Sport Huancayo 2 v Deportivo Llacuabamba prediction · Segunda División

Full timeGraded 12 Oct 21:52

Sport Huancayo 2 0–0 Deportivo Llacuabamba SPORT HUANCAYO 2 WIN · WRONGUNDER 2.5 · RIGHTNOT BOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · WRONGUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–0 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Sport Huancayo 2 win~~49%

~~The market said~~39%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.803

~~The market’s Brier score~~0.732

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay2 notes · 17 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said Sport Huancayo 2 win at 49%.
1′Much as we predicted: Sport Huancayo 2 was 49% before kick-off and our model makes it 49% now. 0–0 · 49–28–23
1′KICK-OFF Sport Huancayo 2 v Deportivo Llacuabamba
24′Much as we predicted: Sport Huancayo 2 was 49% before kick-off and our model makes it 44% now. 0–0 · 44–34–22
33′🟨 YELLOW · 33' Deportivo Llacuabamba
39′🟨 YELLOW · 38' Deportivo Llacuabamba
45′HALF-TIME Sport Huancayo 2 0–0 Deportivo Llacuabamba
46′SECOND HALF Sport Huancayo 2 0–0 Deportivo Llacuabamba
50′SUBSTITUTION · 46' Sport Huancayo 2 · On: G. Fuentes · Off: J. Hurtado
54′🟨 YELLOW · 33' E. Rossi · Deportivo Llacuabamba
54′🟨 YELLOW · 38' Q. Guadalupe · Deportivo Llacuabamba
54′SUBSTITUTION · 46' Sport Huancayo 2 · On: G. Fuentes · Off: J. Hurtado
70′SUBSTITUTION · 59' Deportivo Llacuabamba · On: J. Soto · Off: Q. Guadalupe
71′🟨 YELLOW · 71' Sport Huancayo 2
78′🟨 YELLOW · 71' Sport Huancayo 2
87′SUBSTITUTION · 81' Deportivo Llacuabamba · On: M. Duran · Off: E. Rossi
87′SUBSTITUTION · 83' Sport Huancayo 2 · On: P. Ibanez · Off: A. Acosta
88′SUBSTITUTION · 83' Sport Huancayo 2 · On: P. Ibanez · Off: A. Acosta
89′🟨 YELLOW · 89' Deportivo Llacuabamba
FTFULL TIME Sport Huancayo 2 0–0 Deportivo Llacuabamba
FTSport Huancayo 2 0–0 Deportivo Llacuabamba · Sport Huancayo 2 win: wrong · Under 2.5: right · Not both to score: right · Over 1.5: wrong · Under 3.5: right · 1–0 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

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Pre-match prediction

Published 12 Oct 18:50 · locked at kick-off

Sport Huancayo 2 win49%

Draw28%

Deportivo Llacuabamba win23%

Kick-offMON 12 OCT · 19:15

Line-ups

Sport Huancayo 2

Deportivo Llacuabamba

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · this competition

Sport Huancayo 2

Deportivo Llacuabamba

5Days since last match5

1Matches in previous 14 days1

Based on available results in this competition before kick-off.

League table

2026

Positions of these teams

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
5	Sport Huancayo 2	18	+9	28
7	Deportivo Llacuabamba	16	+11	26

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Line-ups, squads and player statistics aren’t currently available for this competition.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Sport Huancayo 2

Formation not confirmed

1 M. Sandi

30 D. M. Cienfuegos Abad

92 J. Barreda

19 R. Andia

11 C. Jimenez

5 J. Meza

6 J. A. Espinoza Lopez

18 A. Acosta

10 C. J. Mendoza Suarez

13 J. Hurtado

21 J. Mosquera

Coach · –

Substitutes

29 · A. Ccorahua

27 · P. Ibanez

20 · L. Villar

22 · C. Contreras

– · V. Balbuena

89 · G. Fuentes

7 · G. Valdeavellano

Deportivo Llacuabamba

Formation not confirmed

74 M. Diaz

26 G. Iraola

44 E. Rossi

16 P. Oba

3 Q. Guadalupe

19 N. Alejandria

30 J. Leudo

35 D. Sanchez

46 J. Aguero

10 J. Tunqui

28 M. Zarate

Coach · –

Substitutes

21 · O. Ramos

45 · M. Barreda

5 · J. Soto

24 · J. Martinez

20 · A. Pullchz

15 · A. Cabrera

14 · J. Vichez

17 · J. Paredes

22 · M. Duran

Our number · sport huancayo 2 winFirst published 9 Oct 06:15 · updated 12 Oct 18:50 · locked at kick-off

49% The market39%

Us49%

~~Market~~39%

We make Sport Huancayo 2 a 49% chance to win. The market has them at 39%. We are 9 points more confident than the market. The model expects 1.4–0.9.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · sport huancayo 2 win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 39% now.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Sport Huancayo 2 win	49%	39%	+9
Draw	28%	30%	−2
Deportivo Llacuabamba win	23%	30%	−7
Over 2.5 goals	39%	43%	−4
Both teams to score	43%	49%	−7
Over 1.5 goals	65%	67%	−1
Over 3.5 goals	19%	23%	−4
Sport Huancayo 2 or draw	77%	70%	+7
Sport Huancayo 2 clean sheet	43%	–	–
Deportivo Llacuabamba clean sheet	26%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 7 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–0 at 14.2%

0123450 11.6 8.7 4.0 1 14.2 12.6 5.2 2 10.1 8.3 3.6 3 4.8 3.9 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Sport Huancayo 2 down, Deportivo Llacuabamba across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 985 Segunda División matches up to 12 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Segunda División matches have gone over 2.5 in 41.2% of games this season, across 148 played.

Head to head

No previous meeting between these two, so this step adds nothing.

Home and away form

Sport Huancayo 2 at home: 1.83 scored, 0.33 conceded a game (last 6). Deportivo Llacuabamba away: 0.50 scored, 1.50 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.39 goals for Sport Huancayo 2, 0.85 for Deportivo Llacuabamba. Most likely score 1–0.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

0 meetings since 2021

No meetings between these two in Segunda División since 2021. Cup ties and meetings in other competitions are not counted here.

Form · last six in Segunda División

SPORT HUANCAYO 2

WLWWWL1–0 · 1–2 · 7–0 · 2–0 · 1–0 · 0–1

DEPORTIVO LLACUABAMBA

LDLDDW0–2 · 1–1 · 2–3 · 0–0 · 0–0 · 4–0

The table

2026

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Union Comercio	17	+10	32
2	Bentín Tacna Heroica	19	+7	31
3	Minas	18	+15	28
4	Carlos A. Mannucci	16	+11	28
5	Sport Huancayo 2	18	+9	28
6	Santos	18	+4	27
7	Deportivo Llacuabamba	16	+11	26
8	Comerciantes	19	+2	26
9	Deportiva Agropecuaria	17	+2	25
10	U. San Martin	17	−1	24
11	Alianza Universidad	18	−1	22
12	Molinos El Pirata	16	−1	22
13	Ayacucho FC	18	−3	22
14	Estudiantil CNI	17	+4	18
15	Cesar Vallejo	15	−2	17
16	Academia Cantolao	17	−17	12
17	Deportivo Binacional	18	−43	11
18	San Marcos	2	−7	0