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Model 1.2

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Ayacucho FC v Molinos El Pirata

Ayacucho FC
20:15Upcoming
Molinos El Pirata

Segunda División · SAT 31 OCT

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Ayacucho FCDrawMolinos El Pirata
Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 20:15
Before kick-off · Match result · Ayacucho FC 56%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Ayacucho FC are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Ayacucho FC 56%, draw 24%, Molinos El Pirata 20%. Over 2.5 goals 53%, both teams to score 52%.

The AI’s read on Ayacucho FC v Molinos El PirataBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 25 Oct 01:45 · locked at kick-off

Ayacucho FC win56%
Draw24%
Molinos El Pirata win20%

Kick-offSAT 31 OCT · 20:15

RoundPromotion Group · matchday 6

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Ayacucho FC

Molinos El Pirata

7Days since last match14

Last match: 24 Oct · the Peruvian Segunda División

Last match: 17 Oct · the Peruvian Segunda División

2Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · ayacucho fc winFirst published 25 Oct 01:45 · locked at kick-off
56% The market–
Us56%

We make Ayacucho FC a 56% chance to win. The model expects 1.8–1.0, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 11%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Ayacucho FC v Molinos El Pirata1.83 – 1.00
Form · last six in Segunda División this season · since 7 SeptW2 D1 L3 · W2 D1 L3

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Ayacucho FC win56%––
Draw24%––
Molinos El Pirata win20%––
Over 2.5 goals53%––
Both teams to score52%––
Over 1.5 goals77%––
Over 3.5 goals32%––
Ayacucho FC or draw80%––
Ayacucho FC clean sheet38%––
Molinos El Pirata clean sheet17%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 11.0%
0123450 6.9 5.7 3.1 1 10.5 11.0 5.2 2 9.7 9.3 4.7 3 6.0 5.7 2.9 4 2.8 2.7 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Ayacucho FC down, Molinos El Pirata across0–5 goals a side shown (98.4% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

5 meetings since 2021
Goals a meeting3.20
Over 2.53 of 5
Both scored3 of 5
Last meetingsMOL 2–0 AYA · MOL 3–1 AYA · AYA 4–1 MOL · AYA 2–1 MOL

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Segunda División this season · since 7 Sept

AYACUCHO FC

LWLLDW0–2 · 1–0 · 0–2 · 0–5 · 1–1 · 2–1

MOLINOS EL PIRATA

LDLWWL2–4 · 0–0 · 0–2 · 2–0 · 1–0 · 0–4