Maharlika v Davao Aguilas

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Davao Aguilas win at 49%.
2. 1′Little has changed for our model: Davao Aguilas 49% before kick-off, 49% now. 0–0 · 28–24–49
3. 1′KICK-OFF Maharlika v Davao Aguilas
4. 18′Davao Aguilas find the net on 18′. 0–1. 0–1 · 9–18–74
5. 18′⚽ GOAL · 18' Maharlika 0–1 Davao Aguilas
6. 18′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 18' Davao Aguilas win: 49% at kick-off, 74% now
7. 20′We said Davao Aguilas at 49% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 74%. 0–1 · 8–18–74
8. 28′We said Davao Aguilas at 49% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 75%. 0–1 · 7–18–75
9. 30′The goal count is tracking the 2.6 we expected. 0–1 · 7–18–75
10. 45′HALF-TIME Maharlika 0–1 Davao Aguilas
11. 46′SECOND HALF Maharlika 0–1 Davao Aguilas
12. 53′A goal for Maharlika on 53′ — 1–1. 1–1 · 21–45–34
13. 53′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 53' Davao Aguilas win: 49% at kick-off, 79% now
14. 53′⚽ GOAL · 53' Maharlika 1–1 Davao Aguilas
15. 53′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 53' Davao Aguilas win: 49% at kick-off, 34% now
16. 53′THE CALL SWINGS · 53' Draw is now our likeliest result at 45% (was Davao Aguilas win 34%)
17. 54′We said Davao Aguilas at 49%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 33%. 1–1 · 21–46–33
18. 56′Maharlika score on 56′ to make it 2–1. 2–1 · 68–24–8
19. 56′⚽ GOAL · 56' Maharlika 2–1 Davao Aguilas
20. 56′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 56' Davao Aguilas win: 49% at kick-off, 8% now
21. 56′THE CALL SWINGS · 56' Maharlika win is now our likeliest result at 68% (was Draw 24%)
22. 57′We said Davao Aguilas at 49%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 8%. 2–1 · 68–24–8
23. 57′3 goals already, more than the 2.6 we expected for the whole match. 2–1 · 68–24–8
24. 58′Davao Aguilas find the net on 58′. 2–2. 2–2 · 20–49–31
25. 58′That is 4, and we only asked for 2.6 across ninety minutes. 2–2 · 20–49–31
26. 58′⚽ GOAL · 58' Maharlika 2–2 Davao Aguilas
27. 58′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 58' Davao Aguilas win: 49% at kick-off, 31% now
28. 58′THE CALL SWINGS · 58' Draw is now our likeliest result at 49% (was Maharlika win 20%)
29. 62′We said Davao Aguilas at 49%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 29%. 2–2 · 19–52–29
30. 69′We said Davao Aguilas at 49%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 24%. 2–2 · 16–60–24
31. 75′We said Davao Aguilas at 49%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 19%. 2–2 · 13–68–19
32. 75′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 75' Davao Aguilas win: 49% at kick-off, 19% now
33. 80′We said Davao Aguilas at 49%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 14%. 2–2 · 9–77–14
34. 84′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 84' Davao Aguilas win: 49% at kick-off, 9% now
35. 91′We said Davao Aguilas at 49%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 4%. 2–2 · 3–93–4
36. FTFULL TIME Maharlika 2–2 Davao Aguilas
37. FTMaharlika 2–2 Davao Aguilas · Davao Aguilas win: wrong · Under 2.5: wrong · Not both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 0–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.