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Home › Football › Cup › Polonia Warszawa v Korona Kielce

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Polonia Warszawa v Korona Kielce

Polonia Warszawa
16:30Upcoming
Korona Kielce

Cup · THU 29 OCT · Stadion Polonii

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Polonia WarszawaDrawKorona Kielce
Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 16:30
Before kick-off · Match result · Korona Kielce 40%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Korona Kielce are narrow favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Polonia Warszawa 31%, draw 29%, Korona Kielce 40%. Over 2.5 goals 41%, both teams to score 47%.

The AI’s read on Polonia Warszawa v Korona KielceBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 23 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off

Polonia Warszawa win31%
Draw29%
Korona Kielce win40%

Kick-offTHU 29 OCT · 16:30

RoundRound of 32

VenueStadion Polonii

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Polonia Warszawa

Korona Kielce

6Days since last match5

Last match: 23 Oct · I Liga

Last match: 24 Oct · Ekstraklasa

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · korona kielce winFirst published 23 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off
40% The market–
Us40%

We make Korona Kielce a 40% chance to win. The model expects 1.1–1.2, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 14%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Polonia Warszawa v Korona Kielce1.08 – 1.24
Form · Cup this season · since 2 SeptW1 D0 L0 · W1 D0 L0

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Polonia Warszawa win31%––
Draw29%––
Korona Kielce win40%––
Over 2.5 goals41%––
Both teams to score47%––
Over 1.5 goals68%––
Over 3.5 goals21%––
Polonia Warszawa or draw60%––
Polonia Warszawa clean sheet29%––
Korona Kielce clean sheet34%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 13.6%
0123450 10.2 11.8 7.6 3.1 1 10.1 13.6 8.2 3.4 2 5.7 7.1 4.4 3 2.0 2.5 4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Polonia Warszawa down, Korona Kielce across0–5 goals a side shown (99.7% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

No meetings since 2021/22

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2021/22.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Cup this season · since 2 Sept

POLONIA WARSZAWA

W1–0

KORONA KIELCE

W1–0