%, both teams to score 57%.

The AI’s read on Znicz Pruszków v Ruch ChorzówBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 22 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off

Znicz Pruszków win31%
Draw25%
Ruch Chorzów win43%

Kick-offWED 28 OCT · 16:30

RoundRound of 32

VenueStadion MZOS Znicz

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Znicz Pruszków

Ruch Chorzów

10Days since last match12

Last match: 18 Oct · II Liga - East

Last match: 16 Oct · I Liga

1Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · ruch chorzów winFirst published 22 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off
43% The market–
Us43%

We make Ruch Chorzów a 43% chance to win. The model expects 1.3–1.6, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 12%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Znicz Pruszków v Ruch Chorzów1.30 – 1.56
Form · Cup this season · since 5 AugW1 D1 L0 · W1 D0 L0

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Znicz Pruszków win31%––
Draw25%––
Ruch Chorzów win43%––
Over 2.5 goals54%––
Both teams to score57%––
Over 1.5 goals78%––
Over 3.5 goals32%––
Znicz Pruszków or draw57%––
Znicz Pruszków clean sheet21%––
Ruch Chorzów clean sheet28%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 11.9%
0123450 6.3 8.6 7.0 3.7 1 7.1 11.9 8.9 4.6 2 4.9 7.4 5.7 3.0 3 2.1 3.2 2.5 4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Znicz Pruszków down, Ruch Chorzów across0–5 goals a side shown (99.1% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

7 meetings since 2021/22
Goals a meeting2.43
Over 2.53 of 7
Both scored3 of 7
Last meetingsZNI 3–2 RUC · RUC 1–2 ZNI · ZNI 2–3 RUC · RUC 0–0 ZNI

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Cup this season · since 5 Aug

ZNICZ PRUSZKÓW

WD3–1 · 1–1

RUCH CHORZÓW

W2–0