Deportivo Llacuabamba v Sport Huancayo 2 prediction · Segunda División

Full timeGraded 18 Oct 21:31

Deportivo Llacuabamba 1–2 Sport Huancayo 2 DEPORTIVO LLACUABAMBA WIN · WRONGUNDER 2.5 · WRONGNOT BOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–0 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Deportivo Llacuabamba win~~49%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.938

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Deportivo Llacuabamba are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Deportivo Llacuabamba 49%, draw 29%, Sport Huancayo 2 22%. Over 2.5 goals 35%, both teams to score 40%.

The AI’s read on Deportivo Llacuabamba v Sport Huancayo 2Before, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 12 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

Deportivo Llacuabamba win49%

Draw29%

Sport Huancayo 2 win22%

Kick-offSUN 18 OCT · 19:00

RoundPromotion Group · matchday 4

Line-ups

Deportivo Llacuabamba

Sport Huancayo 2

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Deportivo Llacuabamba

Sport Huancayo 2

6Days since last match6

Last match: 12 Oct · the Peruvian Segunda División

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Deportivo Llacuabamba

Formation not confirmed

21 O. Ramos

26 G. Iraola

44 E. Rossi

16 P. Oba

3 Q. Guadalupe

19 N. Alejandria

30 J. Leudo

35 D. Sanchez

46 J. Aguero

10 J. Tunqui

28 M. Zarate

Coach · –

Substitutes

1 · J. Cruz

45 · M. Barreda

5 · J. Soto

24 · J. Martinez

13 · D. Moyano

15 · A. Cabrera

14 · J. Vilchez

17 · J. Paredes

22 · M. Duran

Sport Huancayo 2

Formation not confirmed

1 M. Sandi

11 C. Jimenez

27 P. Ibanez

30 D. M. Cienfuegos Abad

19 R. Andia

20 L. Villar

5 J. Meza

13 J. Hurtado

18 A. Acosta

10 C. J. Mendoza Suarez

89 G. Fuentes

Coach · –

Substitutes

29 · F. Palomino

44 · L. Torres

6 · J. A. Espinoza Lopez

22 · C. Contreras

21 · F. Ramos

7 · G. Valdeavellano

Our number · deportivo llacuabamba winFirst published 12 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

49% The market–

Us49%

We make Deportivo Llacuabamba a 49% chance to win. The model expects 1.3–0.8, and 1–0 is the single most likely score at 15%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Deportivo Llacuabamba v Sport Huancayo 2~~1.33 – 0.78

~~Form · last six in Segunda División this season · since 30 Aug~~W1 D4 L1 · W3 D1 L2

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · Deportivo Llacuabamba win

Our number has not moved since we published.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Deportivo Llacuabamba win	49%	–	–
Draw	29%	–	–
Sport Huancayo 2 win	22%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	35%	–	–
Both teams to score	40%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	62%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	17%	–	–
Deportivo Llacuabamba or draw	78%	–	–
Deportivo Llacuabamba clean sheet	46%	–	–
Sport Huancayo 2 clean sheet	27%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–0 at 15.5%

0123450 13.1 9.0 3.8 1 15.5 12.7 4.8 2 10.5 8.0 3.2 3 4.8 3.6 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Deportivo Llacuabamba down, Sport Huancayo 2 across0–5 goals a side shown (99.6% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 993 Segunda División matches up to 17 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Segunda División matches have gone over 2.5 in 41.7% of games this season, across 156 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 1 previous meeting since 2026 in every competition we cover, 0.00 goals a meeting; 0 of 1 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Deportivo Llacuabamba at home: 2.17 scored, 0.17 conceded a game (last 6). Sport Huancayo 2 away: 1.00 scored, 0.67 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.33 goals for Deportivo Llacuabamba, 0.78 for Sport Huancayo 2. Most likely score 1–0.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

1 meeting since 2026

~~Goals a meeting~~0.00

~~Over 2.5~~0 of 1

~~Both scored~~0 of 1

~~Last meetings~~SPO 0–0 DEP

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Segunda División this season · since 30 Aug

DEPORTIVO LLACUABAMBA

DLDDWD1–1 · 2–3 · 0–0 · 0–0 · 4–0 · 0–0

SPORT HUANCAYO 2

LWWWLD1–2 · 7–0 · 2–0 · 1–0 · 0–1 · 0–0

Deportivo Llacuabamba v Sport Huancayo 2

The match pulse

AI match analysis

Pre-match prediction

Match timeline

Line-ups

Deportivo Llacuabamba

Sport Huancayo 2

Rest & schedule

Deportivo Llacuabamba

Sport Huancayo 2

The game in numbers

Line-ups

Deportivo Llacuabamba

Sport Huancayo 2

Match statistics

Line-ups

Deportivo Llacuabamba

Sport Huancayo 2

What the number rests on

Head to head

Form · last six in Segunda División this season · since 30 Aug