FC Cajamarca v UCV Moquegua

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said FC Cajamarca win at 56%.
2. 2′Little has changed for our model: FC Cajamarca 56% before kick-off, 56% now. 0–0 · 56–23–21
3. 2′KICK-OFF FC Cajamarca v UCV Moquegua
4. 39′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 39' FC Cajamarca win: 56% at kick-off, 46% now
5. 44′We said FC Cajamarca at 56%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 44%. 0–0 · 44–35–20
6. 45′HALF-TIME FC Cajamarca 0–0 UCV Moquegua
7. 46′SECOND HALF FC Cajamarca 0–0 UCV Moquegua
8. 55′We said FC Cajamarca at 56%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 39%. 0–0 · 39–42–19
9. 55′Goalless on 55′ when we expected about 2.9 goals — that one is getting away from us. 0–0 · 39–42–19
10. 57′THE CALL SWINGS · 57' Draw is now our likeliest result at 44% (was FC Cajamarca win 38%)
11. 58′SUBSTITUTION · 58' FC Cajamarca · On: José Reinaldo Lugo Quiñónez · Off: P. Cejas
12. 60′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 60' FC Cajamarca win: 56% at kick-off, 36% now
13. 63′We said FC Cajamarca at 56%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 34%. 0–0 · 34–49–17
14. 68′SUBSTITUTION · 67' UCV Moquegua · On: Allonso Alberto Dávila Cárdenas · Off: Edgar Lastre
15. 69′We said FC Cajamarca at 56%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 29%. 0–0 · 29–56–15
16. 72′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 72' FC Cajamarca win: 56% at kick-off, 26% now
17. 73′10 shots for FC Cajamarca, 5 the other way, and nothing between the sides on the scoreboard. 0–0 · 25–62–13
18. 73′SUBSTITUTION · 73' UCV Moquegua · On: Brayan Angulo · Off: Jeferson Collazos
19. 74′We said FC Cajamarca at 56%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 24%. 0–0 · 24–63–13
20. 74′SUBSTITUTION · 73' UCV Moquegua · On: Diego Ramírez · Off: Nicolas Chavez
21. 75′SUBSTITUTION · 74' FC Cajamarca · On: Jonathan Betancourt · Off: S. Enciso
22. 80′We said FC Cajamarca at 56%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 17%. 0–0 · 17–74–9
23. 81′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 81' FC Cajamarca win: 56% at kick-off, 16% now
24. 82′We said FC Cajamarca at 56%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 14%. 0–0 · 14–78–8
25. 86′We said FC Cajamarca at 56%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 9%. 0–0 · 9–85–5
26. 87′FC Cajamarca have had 13 attempts to 5 and it is still 0–0. 0–0 · 9–87–5
27. 88′SUBSTITUTION · 87' FC Cajamarca · On: Sebastien Pineau · Off: José Mauricio Arrasco Calderón
28. 90′UCV Moquegua ahead on 90′ through Brayan Angulo. 0–1. 0–1 · 0–6–94
29. 90′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 90' FC Cajamarca win: 56% at kick-off, 6% now
30. 90′⚽ GOAL · 90' FC Cajamarca 0–1 UCV Moquegua · Brayan Angulo
31. 90′THE CALL SWINGS · 90' UCV Moquegua win is now our likeliest result at 94% (was Draw 6%)
32. 91′UCV Moquegua ahead on 89′ through Brayan Angulo. 0–1. 0–1 · 0–5–95
33. 92′We said FC Cajamarca at 56%. On the run of the match our model now has it at under 1%. 0–1 · 0–4–96
34. FTFULL TIME FC Cajamarca 0–1 UCV Moquegua
35. FTFC Cajamarca 0–1 UCV Moquegua · FC Cajamarca win: wrong · Over 2.5: wrong · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: wrong · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.