Zagłębie Lubin U19 v Śląsk Wrocław U19 prediction · Central Youth League

Full timeGraded 18 Oct 13:36

Zagłębie Lubin U19 0–1 Śląsk Wrocław U19 ZAGŁĘBIE LUBIN U19 WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · WRONGBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · WRONGUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Zagłębie Lubin U19 win~~42%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.648

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay4 notes · 10 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said Zagłębie Lubin U19 win at 42%.
1′Little has changed for our model: Zagłębie Lubin U19 42% before kick-off, 42% now. 0–0 · 42–23–35
1′KICK-OFF Zagłębie Lubin U19 v Śląsk Wrocław U19
45′HALF-TIME Zagłębie Lubin U19 0–0 Śląsk Wrocław U19
46′SECOND HALF Zagłębie Lubin U19 0–0 Śląsk Wrocław U19
50′THE CALL SWINGS · 50' Draw is now our likeliest result at 38% (was Zagłębie Lubin U19 win 33%)
53′Śląsk Wrocław U19 find the net on 53′. 0–1. 0–1 · 9–23–68
53′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 53' Zagłębie Lubin U19 win: 42% at kick-off, 32% now
53′⚽ GOAL · 53' Zagłębie Lubin U19 0–1 Śląsk Wrocław U19
53′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 53' Zagłębie Lubin U19 win: 42% at kick-off, 9% now
53′THE CALL SWINGS · 53' Śląsk Wrocław U19 win is now our likeliest result at 68% (was Draw 23%)
54′We said Zagłębie Lubin U19 at 42%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 9%. 0–1 · 9–23–68
69′We said Zagłębie Lubin U19 at 42%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 4%. 0–1 · 4–20–76
76′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 76' Zagłębie Lubin U19 win: 42% at kick-off, 2% now
FTFULL TIME Zagłębie Lubin U19 0–1 Śląsk Wrocław U19
FTZagłębie Lubin U19 0–1 Śląsk Wrocław U19 · Zagłębie Lubin U19 win: wrong · Over 2.5: wrong · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: wrong · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Zagłębie Lubin U19 are narrow favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Zagłębie Lubin U19 42%, draw 23%, Śląsk Wrocław U19 35%. Over 2.5 goals 62%, both teams to score 63%.

The AI’s read on Zagłębie Lubin U19 v Śląsk Wrocław U19Before, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 12 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

Zagłębie Lubin U19 win42%

Draw23%

Śląsk Wrocław U19 win35%

Kick-offSUN 18 OCT · 11:00

RoundMatchday 11

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Zagłębie Lubin U19

Śląsk Wrocław U19

4Days since last match8

Last match: 14 Oct · Central Youth League

Last match: 10 Oct · Central Youth League

2Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
3	Śląsk Wrocław U19	10	+5	18
7	Zagłębie Lubin U19	10	−2	15

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · zagłębie lubin u19 winFirst published 12 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

42% The market–

Us42%

We make Zagłębie Lubin U19 a 42% chance to win. The model expects 1.7–1.5, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 10%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Zagłębie Lubin U19 v Śląsk Wrocław U19~~1.68 – 1.52

~~Form · last six in Central Youth League this season · since 5 Sept~~W2 D3 L1 · W4 D1 L1

~~Table places · points 15 v 18~~7 v 3

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Zagłębie Lubin U19 win	42%	–	–
Draw	23%	–	–
Śląsk Wrocław U19 win	35%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	62%	–	–
Both teams to score	63%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	82%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	40%	–	–
Zagłębie Lubin U19 or draw	65%	–	–
Zagłębie Lubin U19 clean sheet	22%	–	–
Śląsk Wrocław U19 clean sheet	19%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 10.0%

0123450 3.9 6.6 4.7 2.4 1 7.2 10.0 7.7 4.0 2 5.8 8.6 6.5 3.3 3 3.3 4.8 3.6 4 2.1 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Zagłębie Lubin U19 down, Śląsk Wrocław U19 across0–5 goals a side shown (98.6% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,284 Central Youth League matches up to 17 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Central Youth League matches have gone over 2.5 in 56.0% of games this season, across 84 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 5 previous meetings since 2022/23 in every competition we cover, 3.40 goals a meeting; 2 of 5 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Zagłębie Lubin U19 at home: 1.17 scored, 1.17 conceded a game (last 6). Śląsk Wrocław U19 away: 1.83 scored, 1.00 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.68 goals for Zagłębie Lubin U19, 1.52 for Śląsk Wrocław U19. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

5 meetings since 2022/23

~~Goals a meeting~~3.40

~~Over 2.5~~2 of 5

~~Both scored~~3 of 5

~~Last meetings~~SLA 1–5 ZAG · ZAG 3–2 SLA · SLA 0–2 ZAG · ZAG 1–1 SLA

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Central Youth League this season · since 5 Sept

ZAGŁĘBIE LUBIN U19

WWLDDD4–2 · 3–0 · 1–5 · 2–2 · 3–3 · 0–0

ŚLĄSK WROCŁAW U19

WWWWDL2–0 · 2–1 · 2–0 · 4–2 · 2–2 · 0–2

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Legia Warszawa U19	11	+11	24
2	Miedź Legnica U19	11	+10	22
3	Śląsk Wrocław U19	10	+5	18
4	Wisła Kraków U19	11	+5	17
5	Jagiellonia U19	11	+2	17
6	Arkonia U19	11	−1	16
7	Zagłębie Lubin U19	10	−2	15
8	Górnik Zabrze U19	11	+6	15
9	Polonia Warszawa U19	10	+4	14
10	Stal Rzeszów U19	11	−5	14
11	Raków Częstochowa U19	10	+3	13
12	Talent Warszawa U19	10	−3	12
13	Lech Poznań U19	10	−6	10
14	Korona Kielce U19	10	−9	10
15	Escola Varsovia U19	10	−9	8
16	Arka Gdynia U19	11	−11	6