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Model 1.2

Home › Football › Cup › Polonia Środa v Śląsk Wrocław II

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Polonia Środa v Śląsk Wrocław II

Polonia Środa
18:00Upcoming
Śląsk Wrocław II

Cup · WED 28 OCT · Stadion Sredzki

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Polonia ŚrodaDrawŚląsk Wrocław II
Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 18:00
Before kick-off · Match result · Polonia Środa 41%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Close to call, with Polonia Środa just ahead.

The Pitchside prediction: Polonia Środa 41%, draw 22%, Śląsk Wrocław II 37%. Over 2.5 goals 74%, both teams to score 73%.

The AI’s read on Polonia Środa v Śląsk Wrocław IIBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 22 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off

Polonia Środa win41%
Draw22%
Śląsk Wrocław II win37%

Kick-offWED 28 OCT · 18:00

RoundRound of 32

VenueStadion Sredzki

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Polonia Środa

Śląsk Wrocław II

4Days since last match5

Last match: 24 Oct · III Liga - Group 2

Last match: 23 Oct · II Liga - East

2Matches in previous 14 days3

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · polonia środa winFirst published 22 Oct 00:01 · updated 24 Oct 00:26 · locked at kick-off
41% The market–
Us41%

We make Polonia Środa a 41% chance to win. The model expects 2.0–1.9, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 8%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Polonia Środa v Śląsk Wrocław II1.96 – 1.87
Form · Cup this season · since 5 AugW1 D0 L0 · W2 D0 L0

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published
35%40%45% 22 OCT 00:0125 OCT 00:56
Our probability · Polonia Środa win

Published at 38%, 41% now.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Polonia Środa win41%––
Draw22%––
Śląsk Wrocław II win37%––
Over 2.5 goals74%––
Both teams to score73%––
Over 1.5 goals90%––
Over 3.5 goals53%––
Polonia Środa or draw63%––
Polonia Środa clean sheet15%––
Śląsk Wrocław II clean sheet14%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 8.2%
0123450 2.4 3.8 3.8 2.4 1 4.0 8.2 7.4 4.6 2.2 2 4.2 7.8 7.3 4.5 2.1 3 2.7 5.1 4.8 3.0 4 2.5 2.3 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Polonia Środa down, Śląsk Wrocław II across0–5 goals a side shown (97.3% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

No meetings since 2021/22

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2021/22.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Cup this season · since 5 Aug

POLONIA ŚRODA

W3–2

ŚLĄSK WROCŁAW II

WW3–2 · 3–1