Górnik Zabrze U19 v Lech Poznań U19 prediction · Central Youth League

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Górnik Zabrze U19DrawLech Poznań U19

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 11:00

Before kick-off · Match result · Górnik Zabrze U19 48%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Górnik Zabrze U19 are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Górnik Zabrze U19 48%, draw 21%, Lech Poznań U19 31%. Over 2.5 goals 69%, both teams to score 68%.

The AI’s read on Górnik Zabrze U19 v Lech Poznań U19Before, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 24 Oct 00:02 · locked at kick-off

Górnik Zabrze U19 win48%

Draw21%

Lech Poznań U19 win31%

Kick-offFRI 30 OCT · 11:00

RoundMatchday 13

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Górnik Zabrze U19

Lech Poznań U19

13Days since last match6

Last match: 17 Oct · Central Youth League

Last match: 24 Oct · Central Youth League

1Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
9	Lech Poznań U19	12	0	16
10	Górnik Zabrze U19	11	+6	15

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · górnik zabrze u19 winFirst published 24 Oct 00:02 · updated 25 Oct 00:22 · locked at kick-off

48% The market–

Us48%

We make Górnik Zabrze U19 a 48% chance to win. The model expects 2.0–1.6, and 2–1 is the single most likely score at 9%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Górnik Zabrze U19 v Lech Poznań U19~~2.02 – 1.58

~~Form · last six in Central Youth League this season · since 12 Sept~~W3 D2 L1 · W3 D1 L2

~~Table places · points 15 v 16~~10 v 9

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · Górnik Zabrze U19 win

Published at 49%, 48% now.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Górnik Zabrze U19 win	48%	–	–
Draw	21%	–	–
Lech Poznań U19 win	31%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	69%	–	–
Both teams to score	68%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	87%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	48%	–	–
Górnik Zabrze U19 or draw	69%	–	–
Górnik Zabrze U19 clean sheet	21%	–	–
Lech Poznań U19 clean sheet	14%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 2–1 at 8.6%

0123450 2.6 4.7 3.5 1 5.9 8.4 6.8 3.6 2 5.6 8.6 6.7 3.6 3 3.8 5.8 4.5 2.4 4 3.0 2.3 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Górnik Zabrze U19 down, Lech Poznań U19 across0–5 goals a side shown (97.4% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,292 Central Youth League matches up to 24 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Central Youth League matches have gone over 2.5 in 57.6% of games this season, across 92 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 7 previous meetings since 2022/23 in every competition we cover, 2.71 goals a meeting; 4 of 7 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Górnik Zabrze U19 at home: 1.33 scored, 1.00 conceded a game (last 6). Lech Poznań U19 away: 1.50 scored, 2.50 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

2.02 goals for Górnik Zabrze U19, 1.58 for Lech Poznań U19. Most likely score 2–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

7 meetings since 2022/23

~~Goals a meeting~~2.71

~~Over 2.5~~4 of 7

~~Both scored~~4 of 7

~~Last meetings~~GOR 4–2 LEC · LEC 1–2 GOR · GOR 2–2 LEC · LEC 1–0 GOR

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Central Youth League this season · since 12 Sept

GÓRNIK ZABRZE U19

DLWWWD3–3 · 0–2 · 3–2 · 5–1 · 4–0 · 2–2

LECH POZNAŃ U19

WLDLWW5–2 · 0–3 · 2–2 · 3–5 · 3–0 · 4–1

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Miedź Legnica U19	12	+12	25
2	Legia Warszawa U19	11	+11	24
3	Śląsk Wrocław U19	12	+5	21
4	Wisła Kraków U19	12	+6	20
5	Zagłębie Lubin U19	12	+1	18
6	Jagiellonia U19	11	+2	17
7	Arkonia U19	11	−1	16
8	Raków Częstochowa U19	12	0	16
9	Lech Poznań U19	12	0	16
10	Górnik Zabrze U19	11	+6	15
11	Talent Warszawa U19	12	−5	15
12	Polonia Warszawa U19	11	+3	14
13	Stal Rzeszów U19	12	−7	14
14	Korona Kielce U19	11	−10	10
15	Escola Varsovia U19	11	−12	8
16	Arka Gdynia U19	11	−11	6