Lech Poznań U19 v Escola Varsovia U19 prediction · Central Youth League

Full timeGraded 18 Oct 14:08

Lech Poznań U19 3–0 Escola Varsovia U19 LECH POZNAŃ U19 WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTOVER 3.5 · WRONG2–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Lech Poznań U19 win~~54%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.325

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Lech Poznań U19 are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Lech Poznań U19 54%, draw 20%, Escola Varsovia U19 27%. Over 2.5 goals 73%, both teams to score 70%.

The AI’s read on Lech Poznań U19 v Escola Varsovia U19Before, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 12 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

Lech Poznań U19 win54%

Draw20%

Escola Varsovia U19 win27%

Kick-offSUN 18 OCT · 11:00

RoundMatchday 11

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Lech Poznań U19

Escola Varsovia U19

4Days since last match4

Last match: 14 Oct · Central Youth League

3Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
13	Lech Poznań U19	10	−6	10
15	Escola Varsovia U19	10	−9	8

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · lech poznań u19 winFirst published 12 Oct 03:54 · updated 15 Oct 04:54 · locked at kick-off

54% The market–

Us54%

We make Lech Poznań U19 a 54% chance to win. The model expects 2.2–1.5, and 2–1 is the single most likely score at 9%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Lech Poznań U19 v Escola Varsovia U19~~2.25 – 1.55

~~Form · last six in Central Youth League this season · since 5 Sept~~W1 D1 L4 · W1 D2 L3

~~Table places · points 10 v 8~~13 v 15

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · Lech Poznań U19 win

Published at 55%, 54% now.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Lech Poznań U19 win	54%	–	–
Draw	20%	–	–
Escola Varsovia U19 win	27%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	73%	–	–
Both teams to score	70%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	89%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	52%	–	–
Lech Poznań U19 or draw	73%	–	–
Lech Poznań U19 clean sheet	22%	–	–
Escola Varsovia U19 clean sheet	11%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 2–1 at 8.6%

0123450 2.1 3.8 2.7 1 5.4 7.6 6.0 3.1 2 5.7 8.6 6.6 3.4 3 4.3 6.4 4.9 2.6 4 2.4 3.7 2.8 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Lech Poznań U19 down, Escola Varsovia U19 across0–5 goals a side shown (96.4% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,284 Central Youth League matches up to 17 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Central Youth League matches have gone over 2.5 in 56.0% of games this season, across 84 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 5 previous meetings since 2022/23 in every competition we cover, 4.60 goals a meeting; 5 of 5 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Lech Poznań U19 at home: 2.00 scored, 1.83 conceded a game (last 6). Escola Varsovia U19 away: 0.50 scored, 1.83 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

2.25 goals for Lech Poznań U19, 1.55 for Escola Varsovia U19. Most likely score 2–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

5 meetings since 2022/23

~~Goals a meeting~~4.60

~~Over 2.5~~5 of 5

~~Both scored~~5 of 5

~~Last meetings~~ESC 1–3 LEC · LEC 2–2 ESC · LEC 2–3 ESC · ESC 3–3 LEC

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Central Youth League this season · since 5 Sept

LECH POZNAŃ U19

LLWLDL0–2 · 0–1 · 5–2 · 0–3 · 2–2 · 3–5

ESCOLA VARSOVIA U19

LWLDLD0–3 · 1–0 · 0–2 · 0–0 · 3–4 · 0–0

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Legia Warszawa U19	11	+11	24
2	Miedź Legnica U19	11	+10	22
3	Śląsk Wrocław U19	10	+5	18
4	Wisła Kraków U19	11	+5	17
5	Jagiellonia U19	11	+2	17
6	Arkonia U19	11	−1	16
7	Zagłębie Lubin U19	10	−2	15
8	Górnik Zabrze U19	11	+6	15
9	Polonia Warszawa U19	10	+4	14
10	Stal Rzeszów U19	11	−5	14
11	Raków Częstochowa U19	10	+3	13
12	Talent Warszawa U19	10	−3	12
13	Lech Poznań U19	10	−6	10
14	Korona Kielce U19	10	−9	10
15	Escola Varsovia U19	10	−9	8
16	Arka Gdynia U19	11	−11	6