Polonia Warszawa U19 v Raków Częstochowa U19

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Polonia Warszawa U19 win at 53%.
2. 1′KICK-OFF Polonia Warszawa U19 v Raków Częstochowa U19
3. 2′Much as we predicted: Polonia Warszawa U19 was 53% before kick-off and our model makes it 52% now. 0–0 · 52–22–25
4. 4′Polonia Warszawa U19 find the net on 4′. 1–0. 1–0 · 75–15–10
5. 4′⚽ GOAL · 4' Polonia Warszawa U19 1–0 Raków Częstochowa U19
6. 4′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 4' Polonia Warszawa U19 win: 53% at kick-off, 75% now
7. 5′We published Polonia Warszawa U19 at 53%. Our model now makes it 75%. 1–0 · 75–15–10
8. 22′A goal for Polonia Warszawa U19 on 22′ — 2–0. 2–0 · 91–6–2
9. 22′⚽ GOAL · 22' Polonia Warszawa U19 2–0 Raków Częstochowa U19
10. 22′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 22' Polonia Warszawa U19 win: 53% at kick-off, 91% now
11. 23′We published Polonia Warszawa U19 at 53%. Our model now makes it 91%. 2–0 · 91–6–2
12. 33′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 33' Polonia Warszawa U19 win: 53% at kick-off, 93% now
13. 35′A red card for Polonia Warszawa U19 on 34′. The model does not price cards, so read the number with that in mind. 2–0 · 93–6–2
14. 35′🟥 RED CARD · 34' Polonia Warszawa U19
15. 45′HALF-TIME Polonia Warszawa U19 2–0 Raków Częstochowa U19
16. 46′SECOND HALF Polonia Warszawa U19 2–0 Raków Częstochowa U19
17. 47′Goals are coming at about the 3.1 we expected. 2–0 · 94–5–1
18. 49′We published Polonia Warszawa U19 at 53%. Our model now makes it 95%. 2–0 · 95–4–1
19. 49′Raków Częstochowa U19 score on 49′ to make it 2–1. 2–1 · 77–17–5
20. 49′⚽ GOAL · 49' Polonia Warszawa U19 2–1 Raków Częstochowa U19
21. 49′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 49' Polonia Warszawa U19 win: 53% at kick-off, 77% now
22. 58′Raków Częstochowa U19 find the net on 58′. 2–2. 2–2 · 36–44–21
23. 58′We said Polonia Warszawa U19 at 53%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 36%. 2–2 · 36–44–21
24. 58′⚽ GOAL · 58' Polonia Warszawa U19 2–2 Raków Częstochowa U19
25. 58′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 58' Polonia Warszawa U19 win: 53% at kick-off, 36% now
26. 58′THE CALL SWINGS · 58' Draw is now our likeliest result at 44% (was Polonia Warszawa U19 win 36%)
27. 59′4 goals already, more than the 3.1 we expected for the whole match. 2–2 · 35–45–20
28. 60′We said Polonia Warszawa U19 at 53%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 34%. 2–2 · 34–45–20
29. 61′A goal for Raków Częstochowa U19 on 60′ — 2–3. 2–3 · 9–25–66
30. 61′We said Polonia Warszawa U19 at 53%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 9%. 2–3 · 9–25–66
31. 61′⚽ GOAL · 60' Polonia Warszawa U19 2–3 Raków Częstochowa U19
32. 61′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 61' Polonia Warszawa U19 win: 53% at kick-off, 9% now
33. 61′THE CALL SWINGS · 61' Raków Częstochowa U19 win is now our likeliest result at 66% (was Draw 25%)
34. 62′That is 5, and we only asked for 3.1 across ninety minutes. 2–3 · 9–25–67
35. 72′We said Polonia Warszawa U19 at 53%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 4%. 2–3 · 4–21–75
36. 75′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 75' Polonia Warszawa U19 win: 53% at kick-off, 3% now
37. FTFULL TIME Polonia Warszawa U19 2–3 Raków Częstochowa U19
38. FTPolonia Warszawa U19 2–3 Raków Częstochowa U19 · Polonia Warszawa U19 win: wrong · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.