Wisła Kraków U19 v Legia Warszawa U19 prediction · Central Youth League

Full timeGraded 17 Oct 18:42

Wisła Kraków U19 3–4 Legia Warszawa U19 LEGIA WARSZAWA U19 WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTOVER 3.5 · RIGHT1–2 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Legia Warszawa U19 win~~52%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.359

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

AI match analysis

Pass

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Legia Warszawa U19 are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Wisła Kraków U19 30%, draw 19%, Legia Warszawa U19 52%. Over 2.5 goals 80%, both teams to score 76%.

The AI’s read on Wisła Kraków U19 v Legia Warszawa U19Before, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

Wisła Kraków U19 win30%

Draw19%

Legia Warszawa U19 win52%

Kick-offSAT 17 OCT · 10:00

RoundMatchday 11

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Wisła Kraków U19

Legia Warszawa U19

7Days since last match7

Last match: 10 Oct · Central Youth League

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · legia warszawa u19 winFirst published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

52% The market–

Us52%

We make Legia Warszawa U19 a 52% chance to win. The model expects 1.9–2.5, and 1–2 is the single most likely score at 7%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Wisła Kraków U19 v Legia Warszawa U19~~1.85 – 2.45

~~Form · last six in Central Youth League this season · since 5 Sept~~W1 D4 L1 · W3 D2 L1

~~Table places · points 17 v 21~~4 v 1

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Wisła Kraków U19 win	30%	–	–
Draw	19%	–	–
Legia Warszawa U19 win	52%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	80%	–	–
Both teams to score	76%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	92%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	62%	–	–
Wisła Kraków U19 or draw	48%	–	–
Wisła Kraków U19 clean sheet	9%	–	–
Legia Warszawa U19 clean sheet	16%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–2 at 7.4%

0123450 3.6 4.1 3.3 2.1 1 2.8 6.0 7.4 6.0 3.7 2 2.4 5.6 6.8 5.5 3.4 3 3.5 4.2 3.4 2.1 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Wisła Kraków U19 down, Legia Warszawa U19 across0–5 goals a side shown (94.6% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,280 Central Youth League matches up to 14 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Central Youth League matches have gone over 2.5 in 56.2% of games this season, across 80 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 7 previous meetings since 2022/23 in every competition we cover, 4.14 goals a meeting; 7 of 7 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Wisła Kraków U19 at home: 2.00 scored, 1.67 conceded a game (last 6). Legia Warszawa U19 away: 2.50 scored, 1.33 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.85 goals for Wisła Kraków U19, 2.45 for Legia Warszawa U19. Most likely score 1–2.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

7 meetings since 2022/23

~~Goals a meeting~~4.14

~~Over 2.5~~7 of 7

~~Both scored~~6 of 7

~~Last meetings~~WIS 2–3 LEG · LEG 3–1 WIS · LEG 3–1 WIS · WIS 3–2 LEG

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Central Youth League this season · since 5 Sept

WISŁA KRAKÓW U19

DLDDDW1–1 · 0–1 · 1–1 · 2–2 · 3–3 · 4–3

LEGIA WARSZAWA U19

WDWWLD1–0 · 3–3 · 3–0 · 3–2 · 2–3 · 3–3

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Legia Warszawa U19	10	+10	21
2	Miedź Legnica U19	10	+10	21
3	Śląsk Wrocław U19	10	+5	18
4	Wisła Kraków U19	10	+6	17
5	Jagiellonia U19	10	+3	17
6	Zagłębie Lubin U19	10	−2	15
7	Górnik Zabrze U19	10	+6	14
8	Polonia Warszawa U19	10	+4	14
9	Arkonia U19	10	−2	13
10	Raków Częstochowa U19	10	+3	13
11	Talent Warszawa U19	10	−3	12
12	Stal Rzeszów U19	10	−6	11
13	Lech Poznań U19	10	−6	10
14	Korona Kielce U19	10	−9	10
15	Escola Varsovia U19	10	−9	8
16	Arka Gdynia U19	10	−10	6