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Minas v Ayacucho FC
MinasAyacucho FCSegunda División · SAT 24 OCT · Estadio Huancayo
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Minas win at 70%.
- 1′Little has changed for our model: Minas 70% before kick-off, 69% now. 0–0 · 69–19–12
- 1′KICK-OFF Minas v Ayacucho FC
- 16′Ayacucho FC find the net on 16′. 0–1. 0–1 · 40–26–34
- 16′⚽ GOAL · 16' Minas 0–1 Ayacucho FC
- 16′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 16' Minas win: 70% at kick-off, 40% now
- 18′We said Minas at 70%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 39%. 0–1 · 39–26–35
- 27′We said Minas at 70%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 34%. 0–1 · 34–27–38
- 29′THE CALL SWINGS · 29' Ayacucho FC win is now our likeliest result at 39% (was Minas win 37%)
- 30′The goal count is tracking the 3.1 we expected. 0–1 · 33–28–39
- 35′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 35' Minas win: 70% at kick-off, 30% now
- 37′We said Minas at 70%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 29%. 0–1 · 29–29–42
- 42′SUBSTITUTION · 38' Minas · On: A. Agurto · Off: M. Correa
- 45′We said Minas at 70%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 24%. 0–1 · 24–30–46
- 45′HALF-TIME Minas 0–1 Ayacucho FC
- 46′SECOND HALF Minas 0–1 Ayacucho FC
- 48′SUBSTITUTION · 46' Minas · On: F. Zamalloa · Off: L. Baylon
- 49′🟨 YELLOW · 49' Minas
- 51′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 51' Minas win: 70% at kick-off, 20% now
- 53′We said Minas at 70%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 19%. 0–1 · 19–30–51
- 57′SUBSTITUTION · 46' Minas · On: D. Ramirez · Off: C. Ruiz
- 61′We said Minas at 70%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 14%. 0–1 · 14–29–57
- 67′🟨 YELLOW · 66' Ayacucho FC
- 67′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 67' Minas win: 70% at kick-off, 10% now
- 68′We said Minas at 70%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 9%. 0–1 · 9–27–63
- 77′We said Minas at 70%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 4%. 0–1 · 4–21–75
- 81′SUBSTITUTION · 68' Ayacucho FC · On: F. Salcedo · Off: E. Gonzales
- 81′SUBSTITUTION · 76' Ayacucho FC · On: Y. Gavilan · Off: M. Infante
- 88′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 88' Minas win: 70% at kick-off, under 1% now
- 90′🟨 YELLOW · 90' Ayacucho FC
- 91′A goal for Ayacucho FC on 90′ — 0–2. 0–2 · 0–0–100
- 91′⚽ GOAL · 90+1' Minas 0–2 Ayacucho FC
- 93′Minas score on 90′ to make it 1–2. 1–2 · 0–4–96
- 93′⚽ GOAL · 90+3' Minas 1–2 Ayacucho FC
- FTFULL TIME Minas 1–2 Ayacucho FC
- FTMinas 1–2 Ayacucho FC · Minas win: wrong · Over 2.5: right · Not both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 2–0 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
Minas are clear favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Minas 70%, draw 19%, Ayacucho FC 12%. Over 2.5 goals 58%, both teams to score 49%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off
Minas win70%Ayacucho FC win12%Kick-offSAT 24 OCT · 17:00
RoundPromotion Group · matchday 5
VenueEstadio Huancayo
Match timeline
All events
MinasMINAyacucho FCEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Minas
Ayacucho FC
Last match: 17 Oct · the Peruvian Segunda División
Last match: 18 Oct · the Peruvian Segunda División
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make Minas a 70% chance to win. The model expects 2.3–0.8, and 2–0 is the single most likely score at 12%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Published at 71%, 70% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Minas win | 70% | – | – |
| Draw | 19% | – | – |
| Ayacucho FC win | 12% | – | – |
| Over 2.5 goals | 58% | – | – |
| Both teams to score | 49% | – | – |
| Over 1.5 goals | 80% | – | – |
| Over 3.5 goals | 37% | – | – |
| Minas or draw | 88% | – | – |
| Minas clean sheet | 46% | – | – |
| Ayacucho FC clean sheet | 11% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
3 meetings since 2026Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · last six in Segunda División this season · since 4 Sept
MINAS
AYACUCHO FC