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Minas v Molinos El Pirata

Minas
4–0Full time
Molinos El Pirata

Segunda División · SAT 17 OCT · Estadio Huancayo

Full timeGraded 18 Oct 00:00
Minas 4–0 Molinos El Pirata MINAS WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · RIGHTNOT BOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · WRONG2–0 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said Minas win67%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.170

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

AI match analysis

Pass
Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Minas are clear favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Minas 67%, draw 20%, Molinos El Pirata 13%. Over 2.5 goals 54%, both teams to score 47%.

The AI’s read on Minas v Molinos El PirataBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

Minas win67%
Draw20%
Molinos El Pirata win13%

Kick-offSAT 17 OCT · 19:00

RoundPromotion Group · matchday 4

VenueEstadio Huancayo

Line-ups

Minas

Molinos El Pirata

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Minas

Molinos El Pirata

5Days since last match5

Last match: 12 Oct · the Peruvian Segunda División

Last match: 12 Oct · the Peruvian Segunda División

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Minas

Formation not confirmed

29 L. Duque

17 M. Correa

20 M. Quina

12 L. Baylon

14 L. Trujillo

30 C. Ruiz

10 L. Garcia

27 D. Chavez

5 A. Agurto

18 S. Santibanez

33 G. Pereira

Coach · –

Substitutes

1 · A. Stein

16 · H. Escobar

2 · F. Zamalloa

8 · S. Lopez

25 · R. Ardiles

23 · R. Chinga

7 · D. Ramirez

19 · D. Alania

9 · Y. Mena

Molinos El Pirata

Formation not confirmed

12 R. Quiroz

4 J. Canova

30 F. Butron

3 P. Diez Canseco

32 M. Suclupe

26 J. Rojas

5 H. Hoyos

6 J. Navarro

10 K. Lugo

25 A. Chirinos

7 B. Cordara

Coach · Jahir Butron

Substitutes

18 · R. Aliaga

20 · S. Santos

8 · J. Carbajal

24 · F. Larrea

19 · M. Morales

22 · A. Rodriguez

23 · F. La Torre

17 · D. Tapia

16 · A. Dominguez

Our number · minas winFirst published 11 Oct 03:54 · updated 13 Oct 05:43 · locked at kick-off
67% The market–
Us67%

We make Minas a 67% chance to win. The model expects 2.1–0.8, and 2–0 is the single most likely score at 12%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Minas v Molinos El Pirata2.09 – 0.79
Form · last six in Segunda División this season · since 23 AugW3 D1 L2 · W2 D2 L2

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published
65%70%75% 11 OCT 04:0417 OCT 18:28
Our probability · Minas win

Published at 69%, 67% now.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Minas win67%––
Draw20%––
Molinos El Pirata win13%––
Over 2.5 goals54%––
Both teams to score47%––
Over 1.5 goals78%––
Over 3.5 goals33%––
Minas or draw87%––
Minas clean sheet46%––
Molinos El Pirata clean sheet13%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 2–0 at 12.1%
0123450 6.5 4.3 1 11.6 9.4 3.6 2 12.1 9.2 3.6 3 8.4 6.4 2.5 4 4.5 3.4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Minas down, Molinos El Pirata across0–5 goals a side shown (97.5% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

1 meeting since 2026
Goals a meeting1.00
Over 2.50 of 1
Both scored0 of 1
Last meetingsMOL 1–0 MIN

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Segunda División this season · since 23 Aug

MINAS

WDWLWL2–1 · 1–1 · 2–0 · 0–1 · 4–1 · 0–1

MOLINOS EL PIRATA

DLDLWW1–1 · 2–4 · 0–0 · 0–2 · 2–0 · 1–0