Stal Rzeszów U19 v Korona Kielce U19 prediction · Central Youth League

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Stal Rzeszów U19DrawKorona Kielce U19

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 10:00

Before kick-off · Match result · Stal Rzeszów U19 45%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Stal Rzeszów U19 are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Stal Rzeszów U19 45%, draw 23%, Korona Kielce U19 32%. Over 2.5 goals 60%, both teams to score 60%.

The AI’s read on Stal Rzeszów U19 v Korona Kielce U19Before, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 24 Oct 00:02 · locked at kick-off

Stal Rzeszów U19 win45%

Draw23%

Korona Kielce U19 win32%

Kick-offFRI 30 OCT · 10:00

RoundMatchday 13

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Stal Rzeszów U19

Korona Kielce U19

6Days since last match12

Last match: 24 Oct · Central Youth League

Last match: 18 Oct · Central Youth League

2Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
13	Stal Rzeszów U19	12	−7	14
14	Korona Kielce U19	11	−10	10

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · stal rzeszów u19 winFirst published 24 Oct 00:02 · updated 25 Oct 00:22 · locked at kick-off

45% The market–

Us45%

We make Stal Rzeszów U19 a 45% chance to win. The model expects 1.7–1.4, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 10%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Stal Rzeszów U19 v Korona Kielce U19~~1.71 – 1.40

~~Form · last six in Central Youth League this season · since 12 Sept~~W2 D0 L4 · W2 D2 L2

~~Table places · points 14 v 10~~13 v 14

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · Stal Rzeszów U19 win

Published at 46%, 45% now.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Stal Rzeszów U19 win	45%	–	–
Draw	23%	–	–
Korona Kielce U19 win	32%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	60%	–	–
Both teams to score	60%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	81%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	38%	–	–
Stal Rzeszów U19 or draw	68%	–	–
Stal Rzeszów U19 clean sheet	25%	–	–
Korona Kielce U19 clean sheet	19%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 10.2%

0123450 4.3 6.7 4.4 2.1 1 8.1 10.2 7.3 3.4 2 6.5 8.9 6.1 2.9 3 3.7 5.1 3.5 4 2.2 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Stal Rzeszów U19 down, Korona Kielce U19 across0–5 goals a side shown (98.6% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,292 Central Youth League matches up to 24 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Central Youth League matches have gone over 2.5 in 57.6% of games this season, across 92 played.

Head to head

No meeting between these two in any competition we cover since 2024/25.

Home and away form

Stal Rzeszów U19 at home: 1.33 scored, 1.67 conceded a game (last 6). Korona Kielce U19 away: 2.00 scored, 2.00 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.71 goals for Stal Rzeszów U19, 1.40 for Korona Kielce U19. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

No meetings since 2024/25

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2024/25.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Central Youth League this season · since 12 Sept

STAL RZESZÓW U19

LLLWWL0–3 · 2–4 · 0–1 · 3–2 · 1–0 · 0–2

KORONA KIELCE U19

WWLDDL1–0 · 3–1 · 1–6 · 0–0 · 2–2 · 1–2

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Miedź Legnica U19	12	+12	25
2	Legia Warszawa U19	11	+11	24
3	Śląsk Wrocław U19	12	+5	21
4	Wisła Kraków U19	12	+6	20
5	Zagłębie Lubin U19	12	+1	18
6	Jagiellonia U19	11	+2	17
7	Arkonia U19	11	−1	16
8	Raków Częstochowa U19	12	0	16
9	Lech Poznań U19	12	0	16
10	Górnik Zabrze U19	11	+6	15
11	Talent Warszawa U19	12	−5	15
12	Polonia Warszawa U19	11	+3	14
13	Stal Rzeszów U19	12	−7	14
14	Korona Kielce U19	11	−10	10
15	Escola Varsovia U19	11	−12	8
16	Arka Gdynia U19	11	−11	6