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Club Deportivo Los Chankas v ADT
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
ADTPrimera División · FRI 16 OCT · Estadio Los Chankas
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Club Deportivo Los Chankas win at 50%.
- 1′KICK-OFF Club Deportivo Los Chankas v ADT
- 2′Little has changed for our model: Club Deportivo Los Chankas 50% before kick-off, 49% now. 0–0 · 49–25–25
- 11′ADT score on 10′ to make it 0–1. 0–1 · 23–25–52
- 11′⚽ GOAL · 10' Club Deportivo Los Chankas 0–1 ADT
- 11′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 11' Club Deportivo Los Chankas win: 50% at kick-off, 23% now
- 11′THE CALL SWINGS · 11' ADT win is now our likeliest result at 52% (was Club Deportivo Los Chankas win 23%)
- 12′11′: Juan lucumi on the scoresheet for ADT, making it 0–1. 0–1 · 23–25–52
- 13′We said Club Deportivo Los Chankas at 50%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 23%. 0–1 · 23–25–53
- 21′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 21' Club Deportivo Los Chankas win: 50% at kick-off, 20% now
- 22′🟨 YELLOW · 21' Kenji Barrios · Club Deportivo Los Chankas
- 24′We said Club Deportivo Los Chankas at 50%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 19%. 0–1 · 19–26–55
- 30′The goal count is tracking the 2.6 we expected. 0–1 · 18–26–57
- 39′🟨 YELLOW · 37' Said Peralta · ADT
- 40′We said Club Deportivo Los Chankas at 50%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 14%. 0–1 · 14–26–60
- 43′We said Club Deportivo Los Chankas at 50%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 3%. 0–2 · 3–10–87
- 43′⚽ GOAL · 43' Club Deportivo Los Chankas 0–2 ADT
- 43′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 43' Club Deportivo Los Chankas win: 50% at kick-off, 3% now
- 44′ADT ahead on 43′ through Said Peralta. 0–2. 0–2 · 3–10–87
- 45′HALF-TIME Club Deportivo Los Chankas 1–1 ADT
- 45′SUBSTITUTION · 45' Club Deportivo Los Chankas · On: Axel Chávez · Off: Gonzalo Rizzo
- 45′SUBSTITUTION · 45' Club Deportivo Los Chankas · On: Christian Velarde · Off: juan ospina
- 45′SUBSTITUTION · 45' Club Deportivo Los Chankas · On: Michael Kaufman · Off: Kenji Barrios
- 46′GOAL DISALLOWED · 45+1' ADT
- 46′SECOND HALF Club Deportivo Los Chankas 1–1 ADT
- 47′We said Club Deportivo Los Chankas at 50%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 38%. 1–1 · 38–40–22
- 47′⚽ GOAL · 45+2' Club Deportivo Los Chankas 1–1 ADT
- 47′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 45+2' Club Deportivo Los Chankas win: 50% at kick-off, 38% now
- 48′Club Deportivo Los Chankas level it on 45′ through Jarlin Quintero. 1–1. 1–1 · 37–41–22
- 50′THE CALL SWINGS · 45+5' Draw is now our likeliest result at 42% (was ADT win 21%)
- 55′We said Club Deportivo Los Chankas at 50%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 34%. 1–1 · 34–46–20
- 61′🟨 YELLOW · 60' Joaquín Pereira · ADT
- 62′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 62' Club Deportivo Los Chankas win: 50% at kick-off, 30% now
- 63′SUBSTITUTION · 63' ADT · On: Jerry Navarro · Off: Alejandro Ramos
- 64′SUBSTITUTION · 63' ADT · On: Jhair Soto · Off: Horacio Benincasa
- 65′We said Club Deportivo Los Chankas at 50%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 28%. 1–1 · 28–54–17
- 70′🟨 YELLOW · 69' Christian Velarde · Club Deportivo Los Chankas
- 73′🟨 YELLOW · 72' Joao Rojas · ADT
- 73′🟨 YELLOW · 72' Aylton Mazzo · ADT
- 75′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 75' Club Deportivo Los Chankas win: 50% at kick-off, 20% now
- 76′SUBSTITUTION · 75' ADT · On: Aldair Rodríguez · Off: Aylton Mazzo
- 77′Club Deportivo Los Chankas have had 11 attempts to 6 and it is still 1–1. 1–1 · 18–71–11
- 81′Franco Nicolas Torres scores for Club Deportivo Los Chankas on 80′ — 2–1. 2–1 · 91–8–0
- 81′We said Club Deportivo Los Chankas at 50% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 91%. 2–1 · 91–8–0
- 81′⚽ GOAL · 80' Club Deportivo Los Chankas 2–1 ADT · Franco Nicolas Torres
- 81′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 81' Club Deportivo Los Chankas win: 50% at kick-off, 91% now
- 81′THE CALL SWINGS · 81' Club Deportivo Los Chankas win is now our likeliest result at 91% (was Draw 8%)
- 82′3 goals already, more than the 2.6 we expected for the whole match. 2–1 · 92–7–0
- 82′SUBSTITUTION · 82' ADT · On: Jonathan Bauman · Off: Said Peralta
- 83′SUBSTITUTION · 82' ADT · On: J. Alvino · Off: Juan lucumi
- 84′🟨 YELLOW · 83' Orlando Nunez · ADT
- 84′SUBSTITUTION · 84' Club Deportivo Los Chankas · On: Kelvin Sanchez · Off: Franco Nicolas Torres
- 86′We said Club Deportivo Los Chankas at 50% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 95%. 2–1 · 95–5–0
- 88′SUBSTITUTION · 87' Club Deportivo Los Chankas · On: David Martín Gonzáles García · Off: Jarlin Quintero
- FTFULL TIME Club Deportivo Los Chankas 2–1 ADT
- FTClub Deportivo Los Chankas 2–1 ADT · Club Deportivo Los Chankas win: right · Under 2.5: wrong · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
PassClub Deportivo Los Chankas are favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Club Deportivo Los Chankas 50%, draw 25%, ADT 25%. Over 2.5 goals 49%, both teams to score 51%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 10 Oct 03:49 · locked at kick-off
Club Deportivo Los Chankas win50%
ADT win25%Kick-offFRI 16 OCT · 21:30
RoundClausura · matchday 12
VenueEstadio Los Chankas
RefereeDiego Haro
Match timeline
All events
Club Deportivo Los ChankasMIN
ADTEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
5-3-2
ADT
4-2-3-1
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
ADT
Last match: 8 Oct · the Peruvian Primera División
Last match: 10 Oct · the Peruvian Primera División
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
5-3-2
1 H. Camacho
18 O. Takeuchi
33 C. Pimienta
2 H. González
24 G. Rizzo
27 K. Barrios
5 J. Palomino
10 F. Torres
7 J. Ospina
20 M. Torres
11 J. Quintero
Coach · J. Balazar
Substitutes
16 · A. Chávez
77 · F. Espinoza
26 · D. Gonzáles
14 · B. Guevara
30 · M. Kaufman
4 · A. Campos
12 · L. Pretel
15 · K. Sánchez
17 · C. Velarde
ADT
4-2-3-1
30 J. Valencia
98 A. Ramos
99 J. Pereyra
44 H. Benincasa
59 O. Núñez
6 Á. Ojeda
16 L. Pérez
77 Juan David Lucumí Cuero
7 J. Rojas
18 Aylton Mazzo
24 S. Peralta
Coach · V. Rivera
Substitutes
28 · J. Soto
15 · Josué Alvino
32 · J. Bauman
26 · Jhojan Garcilazo
27 · A. Hidalgo
31 · J. Navarro
22 · A. Rodríguez
3 · L. Rugel
33 · C. Solís
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
5-3-2
1 H. Camacho
18 O. Takeuchi
33 C. Pimienta
2 H. González
24 G. Rizzo
27 K. Barrios
5 J. Palomino
10 F. Torres
7 J. Ospina
20 M. Torres
11 J. Quintero
Coach · J. Balazar
Substitutes
16 · A. Chávez
77 · F. Espinoza
26 · D. Gonzáles
14 · B. Guevara
30 · M. Kaufman
4 · A. Campos
12 · L. Pretel
15 · K. Sánchez
17 · C. Velarde
ADT
4-2-3-1
30 J. Valencia
98 A. Ramos
99 J. Pereyra
44 H. Benincasa
59 O. Núñez
6 Á. Ojeda
16 L. Pérez
77 Juan David Lucumí Cuero
7 J. Rojas
18 Aylton Mazzo
24 S. Peralta
Coach · V. Rivera
Substitutes
28 · J. Soto
15 · Josué Alvino
32 · J. Bauman
26 · Jhojan Garcilazo
27 · A. Hidalgo
31 · J. Navarro
22 · A. Rodríguez
3 · L. Rugel
33 · C. Solís
We make Club Deportivo Los Chankas a 50% chance to win. The market has them at 40%. We are 10 points more confident than the market. The model expects 1.6–1.0.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result and the chances each side creates and concedes, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 40% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Club Deportivo Los Chankas win | 50% | 40% | +10 |
| Draw | 25% | 27% | −2 |
| ADT win | 25% | 33% | −8 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 49% | 53% | −4 |
| Both teams to score | 51% | 58% | −7 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 74% | 75% | −1 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 27% | 33% | −6 |
| Club Deportivo Los Chankas or draw | 75% | 67% | +8 |
| Club Deportivo Los Chankas clean sheet | 35% | – | – |
| ADT clean sheet | 21% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 6 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
5 meetings since 2022Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · last six in Primera División this season · since 22 Aug
CLUB DEPORTIVO LOS CHANKAS
ADT
The table
2026 · Annual table| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alianza Lima | 28 | +27 | 59 |
| 2 | Universitario | 28 | +12 | 50 |
| 3 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 28 | +14 | 48 |
| 4 | FBC Melgar | 28 | +16 | 47 |
| 5 | Cusco | 28 | +1 | 45 |
| 6 | Cienciano | 28 | +8 | 44 |
| 7 | Alianza Atletico | 28 | +7 | 43 |
| 8 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 28 | −9 | 43 |
| 9 | Sporting Cristal | 28 | +9 | 41 |
| 10 | Sport Boys | 28 | +1 | 38 |
| 11 | Sport Huancayo | 28 | −6 | 38 |
| 12 | Juan Pablo II College | 28 | −10 | 35 |
| 13 | Atletico Grau | 28 | −5 | 33 |
| 14 | Comerciantes Unidos | 28 | −3 | 31 |
| 15 | FC Cajamarca | 28 | −11 | 28 |
| 16 | ADT | 28 | −13 | 26 |
| 17 | UCV Moquegua | 28 | −19 | 25 |
| 18 | UTC Cajamarca | 28 | −19 | 15 |
The competition's standings before kick-off.
Alianza Lima
Universitario
Deportivo Garcilaso
FBC Melgar
Cusco
Cienciano
Alianza Atletico
Sporting Cristal
Sport Boys
Sport Huancayo
Juan Pablo II College
Atletico Grau
Comerciantes Unidos
FC Cajamarca
UCV Moquegua
UTC Cajamarca