Kaya v Stallion

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Kaya win at 59%.
2. 1′Much as we predicted: Kaya was 59% before kick-off and our model makes it 59% now. 0–0 · 59–20–21
3. 1′KICK-OFF Kaya v Stallion
4. 13′A goal for Kaya on 12′ — 1–0. 1–0 · 79–14–7
5. 13′We published Kaya at 59%. Our model now makes it 79%. 1–0 · 79–14–7
6. 13′⚽ GOAL · 12' Kaya 1–0 Stallion
7. 13′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 13' Kaya win: 59% at kick-off, 79% now
8. 30′Goals are coming at about the 3.0 we expected. 1–0 · 79–15–6
9. 32′We published Kaya at 59%. Our model now makes it 80%. 1–0 · 80–15–6
10. 45′HALF-TIME Kaya 1–0 Stallion
11. 46′SECOND HALF Kaya 1–0 Stallion
12. 67′We published Kaya at 59%. Our model now makes it 85%. 1–0 · 85–13–2
13. 76′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 76' Kaya win: 59% at kick-off, 89% now
14. 78′We published Kaya at 59%. Our model now makes it 90%. 1–0 · 90–10–1
15. 86′Stallion score on 86′ to make it 1–1. 1–1 · 10–85–5
16. 86′We said Kaya at 59%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 10%. 1–1 · 10–85–5
17. 86′⚽ GOAL · 86' Kaya 1–1 Stallion
18. 86′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 86' Kaya win: 59% at kick-off, 10% now
19. 86′THE CALL SWINGS · 86' Draw is now our likeliest result at 85% (was Kaya win 10%)
20. 87′We said Kaya at 59%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 9%. 1–1 · 9–86–5
21. 87′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 87' Kaya win: 59% at kick-off, 9% now
22. 90′A red card for Stallion on 90′. The model does not price cards, so read the number with that in mind. 1–1 · 6–91–3
23. 90′🟥 RED CARD · 90+1' Stallion
24. FTFULL TIME Kaya 1–1 Stallion
25. FTKaya 1–1 Stallion · Kaya win: wrong · Over 2.5: wrong · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–0 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.