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Model 1.2

Home › Football › Segunda División › Comerciantes v Deportivo Llacuabamba

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Comerciantes v Deportivo Llacuabamba

Comerciantes
20:15Upcoming
Deportivo Llacuabamba

Segunda División · SAT 31 OCT · Estadio Max Augustin

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

ComerciantesDrawDeportivo Llacuabamba
Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 20:15
Before kick-off · Match result · Comerciantes 49%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Comerciantes are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Comerciantes 49%, draw 28%, Deportivo Llacuabamba 23%. Over 2.5 goals 39%, both teams to score 43%.

The AI’s read on Comerciantes v Deportivo LlacuabambaBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 25 Oct 01:45 · locked at kick-off

Comerciantes win49%
Draw28%
Deportivo Llacuabamba win23%

Kick-offSAT 31 OCT · 20:15

RoundPromotion Group · matchday 6

VenueEstadio Max Augustin

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Comerciantes

Deportivo Llacuabamba

13Days since last match13

Last match: 18 Oct · the Peruvian Segunda División

Last match: 18 Oct · the Peruvian Segunda División

1Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · comerciantes winFirst published 25 Oct 01:45 · locked at kick-off
49% The market–
Us49%

We make Comerciantes a 49% chance to win. The model expects 1.4–0.9, and 1–0 is the single most likely score at 14%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Comerciantes v Deportivo Llacuabamba1.39 – 0.86
Form · last six in Segunda División this season · since 29 AugW2 D0 L4 · W1 D3 L2

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Comerciantes win49%––
Draw28%––
Deportivo Llacuabamba win23%––
Over 2.5 goals39%––
Both teams to score43%––
Over 1.5 goals66%––
Over 3.5 goals19%––
Comerciantes or draw77%––
Comerciantes clean sheet43%––
Deportivo Llacuabamba clean sheet26%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–0 at 14.1%
0123450 11.7 8.7 4.0 1 14.1 12.6 5.2 2 10.0 8.3 3.6 3 4.8 4.0 4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Comerciantes down, Deportivo Llacuabamba across0–5 goals a side shown (99.5% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

4 meetings since 2023
Goals a meeting2.50
Over 2.52 of 4
Both scored1 of 4
Last meetingsDEP 4–0 COM · DEP 0–1 COM · COM 2–0 DEP · DEP 2–1 COM

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Segunda División this season · since 29 Aug

COMERCIANTES

LWLLLW0–1 · 5–1 · 0–1 · 0–4 · 0–2 · 1–0

DEPORTIVO LLACUABAMBA

LDDWDL2–3 · 0–0 · 0–0 · 4–0 · 0–0 · 1–2