Lech Poznań U19 v Talent Warszawa U19 prediction · Central Youth League

Full timeGraded 24 Oct 16:33

Lech Poznań U19 4–1 Talent Warszawa U19 LECH POZNAŃ U19 WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTOVER 3.5 · RIGHT2–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Lech Poznań U19 win~~58%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.271

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Lech Poznań U19 are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Lech Poznań U19 58%, draw 19%, Talent Warszawa U19 24%. Over 2.5 goals 73%, both teams to score 69%.

The AI’s read on Lech Poznań U19 v Talent Warszawa U19Before, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off

Lech Poznań U19 win58%

Draw19%

Talent Warszawa U19 win24%

Kick-offSAT 24 OCT · 12:00

RoundMatchday 12

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Lech Poznań U19

Talent Warszawa U19

6Days since last match6

Last match: 18 Oct · Central Youth League

3Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
8	Talent Warszawa U19	11	−2	15
13	Lech Poznań U19	11	−3	13

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · lech poznań u19 winFirst published 18 Oct 01:23 · updated 19 Oct 00:16 · locked at kick-off

58% The market–

Us58%

We make Lech Poznań U19 a 58% chance to win. The model expects 2.4–1.5, and 2–1 is the single most likely score at 9%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Lech Poznań U19 v Talent Warszawa U19~~2.37 – 1.47

~~Form · last six in Central Youth League this season · since 12 Sept~~W2 D1 L3 · W3 D0 L3

~~Table places · points 13 v 15~~13 v 8

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · Lech Poznań U19 win

Published at 57%, 58% now.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Lech Poznań U19 win	58%	–	–
Draw	19%	–	–
Talent Warszawa U19 win	24%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	73%	–	–
Both teams to score	69%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	89%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	53%	–	–
Lech Poznań U19 or draw	76%	–	–
Lech Poznań U19 clean sheet	23%	–	–
Talent Warszawa U19 clean sheet	10%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 2–1 at 8.7%

0123450 2.0 3.6 2.4 1 5.5 7.2 5.5 2.7 2 6.1 8.7 6.3 3.1 3 4.8 6.8 4.9 2.4 4 2.8 4.1 2.9 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Lech Poznań U19 down, Talent Warszawa U19 across0–5 goals a side shown (95.8% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,288 Central Youth League matches up to 18 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Central Youth League matches have gone over 2.5 in 56.8% of games this season, across 88 played.

Head to head

No meeting between these two in any competition we cover since 2026/27.

Home and away form

Lech Poznań U19 at home: 2.00 scored, 1.83 conceded a game (last 6). Talent Warszawa U19 away: 1.40 scored, 2.40 conceded (last 5).

What the model expects

2.37 goals for Lech Poznań U19, 1.47 for Talent Warszawa U19. Most likely score 2–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

No meetings since 2026/27

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2026/27.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Central Youth League this season · since 12 Sept

LECH POZNAŃ U19

LWLDLW0–1 · 5–2 · 0–3 · 2–2 · 3–5 · 3–0

TALENT WARSZAWA U19

LWWLLW1–2 · 3–1 · 3–2 · 0–2 · 0–2 · 2–1

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Legia Warszawa U19	11	+11	24
2	Miedź Legnica U19	11	+10	22
3	Śląsk Wrocław U19	11	+6	21
4	Wisła Kraków U19	11	+5	17
5	Jagiellonia U19	11	+2	17
6	Arkonia U19	11	−1	16
7	Raków Częstochowa U19	11	+4	16
8	Talent Warszawa U19	11	−2	15
9	Zagłębie Lubin U19	11	−3	15
10	Górnik Zabrze U19	11	+6	15
11	Polonia Warszawa U19	11	+3	14
12	Stal Rzeszów U19	11	−5	14
13	Lech Poznań U19	11	−3	13
14	Korona Kielce U19	11	−10	10
15	Escola Varsovia U19	11	−12	8
16	Arka Gdynia U19	11	−11	6