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Cesar Vallejo v Estudiantil CNI

Cesar Vallejo
2–1Full time
Estudiantil CNI

Segunda División · SAT 17 OCT · Estadio Mansiche

Full timeGraded 18 Oct 00:00
Cesar Vallejo 2–1 Estudiantil CNI CESAR VALLEJO WIN · RIGHTUNDER 2.5 · WRONGBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said Cesar Vallejo win50%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.382

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay12 notes · 23 alerts
  1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Cesar Vallejo win at 50%.
  2. 27′Cesar Vallejo ahead on 4′ through F. Ysique. 1–0. 1–0 · 76–17–7
  3. 27′We said Cesar Vallejo at 50% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 76%. 1–0 · 76–17–7
  4. 31′The goal count is tracking the 2.6 we expected. 1–0 · 77–17–7
  5. 45′🟨 YELLOW · 45+1' Cesar Vallejo
  6. 45′HALF-TIME Cesar Vallejo 1–0 Estudiantil CNI
  7. 46′SECOND HALF Cesar Vallejo 1–0 Estudiantil CNI
  8. 52′SUBSTITUTION · 46' Estudiantil CNI · On: R. Huaman · Off: E. Cabrera
  9. 54′We said Cesar Vallejo at 50% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 80%. 1–0 · 80–16–4
  10. 54′SUBSTITUTION · 46' Estudiantil CNI · On: E. Rueda · Off: R. Oliveira
  11. 54′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 54' Cesar Vallejo win: 50% at kick-off, 80% now
  12. 54′🟨 YELLOW · 54' Cesar Vallejo
  13. 56′A goal for Estudiantil CNI on 56′ — 1–1. 1–1 · 34–47–20
  14. 56′⚽ GOAL · 56' Cesar Vallejo 1–1 Estudiantil CNI
  15. 56′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 56' Cesar Vallejo win: 50% at kick-off, 34% now
  16. 56′THE CALL SWINGS · 56' Draw is now our likeliest result at 47% (was Cesar Vallejo win 34%)
  17. 57′We said Cesar Vallejo at 50%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 33%. 1–1 · 33–48–19
  18. 63′We said Cesar Vallejo at 50%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 29%. 1–1 · 29–53–18
  19. 63′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 63' Cesar Vallejo win: 50% at kick-off, 29% now
  20. 68′SUBSTITUTION · 67' Cesar Vallejo · On: I. Regalado · Off: S. Vera
  21. 68′🟨 YELLOW · 68' Estudiantil CNI
  22. 69′Cesar Vallejo score on 69′ to make it 2–1. 2–1 · 85–14–2
  23. 69′⚽ GOAL · 69' Cesar Vallejo 2–1 Estudiantil CNI
  24. 69′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 69' Cesar Vallejo win: 50% at kick-off, 85% now
  25. 69′THE CALL SWINGS · 69' Cesar Vallejo win is now our likeliest result at 85% (was Draw 14%)
  26. 70′We said Cesar Vallejo at 50% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 85%. 2–1 · 85–13–2
  27. 70′3 goals already, more than the 2.6 we expected for the whole match. 2–1 · 85–13–2
  28. 78′We said Cesar Vallejo at 50% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 90%. 2–1 · 90–10–1
  29. 78′SUBSTITUTION · 46' Cesar Vallejo · On: J. Astudillo · Off: F. Ysique
  30. 78′SUBSTITUTION · 68' Cesar Vallejo · On: E. Urtecho · Off: G. Grandez
  31. 78′SUBSTITUTION · 75' Estudiantil CNI · On: E. Torres · Off: J. Martinez
  32. 78′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 78' Cesar Vallejo win: 50% at kick-off, 90% now
  33. 86′We said Cesar Vallejo at 50% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 95%. 2–1 · 95–5–0
  34. 87′SUBSTITUTION · 84' Cesar Vallejo · On: J. de la Cruz · Off: R. Garcia
  35. 87′SUBSTITUTION · 84' Estudiantil CNI · On: B. Wong · Off: M. Villalta
  36. FTFULL TIME Cesar Vallejo 2–1 Estudiantil CNI
  37. FTCesar Vallejo 2–1 Estudiantil CNI · Cesar Vallejo win: right · Under 2.5: wrong · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pass
Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Cesar Vallejo are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Cesar Vallejo 50%, draw 26%, Estudiantil CNI 25%. Over 2.5 goals 48%, both teams to score 50%.

The AI’s read on Cesar Vallejo v Estudiantil CNIBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

Cesar Vallejo win50%
Draw26%
Estudiantil CNI win25%

Kick-offSAT 17 OCT · 21:15

RoundRelegation Group · matchday 4

VenueEstadio Mansiche

Line-ups

Cesar Vallejo

Estudiantil CNI

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Cesar Vallejo

Estudiantil CNI

10Days since last match10

Last match: 7 Oct · the Peruvian Segunda División

Last match: 7 Oct · the Peruvian Segunda División

1Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Cesar Vallejo

Formation not confirmed

21 F. Silva

22 B. Cordova

55 B. Bernaola

27 J. Quispe

24 F. Paiva

15 G. Grandez

6 F. Ysique

36 A. Moyano

31 S. Vera

11 D. Vasquez

69 R. Garcia

Coach · Jose Del Solar

Substitutes

33 · E. Pinillos

5 · F. Da Rosa

28 · M. Campana

26 · J. de la Cruz

41 · L. Pascual

32 · J. Astudillo

47 · A. Cabellos

40 · I. Regalado

30 · E. Urtecho

Estudiantil CNI

Formation not confirmed

23 B. Ramirez

3 M. Villalta

17 A. Rios

4 L. Alburqueque

2 R. Oliveira

29 J. Martinez

5 S. Hidalgo

70 S. Aponza

20 D. Cuadros

34 E. Cabrera

27 P. Bueno

Coach · –

Substitutes

36 · C. Bocanegra

40 · R. Huaman

25 · E. Rueda

9 · E. Torres

32 · A. Bravo

22 · B. Wong

88 · J. Garcia

Our number · cesar vallejo winFirst published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off
50% The market–
Us50%

We make Cesar Vallejo a 50% chance to win. The model expects 1.6–1.0, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 12%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Cesar Vallejo v Estudiantil CNI1.58 – 1.03
Form · last six in Segunda División this season · since 9 AugW2 D2 L2 · W1 D3 L2

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published
45%50%55% 11 OCT 04:0417 OCT 20:45
Our probability · Cesar Vallejo win

Published at 49%, 50% now.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Cesar Vallejo win50%––
Draw26%––
Estudiantil CNI win25%––
Over 2.5 goals48%––
Both teams to score50%––
Over 1.5 goals73%––
Over 3.5 goals27%––
Cesar Vallejo or draw75%––
Cesar Vallejo clean sheet37%––
Estudiantil CNI clean sheet22%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 12.0%
0123450 8.4 7.3 4.0 1 11.4 12.0 5.9 2.1 2 9.2 9.0 4.6 3 4.9 4.8 2.4 4 2.0 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Cesar Vallejo down, Estudiantil CNI across0–5 goals a side shown (99.1% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

1 meeting since 2026
Goals a meeting6.00
Over 2.51 of 1
Both scored1 of 1
Last meetingsEST 3–3 CES

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Segunda División this season · since 9 Aug

CESAR VALLEJO

DWWLLD1–1 · 1–0 · 2–0 · 0–2 · 0–1 · 3–3

ESTUDIANTIL CNI

DLWLDD2–2 · 0–1 · 3–0 · 1–4 · 1–1 · 3–3