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Home › Football › Primera División › Club Deportivo Los Chankas v ADT

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Club Deportivo Los Chankas v ADT

Club Deportivo Los Chankas
2–1Full time
ADT

Primera División · FRI 16 OCT · Estadio Los Chankas

Full timeGraded 17 Oct 00:00
Club Deportivo Los Chankas 2–1 ADT CLUB DEPORTIVO LOS CHANKAS WIN · RIGHTUNDER 2.5 · WRONGBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said Club Deportivo Los Chankas win50%
The market said40%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.382
The market’s Brier score0.542

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay18 notes · 36 alerts
  1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Club Deportivo Los Chankas win at 50%.
  2. 1′KICK-OFF Club Deportivo Los Chankas v ADT
  3. 2′Little has changed for our model: Club Deportivo Los Chankas 50% before kick-off, 49% now. 0–0 · 49–25–25
  4. 11′ADT score on 10′ to make it 0–1. 0–1 · 23–25–52
  5. 11′⚽ GOAL · 10' Club Deportivo Los Chankas 0–1 ADT
  6. 11′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 11' Club Deportivo Los Chankas win: 50% at kick-off, 23% now
  7. 11′THE CALL SWINGS · 11' ADT win is now our likeliest result at 52% (was Club Deportivo Los Chankas win 23%)
  8. 12′11′: Juan lucumi on the scoresheet for ADT, making it 0–1. 0–1 · 23–25–52
  9. 13′We said Club Deportivo Los Chankas at 50%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 23%. 0–1 · 23–25–53
  10. 21′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 21' Club Deportivo Los Chankas win: 50% at kick-off, 20% now
  11. 22′🟨 YELLOW · 21' Kenji Barrios · Club Deportivo Los Chankas
  12. 24′We said Club Deportivo Los Chankas at 50%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 19%. 0–1 · 19–26–55
  13. 30′The goal count is tracking the 2.6 we expected. 0–1 · 18–26–57
  14. 39′🟨 YELLOW · 37' Said Peralta · ADT
  15. 40′We said Club Deportivo Los Chankas at 50%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 14%. 0–1 · 14–26–60
  16. 43′We said Club Deportivo Los Chankas at 50%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 3%. 0–2 · 3–10–87
  17. 43′⚽ GOAL · 43' Club Deportivo Los Chankas 0–2 ADT
  18. 43′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 43' Club Deportivo Los Chankas win: 50% at kick-off, 3% now
  19. 44′ADT ahead on 43′ through Said Peralta. 0–2. 0–2 · 3–10–87
  20. 45′HALF-TIME Club Deportivo Los Chankas 1–1 ADT
  21. 45′SUBSTITUTION · 45' Club Deportivo Los Chankas · On: Axel Chávez · Off: Gonzalo Rizzo
  22. 45′SUBSTITUTION · 45' Club Deportivo Los Chankas · On: Christian Velarde · Off: juan ospina
  23. 45′SUBSTITUTION · 45' Club Deportivo Los Chankas · On: Michael Kaufman · Off: Kenji Barrios
  24. 46′GOAL DISALLOWED · 45+1' ADT
  25. 46′SECOND HALF Club Deportivo Los Chankas 1–1 ADT
  26. 47′We said Club Deportivo Los Chankas at 50%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 38%. 1–1 · 38–40–22
  27. 47′⚽ GOAL · 45+2' Club Deportivo Los Chankas 1–1 ADT
  28. 47′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 45+2' Club Deportivo Los Chankas win: 50% at kick-off, 38% now
  29. 48′Club Deportivo Los Chankas level it on 45′ through Jarlin Quintero. 1–1. 1–1 · 37–41–22
  30. 50′THE CALL SWINGS · 45+5' Draw is now our likeliest result at 42% (was ADT win 21%)
  31. 55′We said Club Deportivo Los Chankas at 50%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 34%. 1–1 · 34–46–20
  32. 61′🟨 YELLOW · 60' Joaquín Pereira · ADT
  33. 62′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 62' Club Deportivo Los Chankas win: 50% at kick-off, 30% now
  34. 63′SUBSTITUTION · 63' ADT · On: Jerry Navarro · Off: Alejandro Ramos
  35. 64′SUBSTITUTION · 63' ADT · On: Jhair Soto · Off: Horacio Benincasa
  36. 65′We said Club Deportivo Los Chankas at 50%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 28%. 1–1 · 28–54–17
  37. 70′🟨 YELLOW · 69' Christian Velarde · Club Deportivo Los Chankas
  38. 73′🟨 YELLOW · 72' Joao Rojas · ADT
  39. 73′🟨 YELLOW · 72' Aylton Mazzo · ADT
  40. 75′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 75' Club Deportivo Los Chankas win: 50% at kick-off, 20% now
  41. 76′SUBSTITUTION · 75' ADT · On: Aldair Rodríguez · Off: Aylton Mazzo
  42. 77′Club Deportivo Los Chankas have had 11 attempts to 6 and it is still 1–1. 1–1 · 18–71–11
  43. 81′Franco Nicolas Torres scores for Club Deportivo Los Chankas on 80′ — 2–1. 2–1 · 91–8–0
  44. 81′We said Club Deportivo Los Chankas at 50% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 91%. 2–1 · 91–8–0
  45. 81′⚽ GOAL · 80' Club Deportivo Los Chankas 2–1 ADT · Franco Nicolas Torres
  46. 81′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 81' Club Deportivo Los Chankas win: 50% at kick-off, 91% now
  47. 81′THE CALL SWINGS · 81' Club Deportivo Los Chankas win is now our likeliest result at 91% (was Draw 8%)
  48. 82′3 goals already, more than the 2.6 we expected for the whole match. 2–1 · 92–7–0
  49. 82′SUBSTITUTION · 82' ADT · On: Jonathan Bauman · Off: Said Peralta
  50. 83′SUBSTITUTION · 82' ADT · On: J. Alvino · Off: Juan lucumi
  51. 84′🟨 YELLOW · 83' Orlando Nunez · ADT
  52. 84′SUBSTITUTION · 84' Club Deportivo Los Chankas · On: Kelvin Sanchez · Off: Franco Nicolas Torres
  53. 86′We said Club Deportivo Los Chankas at 50% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 95%. 2–1 · 95–5–0
  54. 88′SUBSTITUTION · 87' Club Deportivo Los Chankas · On: David Martín Gonzáles García · Off: Jarlin Quintero
  55. FTFULL TIME Club Deportivo Los Chankas 2–1 ADT
  56. FTClub Deportivo Los Chankas 2–1 ADT · Club Deportivo Los Chankas win: right · Under 2.5: wrong · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pass
Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Club Deportivo Los Chankas are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Club Deportivo Los Chankas 50%, draw 25%, ADT 25%. Over 2.5 goals 49%, both teams to score 51%.

The AI’s read on Club Deportivo Los Chankas v ADTBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 10 Oct 03:49 · locked at kick-off

Club Deportivo Los Chankas win50%
Draw25%
ADT win25%

Kick-offFRI 16 OCT · 21:30

RoundClausura · matchday 12

VenueEstadio Los Chankas

RefereeDiego Haro

Line-ups

Club Deportivo Los Chankas

5-3-2

ADT

4-2-3-1

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Club Deportivo Los Chankas

ADT

8Days since last match6

Last match: 8 Oct · the Peruvian Primera División

Last match: 10 Oct · the Peruvian Primera División

1Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026 · Annual table

Positions before kick-off

#TEAMPGDPTS
8Club Deportivo Los Chankas28−943
16ADT28−1326

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Club Deportivo Los Chankas

5-3-2

1 H. Camacho

18 O. Takeuchi

33 C. Pimienta

2 H. González

24 G. Rizzo

27 K. Barrios

5 J. Palomino

10 F. Torres

7 J. Ospina

20 M. Torres

11 J. Quintero

Coach · J. Balazar

Substitutes

16 · A. Chávez

77 · F. Espinoza

26 · D. Gonzáles

14 · B. Guevara

30 · M. Kaufman

4 · A. Campos

12 · L. Pretel

15 · K. Sánchez

17 · C. Velarde

ADT

4-2-3-1

30 J. Valencia

98 A. Ramos

99 J. Pereyra

44 H. Benincasa

59 O. Núñez

6 Á. Ojeda

16 L. Pérez

77 Juan David Lucumí Cuero

7 J. Rojas

18 Aylton Mazzo

24 S. Peralta

Coach · V. Rivera

Substitutes

28 · J. Soto

15 · Josué Alvino

32 · J. Bauman

26 · Jhojan Garcilazo

27 · A. Hidalgo

31 · J. Navarro

22 · A. Rodríguez

3 · L. Rugel

33 · C. Solís

Our number · club deportivo los chankas winFirst published 10 Oct 03:49 · locked at kick-off
50% The market40%
Us50%
Market40%

We make Club Deportivo Los Chankas a 50% chance to win. The market has them at 40%. We are 10 points more confident than the market. The model expects 1.6–1.0.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Club Deportivo Los Chankas v ADT1.58 – 1.05
Form · last six in Primera División this season · since 22 AugW0 D2 L4 · W1 D1 L4
Table places · points 43 v 268 v 16
The market · Club Deportivo Los Chankas win40% · ours 50%

Built from every result and the chances each side creates and concedes, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published
35%40%45%50%55% 10 OCT 03:5716 OCT 21:12
Our probability · Club Deportivo Los Chankas win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 40% now.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Club Deportivo Los Chankas win50%40%+10
Draw25%27%−2
ADT win25%33%−8
Over 2.5 goals49%53%−4
Both teams to score51%58%−7
Over 1.5 goals74%75%−1
Over 3.5 goals27%33%−6
Club Deportivo Los Chankas or draw75%67%+8
Club Deportivo Los Chankas clean sheet35%––
ADT clean sheet21%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 6 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 11.9%
0123450 7.5 7.5 4.0 1 11.3 11.9 6.2 2.2 2 9.0 9.3 4.9 3 4.8 4.9 2.6 4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Club Deportivo Los Chankas down, ADT across0–5 goals a side shown (99.3% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

5 meetings since 2022
Goals a meeting2.40
Over 2.52 of 5
Both scored2 of 5
Last meetingsADT 4–0 CLU · ADT 1–0 CLU · CLU 1–1 ADT · ADT 2–1 CLU

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Primera División this season · since 22 Aug

CLUB DEPORTIVO LOS CHANKAS

LLLLDD0–3 · 3–4 · 0–5 · 1–2 · 1–1 · 0–0

ADT

LLLLWD1–5 · 1–3 · 0–3 · 0–2 · 2–1 · 0–0

The table

2026 · Annual table
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Alianza Lima28+2759
2Universitario28+1250
3Deportivo Garcilaso28+1448
4FBC Melgar28+1647
5Cusco28+145
6Cienciano28+844
7Alianza Atletico28+743
8Club Deportivo Los Chankas28−943
9Sporting Cristal28+941
10Sport Boys28+138
11Sport Huancayo28−638
12Juan Pablo II College28−1035
13Atletico Grau28−533
14Comerciantes Unidos28−331
15FC Cajamarca28−1128
16ADT28−1326
17UCV Moquegua28−1925
18UTC Cajamarca28−1915

The competition's standings before kick-off.