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Model 1.2

Home › Football › Cup › Piast Gliwice v Gornik Zabrze

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Piast Gliwice v Gornik Zabrze

Piast Gliwice
19:30Upcoming
Gornik Zabrze

Cup · TUE 27 OCT · Stadion Miejski w Gliwicach

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Piast GliwiceDrawGornik Zabrze
Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 19:30
Before kick-off · Match result · Piast Gliwice 38%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Piast Gliwice are narrow favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Piast Gliwice 38%, draw 29%, Gornik Zabrze 33%. Over 2.5 goals 44%, both teams to score 50%.

The AI’s read on Piast Gliwice v Gornik ZabrzeBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 21 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off

Piast Gliwice win38%
Draw29%
Gornik Zabrze win33%

Kick-offTUE 27 OCT · 19:30

RoundRound of 32

VenueStadion Miejski w Gliwicach

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Piast Gliwice

Gornik Zabrze

3Days since last match4

Last match: 24 Oct · Ekstraklasa

Last match: 23 Oct · Ekstraklasa

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · piast gliwice winFirst published 21 Oct 00:01 · updated 25 Oct 00:29 · locked at kick-off
38% The market–
Us38%

We make Piast Gliwice a 38% chance to win. The model expects 1.3–1.2, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 14%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Piast Gliwice v Gornik Zabrze1.27 – 1.17

Built from every result and the chances each side creates and concedes, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published
35%40% 21 OCT 00:0125 OCT 00:56
Our probability · Piast Gliwice win

Published at 37%, 38% now.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Piast Gliwice win38%––
Draw29%––
Gornik Zabrze win33%––
Over 2.5 goals44%––
Both teams to score50%––
Over 1.5 goals71%––
Over 3.5 goals23%––
Piast Gliwice or draw67%––
Piast Gliwice clean sheet31%––
Gornik Zabrze clean sheet28%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 13.9%
0123450 9.9 9.2 6.0 2.3 1 10.1 13.9 7.5 2.9 2 7.0 8.1 4.7 3 3.0 3.5 2.0 4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Piast Gliwice down, Gornik Zabrze across0–5 goals a side shown (99.6% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

Last 10 meetings
Goals a meeting2.00
Over 2.53 of 10
Both scored4 of 10
Last meetingsGOR 1–1 PIA · GOR 2–1 PIA · PIA 0–1 GOR · PIA 2–0 GOR

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Cup this season · since 1 Sept

PIAST GLIWICE

W3–0

GORNIK ZABRZE

No matches in our record yet.