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Model 1.2

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Motor Lublin v Raków Częstochowa

Motor Lublin
16:30Upcoming
Raków Częstochowa

Cup · TUE 27 OCT · Motor Lublin Arena

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Motor LublinDrawRaków Częstochowa
Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 16:30
Before kick-off · Match result · Raków Częstochowa 40%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Raków Częstochowa are narrow favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Motor Lublin 34%, draw 26%, Raków Częstochowa 40%. Over 2.5 goals 57%, both teams to score 60%.

The AI’s read on Motor Lublin v Raków CzęstochowaBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 21 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off

Motor Lublin win34%
Draw26%
Raków Częstochowa win40%

Kick-offTUE 27 OCT · 16:30

RoundRound of 32

VenueMotor Lublin Arena

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Motor Lublin

Raków Częstochowa

4Days since last match3

Last match: 23 Oct · Ekstraklasa

Last match: 24 Oct · Ekstraklasa

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · raków częstochowa winFirst published 21 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off
40% The market–
Us40%

We make Raków Częstochowa a 40% chance to win. The model expects 1.4–1.6, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 12%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Motor Lublin v Raków Częstochowa1.43 – 1.55

Built from every result and the chances each side creates and concedes, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Motor Lublin win34%––
Draw26%––
Raków Częstochowa win40%––
Over 2.5 goals57%––
Both teams to score60%––
Over 1.5 goals80%––
Over 3.5 goals35%––
Motor Lublin or draw60%––
Motor Lublin clean sheet21%––
Raków Częstochowa clean sheet24%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 12.0%
0123450 6.1 7.1 6.2 3.2 1 6.4 12.0 8.6 4.5 2 5.2 7.9 6.1 3.2 3 2.5 3.8 2.9 4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Motor Lublin down, Raków Częstochowa across0–5 goals a side shown (99.0% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

6 meetings since 2021/22
Goals a meeting2.67
Over 2.53 of 6
Both scored3 of 6
Last meetingsRAK 2–1 MOT · MOT 1–1 RAK · RAK 2–0 MOT · RAK 2–2 MOT

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Cup this season · since 1 Sept

MOTOR LUBLIN

W3–0

RAKÓW CZĘSTOCHOWA

No matches in our record yet.