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Model 1.2

Home › Football › Segunda División › Sport Huancayo 2 v Comerciantes

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Sport Huancayo 2 v Comerciantes

Sport Huancayo 2
18:00Upcoming
Comerciantes

Segunda División · SUN 25 OCT

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Sport Huancayo 2DrawComerciantes
Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 18:00
Before kick-off · Match result · Sport Huancayo 2 50%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Sport Huancayo 2 are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Sport Huancayo 2 50%, draw 29%, Comerciantes 22%. Over 2.5 goals 38%, both teams to score 41%.

The AI’s read on Sport Huancayo 2 v ComerciantesBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 19 Oct 01:37 · locked at kick-off

Sport Huancayo 2 win50%
Draw29%
Comerciantes win22%

Kick-offSUN 25 OCT · 18:00

RoundPromotion Group · matchday 5

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Sport Huancayo 2

Comerciantes

7Days since last match7

Last match: 18 Oct · the Peruvian Segunda División

Last match: 18 Oct · the Peruvian Segunda División

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · sport huancayo 2 winFirst published 19 Oct 01:37 · updated 19 Oct 05:40 · locked at kick-off
50% The market–
Us50%

We make Sport Huancayo 2 a 50% chance to win. The model expects 1.4–0.8, and 1–0 is the single most likely score at 15%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Sport Huancayo 2 v Comerciantes1.39 – 0.82
Form · last six in Segunda División this season · since 29 AugW4 D1 L1 · W2 D0 L4

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published
45%50%55% 19 OCT 01:3725 OCT 02:20
Our probability · Sport Huancayo 2 win

Published at 51%, 50% now.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Sport Huancayo 2 win50%––
Draw29%––
Comerciantes win22%––
Over 2.5 goals38%––
Both teams to score41%––
Over 1.5 goals65%––
Over 3.5 goals18%––
Sport Huancayo 2 or draw78%––
Sport Huancayo 2 clean sheet45%––
Comerciantes clean sheet26%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–0 at 14.8%
0123450 12.1 8.6 3.8 1 14.8 12.6 5.0 2 10.5 8.3 3.4 3 4.9 3.9 4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Sport Huancayo 2 down, Comerciantes across0–5 goals a side shown (99.5% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

3 meetings since 2026
Goals a meeting2.67
Over 2.51 of 3
Both scored2 of 3
Last meetingsCOM 0–1 SPO · SPO 1–1 COM · COM 3–2 SPO

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Segunda División this season · since 29 Aug

SPORT HUANCAYO 2

WWWLDW7–0 · 2–0 · 1–0 · 0–1 · 0–0 · 2–1

COMERCIANTES

LWLLLW0–1 · 5–1 · 0–1 · 0–4 · 0–2 · 1–0