Juan Pablo II College v Sport Huancayo prediction · Primera División

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Juan Pablo II CollegeDrawSport Huancayo

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 20:00

Before kick-off · Match result · Juan Pablo II College 46%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Juan Pablo II College are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Juan Pablo II College 46%, draw 24%, Sport Huancayo 31%. Over 2.5 goals 58%, both teams to score 60%.

The AI’s read on Juan Pablo II College v Sport HuancayoBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 22 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off

Juan Pablo II College win46%

Draw24%

Sport Huancayo win31%

Kick-offTUE 27 OCT · 20:00

RoundClausura · matchday 14

VenueEstadio Complejo Juan Pablo II

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Juan Pablo II College

Sport Huancayo

10Days since last match3

Last match: 17 Oct · the Peruvian Primera División

Last match: 24 Oct · the Peruvian Primera División

1Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
9	Sport Huancayo	30	−2	44
12	Juan Pablo II College	29	−8	38

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · juan pablo ii college winFirst published 22 Oct 00:01 · updated 25 Oct 00:22 · locked at kick-off

46% The market–

Us46%

We make Juan Pablo II College a 46% chance to win. The model expects 1.7–1.3, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 11%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Juan Pablo II College v Sport Huancayo~~1.69 – 1.34

~~Form · last six in Primera División this season · since 29 Aug~~W4 D2 L0 · W6 D0 L0

~~Table places · points 38 v 44~~12 v 9

Built from every result and the chances each side creates and concedes, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · Juan Pablo II College win

Published at 47%, 46% now.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Juan Pablo II College win	46%	–	–
Draw	24%	–	–
Sport Huancayo win	31%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	58%	–	–
Both teams to score	60%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	80%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	36%	–	–
Juan Pablo II College or draw	69%	–	–
Juan Pablo II College clean sheet	27%	–	–
Sport Huancayo clean sheet	19%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 10.9%

0123450 5.1 6.5 4.4 1 8.2 10.9 7.2 3.2 2 6.9 9.1 6.0 2.7 3 3.9 5.1 3.4 4 2.2 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Juan Pablo II College down, Sport Huancayo across0–5 goals a side shown (98.8% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from the goals and expected goals of 1,829 Primera División matches up to 24 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Primera División matches have gone over 2.5 in 54.0% of games this season, across 265 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 3 previous meetings since 2024 in every competition we cover, 3.33 goals a meeting; 2 of 3 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Juan Pablo II College at home: 2.33 scored, 0.33 conceded a game (last 6). Sport Huancayo away: 1.50 scored, 1.17 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.69 goals for Juan Pablo II College, 1.34 for Sport Huancayo. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

3 meetings since 2024

~~Goals a meeting~~3.33

~~Over 2.5~~2 of 3

~~Both scored~~2 of 3

~~Last meetings~~SPO 2–1 JUA · SPO 5–1 JUA · JUA 0–1 SPO

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Primera División this season · since 29 Aug

JUAN PABLO II COLLEGE

WDWWDW4–3 · 1–1 · 2–1 · 4–0 · 1–1 · 2–0

SPORT HUANCAYO

WWWWWW2–1 · 1–0 · 3–2 · 1–0 · 2–1 · 4–1

The table

2026 · Annual table

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Alianza Lima	29	+29	62
2	FBC Melgar	30	+19	53
3	Universitario	29	+15	53
4	Deportivo Garcilaso	29	+12	48
5	Cienciano	29	+9	47
6	Club Deportivo Los Chankas	29	−8	46
7	Cusco	29	0	45
8	Sporting Cristal	29	+11	44
9	Sport Huancayo	30	−2	44
10	Alianza Atletico	30	+1	43
11	Sport Boys	29	−1	38
12	Juan Pablo II College	29	−8	38
13	Atletico Grau	30	−7	34
14	Comerciantes Unidos	29	−5	31
15	FC Cajamarca	29	−12	28
16	UCV Moquegua	29	−18	28
17	ADT	30	−14	27
18	UTC Cajamarca	30	−21	15