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Deportivo Binacional v Santos
Deportivo Binacional
SantosSegunda División · FRI 23 OCT · Estadio Guillermo Briceno Rosamedina
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Santos win at 56%.
- 26′A goal for Santos on 1′ — 1–1. 1–1 · 23–26–51
- 27′A goal for Deportivo Binacional on 19′ — 1–1. 1–1 · 23–27–50
- 28′Little has changed for our model: Santos 56% before kick-off, 50% now. 1–1 · 23–27–50
- 41′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 41' Santos win: 56% at kick-off, 46% now
- 43′Santos score on 42′ to make it 1–2. 1–2 · 6–16–78
- 43′We said Santos at 56% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 78%. 1–2 · 6–16–78
- 43′⚽ GOAL · 42' Deportivo Binacional 1–2 Santos
- 43′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 43' Santos win: 56% at kick-off, 78% now
- 45′HALF-TIME Deportivo Binacional 1–2 Santos
- 46′SECOND HALF Deportivo Binacional 1–2 Santos
- 55′Santos are down to ten from 55′. Our number never saw that coming — nothing here adjusts for it. 1–2 · 4–16–80
- 55′🟥 RED CARD · 55' Santos
- 56′We said Santos at 56% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 80%. 1–2 · 4–16–80
- 64′SUBSTITUTION · 60' Santos · On: P. Toledo · Off: G. Morales
- 64′SUBSTITUTION · 60' Deportivo Binacional · On: B. Cubas · Off: A. Gastulo
- 65′SUBSTITUTION · 60' Santos · On: Y. Tello · Off: M. Curiel
- 67′🟨 YELLOW · 67' Deportivo Binacional
- 71′The goal count is tracking the 3.3 we expected. 1–2 · 2–14–84
- 73′We said Santos at 56% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 85%. 1–2 · 2–13–85
- 73′SUBSTITUTION · 63' Deportivo Binacional · On: J. Diaz · Off: O. Vasquez
- 74′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 74' Santos win: 56% at kick-off, 86% now
- 80′We said Santos at 56% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 90%. 1–2 · 1–10–90
- 83′🟨 YELLOW · 83' Deportivo Binacional
- 84′SUBSTITUTION · 80' Deportivo Binacional · On: S. Lopez · Off: C. Farfan
- 85′SUBSTITUTION · 80' Deportivo Binacional · On: S. Angulo · Off: A. Huaraccallo
- 85′SUBSTITUTION · 80' Santos · On: J. Romero · Off: D. Taco
- 87′We said Santos at 56% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 95%. 1–2 · 0–5–95
- 87′🟨 YELLOW · 56' C. A. Perez Ochoa · Deportivo Binacional
- 88′🟨 YELLOW · 83' S. Torres · Santos
- 89′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 89' Santos win: 56% at kick-off, 96% now
- 92′SUBSTITUTION · 89' Santos · On: L. Aguirre · Off: S. Torres
- FTFULL TIME Deportivo Binacional 1–2 Santos
- FTDeportivo Binacional 1–2 Santos · Santos win: right · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
Santos are favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Deportivo Binacional 23%, draw 21%, Santos 56%. Over 2.5 goals 63%, both teams to score 60%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 17 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off
Deportivo Binacional win23%
Santos win56%Kick-offFRI 23 OCT · 21:00
RoundRelegation Group · matchday 5
VenueEstadio Guillermo Briceno Rosamedina
Match timeline
All events
Deportivo BinacionalMIN
SantosEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Deportivo Binacional
Santos
Last match: 11 Oct · the Peruvian Segunda División
Last match: 17 Oct · the Peruvian Segunda División
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make Santos a 56% chance to win. The model expects 1.2–2.1, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 9%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Published at 57%, 56% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deportivo Binacional win | 23% | – | – |
| Draw | 21% | – | – |
| Santos win | 56% | – | – |
| Over 2.5 goals | 63% | – | – |
| Both teams to score | 60% | – | – |
| Over 1.5 goals | 84% | – | – |
| Over 3.5 goals | 42% | – | – |
| Deportivo Binacional or draw | 44% | – | – |
| Deportivo Binacional clean sheet | 14% | – | – |
| Santos clean sheet | 31% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
5 meetings since 2021Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · last six in Segunda División this season · since 22 Aug
DEPORTIVO BINACIONAL
SANTOS