Philippine Army v Stallion prediction · PFL

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Philippine ArmyDrawStallion

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 07:00

Before kick-off · Match result · Stallion 95%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Stallion are clear favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Philippine Army 2%, draw 3%, Stallion 95%. Over 2.5 goals 93%, both teams to score 53%.

The AI’s read on Philippine Army v StallionBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 19 Oct 01:37 · locked at kick-off

Philippine Army win2%

Draw3%

Stallion win95%

Kick-offSUN 25 OCT · 07:00

RoundGroup stage

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Philippine Army

Stallion

21Days since last match7

Last match: 4 Oct · PFL

Last match: 18 Oct · PFL

0Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026/27

Positions before kick-off

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
5	Stallion	5	0	7
10	Philippine Army	3	−11	0

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Line-ups, squads and player statistics aren’t currently available for this competition.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · stallion winFirst published 19 Oct 01:37 · locked at kick-off

95% The market–

Us95%

We make Stallion a 95% chance to win. The model expects 0.8–5.6, and 0–5 is the single most likely score at 7%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Philippine Army v Stallion~~0.78 – 5.60

~~Form · PFL this season · since 12 Sept~~W0 D0 L3 · W2 D1 L2

~~Table places · points 0 v 7~~10 v 5

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Philippine Army win	2%	–	–
Draw	3%	–	–
Stallion win	95%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	93%	–	–
Both teams to score	53%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	98%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	85%	–	–
Philippine Army or draw	5%	–	–
Philippine Army clean sheet	1%	–	–
Stallion clean sheet	47%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 0–5 at 7.1%

0123450 3.4 5.5 6.8 7.11 2.6 4.2 5.2 5.32 2.2 2.23 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Philippine Army down, Stallion across0–5 goals a side shown (54.0% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 434 PFL matches up to 18 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: PFL matches have gone over 2.5 in 70.5% of games recently, across 400 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 4 previous meetings since 2023 in every competition we cover, 6.50 goals a meeting; 4 of 4 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Philippine Army at home: 1.00 scored, 5.00 conceded a game (last 6). Stallion away: 1.67 scored, 2.00 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

0.78 goals for Philippine Army, 5.60 for Stallion. Most likely score 0–5.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

4 meetings since 2023

~~Goals a meeting~~6.50

~~Over 2.5~~4 of 4

~~Both scored~~2 of 4

~~Last meetings~~PHI 1–5 STA · STA 7–0 PHI · STA 6–0 PHI · STA 6–1 PHI

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · PFL this season · since 12 Sept

PHILIPPINE ARMY

LLL3–4 · 0–5 · 0–5

STALLION

WLLWD4–0 · 0–3 · 0–2 · 5–4 · 1–1

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Maharlika	7	+8	14
2	Manila Digger	4	+8	12
3	Kaya	5	+9	10
4	Davao Aguilas	3	+5	7
5	Stallion	5	0	7
6	Azkals	5	−6	4
7	Dynamic Herb Cebu	3	+3	3
8	Tuloy	6	−12	3
9	Mendiola	3	−4	2
10	Philippine Army	3	−11	0