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Model 1.1

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Tuloy v Stallion

Tuloy
4–5Full time
Stallion

PFL · SUN 11 OCT

Full timeGraded 11 Oct 10:36
Tuloy 4–5 Stallion STALLION WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTOVER 3.5 · RIGHT1–4 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said Stallion win89%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.018

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay5 notes · 13 alerts
  1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Stallion win at 89%.
  2. 1′Little has changed for our model: Stallion 89% before kick-off, 90% now. 0–0 · 4–6–90
  3. 1′KICK-OFF Tuloy v Stallion
  4. 3′Little has changed for our model: Stallion 89% before kick-off, 89% now. 0–0 · 4–6–89
  5. 13′⚽ GOAL · 13' Tuloy 0–1 Stallion
  6. 16′⚽ GOAL · 15' Tuloy 1–1 Stallion
  7. 18′⚽ GOAL · 17' Tuloy 1–2 Stallion
  8. 23′A goal for Stallion on 17′ — 1–2. 1–2 · 2–4–95
  9. 24′A goal for Stallion on 17′ — 1–2. 1–2 · 2–4–94
  10. 45′The goal count is tracking the 5.7 we expected. 1–2 · 2–6–93
  11. 45′HALF-TIME Tuloy 1–2 Stallion
  12. 46′SECOND HALF Tuloy 1–2 Stallion
  13. 49′⚽ GOAL · 49' Tuloy 2–2 Stallion
  14. 52′⚽ GOAL · 51' Tuloy 2–3 Stallion
  15. 59′⚽ GOAL · 59' Tuloy 3–3 Stallion
  16. 60′⚽ GOAL · 60' Tuloy 3–4 Stallion
  17. 62′⚽ GOAL · 62' Tuloy 4–4 Stallion
  18. 81′⚽ GOAL · 81' Tuloy 4–5 Stallion
  19. FTFULL TIME Tuloy 4–5 Stallion
  20. FTTuloy 4–5 Stallion · Stallion win: right · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Over 3.5: right · 1–4 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

An AI preview before kick-off and a review after full time, written from our recorded data. It is included with the 30-day pass.

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Pre-match prediction

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Tuloy win5%
Draw6%
Stallion win89%

Kick-offSUN 11 OCT · 08:00

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · this competition

Tuloy

Stallion

7Days since last match14
1Matches in previous 14 days1

Based on available results in this competition before kick-off.

League table

2027/28

Positions of these teams

#TEAMPGDPTS
5Stallion3−13
6Tuloy4−53

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · stallion winPublished 11 Oct 08:03
89% The market–
Us89%

We make Stallion a 89% chance to win. The model expects 1.1–4.6, and 1–4 is the single most likely score at 6%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Tuloy win5%––
Draw6%––
Stallion win89%––
Over 2.5 goals91%––
Both teams to score65%––
Over 1.5 goals97%––
Over 3.5 goals81%––
Tuloy or draw11%––
Tuloy clean sheet1%––
Stallion clean sheet34%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–4 at 6.3%
0123450 3.7 5.3 5.9 5.41 4.0 5.7 6.3 5.72 2.3 3.2 3.6 3.23 4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Tuloy down, Stallion across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

3 meetings since 2024
Goals a meeting7.67
Over 2.52 of 3
Both scored2 of 3
Last meetingsSTA 12–1 TUL · TUL 0–2 STA · STA 7–1 TUL

Form · last six in PFL

TULOY

DWLLWL1–1 · 4–1 · 2–4 · 0–3 · 4–3 · 1–2

STALLION

DDDWLL1–1 · 1–1 · 2–2 · 4–0 · 0–3 · 0–2

The table

2027/28
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Maharlika6+813
2Kaya3+109
3Manila Digger3+79
4Davao Aguilas2+56
5Stallion3−13
6Tuloy4−53
7Azkals4−63
8Mendiola2−41
9Dynamic Herb Cebu2−30
10Philippine Army3−110

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.