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Model 1.2

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Puszcza Niepołomice v Wisla Plock

Puszcza Niepołomice
16:30Upcoming
Wisla Plock

Cup · WED 28 OCT

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Puszcza NiepołomiceDrawWisla Plock
Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 16:30
Before kick-off · Match result · Wisla Plock 37%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Close to call, with Wisla Plock just ahead.

The Pitchside prediction: Puszcza Niepołomice 33%, draw 30%, Wisla Plock 37%. Over 2.5 goals 38%, both teams to score 45%.

The AI’s read on Puszcza Niepołomice v Wisla PlockBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 22 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off

Puszcza Niepołomice win33%
Draw30%
Wisla Plock win37%

Kick-offWED 28 OCT · 16:30

RoundRound of 32

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Puszcza Niepołomice

Wisla Plock

4Days since last match9

Last match: 24 Oct · I Liga

Last match: 19 Oct · Ekstraklasa

3Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · wisla plock winFirst published 22 Oct 00:01 · updated 25 Oct 00:29 · locked at kick-off
37% The market–
Us37%

We make Wisla Plock a 37% chance to win. The model expects 1.1–1.2, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 14%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Puszcza Niepołomice v Wisla Plock1.06 – 1.15
Form · Cup this season · since 1 SeptW1 D0 L0 · W1 D0 L0

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published
35%40% 22 OCT 00:0125 OCT 07:47
Our probability · Wisla Plock win

Published at 38%, 37% now.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Puszcza Niepołomice win33%––
Draw30%––
Wisla Plock win37%––
Over 2.5 goals38%––
Both teams to score45%––
Over 1.5 goals65%––
Over 3.5 goals18%––
Puszcza Niepołomice or draw63%––
Puszcza Niepołomice clean sheet32%––
Wisla Plock clean sheet35%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 13.8%
0123450 11.4 12.2 7.3 2.8 1 11.1 13.8 7.7 3.0 2 6.1 7.1 4.1 3 2.2 2.5 4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Puszcza Niepołomice down, Wisla Plock across0–5 goals a side shown (99.8% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

No meetings since 2021/22

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2021/22.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Cup this season · since 1 Sept

PUSZCZA NIEPOŁOMICE

W2–0

WISLA PLOCK

W3–2