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Jagiellonia U19 v Górnik Zabrze U19

Jagiellonia U19

0–4Full time

Górnik Zabrze U19

Central Youth League · FRI 9 OCT

Full timeGraded 9 Oct 12:32

Jagiellonia U19 0–4 Górnik Zabrze U19 GÓRNIK ZABRZE U19 WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · WRONG1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Górnik Zabrze U19 win~~40%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.563

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

Timeline

Events will appear when the match starts.

Pre-match prediction

Jagiellonia U19 win39%

Draw22%

Górnik Zabrze U19 win40%

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Match information

FRI 9 OCT · 10:00

The game so far

Recorded statistics

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Players on the pitch

Recorded line-ups

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · górnik zabrze u19 winPublished 9 Oct 10:02

40% The market–

Us40%

We make Górnik Zabrze U19 a 40% chance to win. The model expects 1.7–1.7, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 9%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Jagiellonia U19 win	39%	–	–
Draw	22%	–	–
Górnik Zabrze U19 win	40%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	67%	–	–
Both teams to score	67%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	85%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	46%	–	–
Jagiellonia U19 or draw	60%	–	–
Jagiellonia U19 clean sheet	18%	–	–
Górnik Zabrze U19 clean sheet	18%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 9.0%

0123450 3.0 5.8 4.8 2.8 1 5.8 9.0 8.0 4.7 2.1 2 4.7 7.9 6.8 4.0 3 2.7 4.6 4.0 2.3 4 2.0 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Jagiellonia U19 down, Górnik Zabrze U19 across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,270 Central Youth League matches up to 9 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Central Youth League matches have gone over 2.5 in 54.3% of games this season, across 70 played.

Head to head

7 previous meetings, 4.14 goals a meeting; 6 of 7 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Jagiellonia U19 at home: 1.50 scored, 1.33 conceded a game (last 6). Górnik Zabrze U19 away: 2.00 scored, 1.17 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.73 goals for Jagiellonia U19, 1.75 for Górnik Zabrze U19. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

7 meetings since 2023

~~Goals a meeting~~4.14

~~Over 2.5~~6 of 7

~~Both scored~~4 of 7

~~Last meetings~~JAG 0–2 GOR · GOR 3–1 JAG · GOR 4–1 JAG · JAG 3–2 GOR

Form · last six in Central Youth League

JAGIELLONIA U19

WDWWLW4–2 · 2–2 · 3–0 · 1–0 · 1–3 · 2–0

GÓRNIK ZABRZE U19

LDDLWW0–1 · 1–1 · 3–3 · 0–2 · 3–2 · 5–1

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Legia Warszawa U19	9	+10	20
2	Miedź Legnica U19	9	+8	18
3	Śląsk Wrocław U19	9	+7	18
4	Wisła Kraków U19	9	+5	14
5	Jagiellonia U19	8	+5	14
6	Raków Częstochowa U19	9	+4	13
7	Zagłębie Lubin U19	8	−2	13
8	Talent Warszawa U19	9	−1	12
9	Polonia Warszawa U19	9	+2	11
10	Górnik Zabrze U19	9	+2	11
11	Arkonia U19	9	−3	10
12	Lech Poznań U19	8	−4	9
13	Korona Kielce U19	9	−9	9
14	Stal Rzeszów U19	9	−7	8
15	Escola Varsovia U19	8	−8	7
16	Arka Gdynia U19	9	−9	6