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Legia Warszawa U19 v Zagłębie Lubin U19

Legia Warszawa U19

3–3Full time

Zagłębie Lubin U19

Central Youth League · SAT 10 OCT

Full timeGraded 10 Oct 13:46

Legia Warszawa U19 3–3 Zagłębie Lubin U19 LEGIA WARSZAWA U19 WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTOVER 3.5 · RIGHT2–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Legia Warszawa U19 win~~66%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~1.176

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay4 notes · 12 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said Legia Warszawa U19 win at 66%.
1′Much as we predicted: Legia Warszawa U19 was 66% before kick-off and our model makes it 66% now. 0–0 · 66–17–17
1′KICK-OFF Legia Warszawa U19 v Zagłębie Lubin U19
12′Legia Warszawa U19 find the net on 12′. 1–0. 1–0 · 82–11–7
12′⚽ GOAL · 12' Legia Warszawa U19 1–0 Zagłębie Lubin U19
12′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 12' Legia Warszawa U19 win: 66% at kick-off, 82% now
23′We published Legia Warszawa U19 at 66%. Our model now makes it 82%. 1–0 · 82–12–6
38′A goal for Zagłębie Lubin U19 on 38′ — 1–1. 1–1 · 56–25–19
38′⚽ GOAL · 38' Legia Warszawa U19 1–1 Zagłębie Lubin U19
38′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 38' Legia Warszawa U19 win: 66% at kick-off, 56% now
45′HALF-TIME Legia Warszawa U19 1–1 Zagłębie Lubin U19
46′SECOND HALF Legia Warszawa U19 1–1 Zagłębie Lubin U19
51′⚽ GOAL · 51' Legia Warszawa U19 1–2 Zagłębie Lubin U19
84′⚽ GOAL · 83' Legia Warszawa U19 2–2 Zagłębie Lubin U19
85′⚽ GOAL · 85' Legia Warszawa U19 2–3 Zagłębie Lubin U19
90′⚽ GOAL · 94' Legia Warszawa U19 3–3 Zagłębie Lubin U19
FTFULL TIME Legia Warszawa U19 3–3 Zagłębie Lubin U19
FTLegia Warszawa U19 3–3 Zagłębie Lubin U19 · Legia Warszawa U19 win: wrong · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Over 3.5: right · 2–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

Timeline

Events will appear when the match starts.

Pre-match prediction

Legia Warszawa U19 win66%

Draw16%

Zagłębie Lubin U19 win18%

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Match information

SAT 10 OCT · 11:00

The game so far

Recorded statistics

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Players on the pitch

Recorded line-ups

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · legia warszawa u19 winPublished 10 Oct 11:13

66% The market–

Us66%

We make Legia Warszawa U19 a 66% chance to win. The model expects 2.8–1.4, and 2–1 is the single most likely score at 8%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Legia Warszawa U19 win	66%	–	–
Draw	16%	–	–
Zagłębie Lubin U19 win	18%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	78%	–	–
Both teams to score	69%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	91%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	59%	–	–
Legia Warszawa U19 or draw	82%	–	–
Legia Warszawa U19 clean sheet	25%	–	–
Zagłębie Lubin U19 clean sheet	7%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 2–1 at 8.2%

0123450 2.5 1 4.7 5.9 4.2 2 6.0 8.2 5.6 2.6 3 5.5 7.5 5.1 2.4 4 3.8 5.2 3.6 5 2.2 2.9 2.0

under 2% 5% 12%+Legia Warszawa U19 down, Zagłębie Lubin U19 across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,271 Central Youth League matches up to 10 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Central Youth League matches have gone over 2.5 in 54.9% of games this season, across 71 played.

Head to head

7 previous meetings, 3.86 goals a meeting; 6 of 7 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Legia Warszawa U19 at home: 3.17 scored, 1.50 conceded a game (last 6). Zagłębie Lubin U19 away: 1.83 scored, 2.67 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

2.77 goals for Legia Warszawa U19, 1.38 for Zagłębie Lubin U19. Most likely score 2–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

7 meetings since 2022

~~Goals a meeting~~3.86

~~Over 2.5~~6 of 7

~~Both scored~~4 of 7

~~Last meetings~~ZAG 3–0 LEG · LEG 2–0 ZAG · ZAG 2–3 LEG · LEG 1–3 ZAG

Form · last six in Central Youth League

LEGIA WARSZAWA U19

WWDWWL3–1 · 1–0 · 3–3 · 3–0 · 3–2 · 2–3

ZAGŁĘBIE LUBIN U19

LWWWLD1–5 · 1–0 · 4–2 · 3–0 · 1–5 · 2–2

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Legia Warszawa U19	9	+10	20
2	Miedź Legnica U19	9	+8	18
3	Śląsk Wrocław U19	9	+7	18
4	Górnik Zabrze U19	10	+6	14
5	Wisła Kraków U19	9	+5	14
6	Jagiellonia U19	9	+1	14
7	Raków Częstochowa U19	9	+4	13
8	Zagłębie Lubin U19	8	−2	13
9	Talent Warszawa U19	9	−1	12
10	Polonia Warszawa U19	9	+2	11
11	Arkonia U19	9	−3	10
12	Lech Poznań U19	8	−4	9
13	Korona Kielce U19	9	−9	9
14	Stal Rzeszów U19	9	−7	8
15	Escola Varsovia U19	8	−8	7
16	Arka Gdynia U19	9	−9	6