FBC Melgar v Deportivo Garcilaso

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said FBC Melgar win at 55%.
2. 3′KICK-OFF FBC Melgar v Deportivo Garcilaso
3. 4′Much as we predicted: FBC Melgar was 55% before kick-off and our model makes it 54% now. 0–0 · 54–26–20
4. 6′🟨 YELLOW · 5' Facundo Castelli · Deportivo Garcilaso
5. 9′We said FBC Melgar at 55%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 27%. 0–1 · 27–26–47
6. 9′9′: Facundo Castelli on the scoresheet for Deportivo Garcilaso, making it 0–1. 0–1 · 27–26–47
7. 9′⚽ GOAL · 9' FBC Melgar 0–1 Deportivo Garcilaso
8. 9′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 9' FBC Melgar win: 55% at kick-off, 27% now
9. 9′THE CALL SWINGS · 9' Deportivo Garcilaso win is now our likeliest result at 47% (was FBC Melgar win 27%)
10. 15′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 15' FBC Melgar win: 55% at kick-off, 25% now
11. 18′We said FBC Melgar at 55%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 24%. 0–1 · 24–27–49
12. 30′Goals are coming at about the 2.5 we expected. 0–1 · 20–27–53
13. 32′We said FBC Melgar at 55%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 19%. 0–1 · 19–27–53
14. 38′⚽ GOAL · 38' FBC Melgar 1–1 Deportivo Garcilaso
15. 38′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 38' FBC Melgar win: 55% at kick-off, 45% now
16. 38′THE CALL SWINGS · 38' FBC Melgar win is now our likeliest result at 45% (was Deportivo Garcilaso win 19%)
17. 39′FBC Melgar level it on 39′ through Nicolas Quagliata. 1–1. 1–1 · 44–37–19
18. 41′We said FBC Melgar at 55%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 43%. 1–1 · 43–38–19
19. 46′HALF-TIME FBC Melgar 1–1 Deportivo Garcilaso
20. 47′SECOND HALF FBC Melgar 1–1 Deportivo Garcilaso
21. 51′We said FBC Melgar at 55%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 39%. 1–1 · 39–43–18
22. 52′THE CALL SWINGS · 52' Draw is now our likeliest result at 44% (was FBC Melgar win 38%)
23. 57′We said FBC Melgar at 55%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 9%. 1–2 · 9–26–65
24. 57′⚽ GOAL · 57' FBC Melgar 1–2 Deportivo Garcilaso
25. 57′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 57' FBC Melgar win: 55% at kick-off, 9% now
26. 57′THE CALL SWINGS · 57' Deportivo Garcilaso win is now our likeliest result at 65% (was Draw 26%)
27. 58′Francisco Arancibia scores for Deportivo Garcilaso on 57′ — 1–2. 1–2 · 9–26–65
28. 60′That is 3, and we only asked for 2.5 across ninety minutes. 1–2 · 8–25–66
29. 64′We said FBC Melgar at 55%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 31%. 2–2 · 31–54–15
30. 64′⚽ GOAL · 64' FBC Melgar 2–2 Deportivo Garcilaso
31. 64′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 64' FBC Melgar win: 55% at kick-off, 31% now
32. 64′THE CALL SWINGS · 64' Draw is now our likeliest result at 54% (was Deportivo Garcilaso win 15%)
33. 65′62′: Johnny Vidales on the scoresheet for FBC Melgar, making it 2–2. 2–2 · 30–56–15
34. 65′🟨 YELLOW · 60' Carlos Ramos · Deportivo Garcilaso
35. 65′🟨 YELLOW · 64' Bernardo Cuesta · FBC Melgar
36. 67′4 goals already, more than the 2.5 we expected for the whole match. 2–2 · 28–58–14
37. 67′🟨 YELLOW · 64' Nicolas Quagliata · FBC Melgar
38. 68′SUBSTITUTION · 68' FBC Melgar · On: Horacio Orzan · Off: Nelson Cabanillas
39. 71′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 71' FBC Melgar win: 55% at kick-off, 25% now
40. 75′We published FBC Melgar at 55%. Our model now makes it 89%. 3–2 · 89–10–1
41. 75′SUBSTITUTION · 71' Deportivo Garcilaso · On: Fernando Pacheco · Off: Facundo Castelli
42. 75′⚽ GOAL · 75' FBC Melgar 3–2 Deportivo Garcilaso
43. 75′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 75' FBC Melgar win: 55% at kick-off, 89% now
44. 75′THE CALL SWINGS · 75' FBC Melgar win is now our likeliest result at 89% (was Draw 10%)
45. 76′73′: Bernardo Cuesta on the scoresheet for FBC Melgar. 4–2 · 99–1–0
46. 76′SUBSTITUTION · 74' FBC Melgar · On: Lautaro Guzmán · Off: Johnny Vidales
47. 76′⚽ GOAL · 76' FBC Melgar 4–2 Deportivo Garcilaso
48. 76′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 76' FBC Melgar win: 55% at kick-off, 99% now
49. 77′Cristian Bordacahar scores for FBC Melgar on 76′ — 4–2. 4–2 · 99–1–0
50. 78′We published FBC Melgar at 55%. Our model now makes it 99%. 4–2 · 99–1–0
51. 79′We published FBC Melgar at 55%. Our model now makes it over 99%. 4–2 · 100–0–0
52. 80′6 goals already, more than the 2.5 we expected for the whole match. 4–2 · 100–0–0
53. 86′SUBSTITUTION · 81' FBC Melgar · On: Franco Zanelatto · Off: Cristian Bordacahar
54. 86′SUBSTITUTION · 82' FBC Melgar · On: Jesús Alcantar · Off: Kevin Minda
55. 86′SUBSTITUTION · 83' Deportivo Garcilaso · On: Claudio Torrejón · Off: Carlos Ramos
56. 86′SUBSTITUTION · 83' Deportivo Garcilaso · On: Adrian Ascues · Off: Pablo Labrin
57. 86′SUBSTITUTION · 83' Deportivo Garcilaso · On: Christopher Olivares · Off: Beto Da Silva
58. 89′SUBSTITUTION · 88' Deportivo Garcilaso · On: José Anthony Rosell · Off: Xavi Moreno Layme
59. 95′Full time, 4–2. We called FBC Melgar at 55% — that one lands. 4–2 · 100–0–0
60. FTFULL TIME FBC Melgar 4–2 Deportivo Garcilaso
61. FTFBC Melgar 4–2 Deportivo Garcilaso · FBC Melgar win: right · Under 2.5: wrong · Not both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–0 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.