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Model 1.2

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Arka Gdynia v Stal Rzeszów

Arka Gdynia
18:00Upcoming
Stal Rzeszów

Cup · THU 29 OCT · Stadion Miejski w Gdyni

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Arka GdyniaDrawStal Rzeszów
Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 18:00
Before kick-off · Match result · Arka Gdynia 61%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Arka Gdynia are clear favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Arka Gdynia 61%, draw 21%, Stal Rzeszów 18%. Over 2.5 goals 61%, both teams to score 57%.

The AI’s read on Arka Gdynia v Stal RzeszówBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 23 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off

Arka Gdynia win61%
Draw21%
Stal Rzeszów win18%

Kick-offTHU 29 OCT · 18:00

RoundRound of 32

VenueStadion Miejski w Gdyni

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Arka Gdynia

Stal Rzeszów

5Days since last match11

Last match: 24 Oct · I Liga

Last match: 18 Oct · I Liga

2Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · arka gdynia winFirst published 23 Oct 00:01 · updated 25 Oct 00:29 · locked at kick-off
61% The market–
Us61%

We make Arka Gdynia a 61% chance to win. The model expects 2.1–1.1, and 2–1 is the single most likely score at 10%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Arka Gdynia v Stal Rzeszów2.10 – 1.05
Form · Cup this season · since 1 SeptW1 D0 L0 · W1 D0 L0

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published
55%60%65% 23 OCT 00:0125 OCT 00:56
Our probability · Arka Gdynia win

Published at 60%, 61% now.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Arka Gdynia win61%––
Draw21%––
Stal Rzeszów win18%––
Over 2.5 goals61%––
Both teams to score57%––
Over 1.5 goals82%––
Over 3.5 goals39%––
Arka Gdynia or draw82%––
Arka Gdynia clean sheet35%––
Stal Rzeszów clean sheet12%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 2–1 at 9.9%
0123450 4.6 4.2 2.4 1 8.7 9.8 5.0 2 9.4 9.9 5.2 3 6.6 6.9 3.6 4 3.5 3.6 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Arka Gdynia down, Stal Rzeszów across0–5 goals a side shown (97.9% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

7 meetings since 2021/22
Goals a meeting3.71
Over 2.56 of 7
Both scored5 of 7
Last meetingsARK 4–0 STA · ARK 2–1 STA · STA 1–0 ARK · ARK 5–1 STA

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Cup this season · since 1 Sept

ARKA GDYNIA

W4–0

STAL RZESZÓW

W3–0