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Model 1.2

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Górnik Łęczna v GKS Katowice

Górnik Łęczna
11:30Upcoming
GKS Katowice

Cup · TUE 27 OCT

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Górnik ŁęcznaDrawGKS Katowice
Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 11:30
Before kick-off · Match result · GKS Katowice 57%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

GKS Katowice are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Górnik Łęczna 21%, draw 22%, GKS Katowice 57%. Over 2.5 goals 61%, both teams to score 59%.

The AI’s read on Górnik Łęczna v GKS KatowiceBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 21 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off

Górnik Łęczna win21%
Draw22%
GKS Katowice win57%

Kick-offTUE 27 OCT · 11:30

RoundRound of 32

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Górnik Łęczna

GKS Katowice

3Days since last match3

Last match: 24 Oct · II Liga - East

Last match: 24 Oct · Ekstraklasa

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · gks katowice winFirst published 21 Oct 00:01 · updated 25 Oct 00:29 · locked at kick-off
57% The market–
Us57%

We make GKS Katowice a 57% chance to win. The model expects 1.1–2.0, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 10%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Górnik Łęczna v GKS Katowice1.14 – 2.02

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published
55%60%65% 21 OCT 00:0125 OCT 05:20
Our probability · GKS Katowice win

Published at 60%, 57% now.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Górnik Łęczna win21%––
Draw22%––
GKS Katowice win57%––
Over 2.5 goals61%––
Both teams to score59%––
Over 1.5 goals83%––
Over 3.5 goals39%––
Górnik Łęczna or draw43%––
Górnik Łęczna clean sheet13%––
GKS Katowice clean sheet32%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 10.1%
0123450 4.6 8.3 8.7 5.8 3.0 1 4.5 10.1 9.9 6.6 3.4 2 2.8 5.6 5.6 3.8 3 2.1 2.1 4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Górnik Łęczna down, GKS Katowice across0–5 goals a side shown (98.2% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

4 meetings since 2021/22
Goals a meeting2.00
Over 2.51 of 4
Both scored2 of 4
Last meetingsGKS 0–0 GOR · GOR 1–1 GKS · GKS 2–0 GOR · GOR 2–2 GKS

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Cup this season · since 5 Aug

GÓRNIK ŁĘCZNA

WD2–0 · 2–2

GKS KATOWICE

No matches in our record yet.