Talent Warszawa U19 v Korona Kielce U19 prediction · Central Youth League

Full timeGraded 22 Oct 03:25

Talent Warszawa U19 2–1 Korona Kielce U19 TALENT WARSZAWA U19 WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT2–1 EXACTLY · RIGHT

~~We said Talent Warszawa U19 win~~51%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.368

Corrected on 22 Oct: this match was first graded on a score of 0–0; the score is now 2–1 and the grades above follow it.

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Talent Warszawa U19 are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Talent Warszawa U19 51%, draw 20%, Korona Kielce U19 29%. Over 2.5 goals 70%, both teams to score 67%.

The AI’s read on Talent Warszawa U19 v Korona Kielce U19Before, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 12 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

Talent Warszawa U19 win51%

Draw20%

Korona Kielce U19 win29%

Kick-offSUN 18 OCT · 13:30

RoundMatchday 11

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Talent Warszawa U19

Korona Kielce U19

7Days since last match8

Last match: 11 Oct · Central Youth League

Last match: 10 Oct · Central Youth League

1Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
12	Talent Warszawa U19	10	−3	12
14	Korona Kielce U19	10	−9	10

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · talent warszawa u19 winFirst published 12 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

51% The market–

Us51%

We make Talent Warszawa U19 a 51% chance to win. The model expects 2.1–1.5, and 2–1 is the single most likely score at 9%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Talent Warszawa U19 v Korona Kielce U19~~2.10 – 1.54

~~Form · last six in Central Youth League this season · since 5 Sept~~W2 D0 L4 · W2 D2 L2

~~Table places · points 12 v 10~~12 v 14

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Talent Warszawa U19 win	51%	–	–
Draw	20%	–	–
Korona Kielce U19 win	29%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	70%	–	–
Both teams to score	67%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	87%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	49%	–	–
Talent Warszawa U19 or draw	71%	–	–
Talent Warszawa U19 clean sheet	22%	–	–
Korona Kielce U19 clean sheet	13%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 2–1 at 8.6%

0123450 2.6 4.5 3.2 1 6.0 8.2 6.4 3.3 2 5.8 8.6 6.5 3.4 3 4.1 6.0 4.5 2.3 4 2.2 3.2 2.4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Talent Warszawa U19 down, Korona Kielce U19 across0–5 goals a side shown (96.9% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,284 Central Youth League matches up to 17 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Central Youth League matches have gone over 2.5 in 56.0% of games this season, across 84 played.

Head to head

No meeting between these two in any competition we cover since 2026/27.

Home and away form

Talent Warszawa U19 at home: 1.80 scored, 1.40 conceded a game (last 5). Korona Kielce U19 away: 2.00 scored, 2.00 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

2.10 goals for Talent Warszawa U19, 1.54 for Korona Kielce U19. Most likely score 2–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

No meetings since 2026/27

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2026/27.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Central Youth League this season · since 5 Sept

TALENT WARSZAWA U19

LLWWLL0–1 · 1–2 · 3–1 · 3–2 · 0–2 · 0–2

KORONA KIELCE U19

LWWLDD0–5 · 1–0 · 3–1 · 1–6 · 0–0 · 2–2

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Legia Warszawa U19	11	+11	24
2	Miedź Legnica U19	11	+10	22
3	Śląsk Wrocław U19	10	+5	18
4	Wisła Kraków U19	11	+5	17
5	Jagiellonia U19	11	+2	17
6	Arkonia U19	11	−1	16
7	Zagłębie Lubin U19	10	−2	15
8	Górnik Zabrze U19	11	+6	15
9	Polonia Warszawa U19	10	+4	14
10	Stal Rzeszów U19	11	−5	14
11	Raków Częstochowa U19	10	+3	13
12	Talent Warszawa U19	10	−3	12
13	Lech Poznań U19	10	−6	10
14	Korona Kielce U19	10	−9	10
15	Escola Varsovia U19	10	−9	8
16	Arka Gdynia U19	11	−11	6