Club Deportivo Los Chankas v Cusco prediction · Primera División

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Club Deportivo Los ChankasDrawCusco

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 21:00

Before kick-off · Match result · Club Deportivo Los Chankas 39%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Close to call, with Club Deportivo Los Chankas just ahead.

The Pitchside prediction: Club Deportivo Los Chankas 39%, draw 25%, Cusco 36%. Over 2.5 goals 54%, both teams to score 57%.

The AI’s read on Club Deportivo Los Chankas v CuscoBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 22 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off

Club Deportivo Los Chankas win39%

Draw25%

Cusco win36%

Kick-offWED 28 OCT · 21:00

RoundClausura · matchday 14

VenueEstadio Municipal Los Chankas

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Club Deportivo Los Chankas

Cusco

12Days since last match4

Last match: 16 Oct · the Peruvian Primera División

Last match: 24 Oct · the Peruvian Primera División

1Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
5	Cusco	30	+2	48
7	Club Deportivo Los Chankas	29	−8	46

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · club deportivo los chankas winFirst published 22 Oct 00:01 · updated 25 Oct 00:22 · locked at kick-off

39% The market–

Us39%

We make Club Deportivo Los Chankas a 39% chance to win. The model expects 1.5–1.4, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 12%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Club Deportivo Los Chankas v Cusco~~1.46 – 1.39

~~Form · last six in Primera División this season · since 29 Aug~~W1 D2 L3 · W3 D0 L3

~~Table places · points 46 v 48~~7 v 5

Built from every result and the chances each side creates and concedes, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · Club Deportivo Los Chankas win

Published at 40%, 39% now.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Club Deportivo Los Chankas win	39%	–	–
Draw	25%	–	–
Cusco win	36%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	54%	–	–
Both teams to score	57%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	77%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	32%	–	–
Club Deportivo Los Chankas or draw	64%	–	–
Club Deportivo Los Chankas clean sheet	25%	–	–
Cusco clean sheet	24%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 11.7%

0123450 6.1 8.1 5.6 2.6 1 8.5 11.7 8.0 3.7 2 6.2 8.4 5.8 2.7 3 3.0 4.1 2.8 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Club Deportivo Los Chankas down, Cusco across0–5 goals a side shown (99.2% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from the goals and expected goals of 1,829 Primera División matches up to 24 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Primera División matches have gone over 2.5 in 54.0% of games this season, across 265 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 7 previous meetings since 2021 in every competition we cover, 3.00 goals a meeting; 4 of 7 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Club Deportivo Los Chankas at home: 1.67 scored, 2.00 conceded a game (last 6). Cusco away: 1.33 scored, 2.17 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.46 goals for Club Deportivo Los Chankas, 1.39 for Cusco. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

7 meetings since 2021

~~Goals a meeting~~3.00

~~Over 2.5~~4 of 7

~~Both scored~~6 of 7

~~Last meetings~~CUS 1–1 CLU · CLU 2–1 CUS · CUS 3–3 CLU · CUS 2–1 CLU

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Primera División this season · since 29 Aug

CLUB DEPORTIVO LOS CHANKAS

LLLDDW3–4 · 0–5 · 1–2 · 1–1 · 0–0 · 2–1

CUSCO

WLWLLW2–0 · 0–1 · 2–1 · 1–2 · 1–2 · 3–1

The table

2026 · Annual table

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Alianza Lima	29	+29	62
2	Universitario	30	+18	56
3	FBC Melgar	30	+19	53
4	Deportivo Garcilaso	29	+12	48
5	Cusco	30	+2	48
6	Cienciano	29	+9	47
7	Club Deportivo Los Chankas	29	−8	46
8	Sporting Cristal	30	+9	44
9	Sport Huancayo	30	−2	44
10	Alianza Atletico	30	+1	43
11	Sport Boys	29	−1	38
12	Juan Pablo II College	30	−11	38
13	Atletico Grau	30	−7	34
14	Comerciantes Unidos	29	−5	31
15	FC Cajamarca	29	−12	28
16	UCV Moquegua	29	−18	28
17	ADT	30	−14	27
18	UTC Cajamarca	30	−21	15