Atletico Grau v ADT

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Atletico Grau win at 51%.
2. 1′Much as we predicted: Atletico Grau was 51% before kick-off and our model makes it 51% now. 0–0 · 51–27–22
3. 1′KICK-OFF Atletico Grau v ADT
4. 10′🟨 YELLOW · 6' Christian Vasquez · Atletico Grau
5. 25′🟨 YELLOW · 23' Alejandro Ramos · ADT
6. 26′26′: Patricio Álvarez on the scoresheet for Atletico Grau. 0–0 · 45–34–21
7. 28′A red card for Atletico Grau on 27′. The model does not price cards, so read the number with that in mind. 0–0 · 44–34–21
8. 28′🟥 RED CARD · 27' Christian Vasquez · Atletico Grau
9. 29′We published Atletico Grau at 51%. Our model now makes it 79%. 1–0 · 79–16–5
10. 29′⚽ GOAL · 26' Atletico Grau 1–0 ADT · Patricio Álvarez (penalty)
11. 29′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 29' Atletico Grau win: 51% at kick-off, 79% now
12. 30′Goals are coming at about the 2.3 we expected. 1–0 · 79–16–5
13. 36′We published Atletico Grau at 51%. Our model now makes it 80%. 1–0 · 80–16–5
14. 44′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 44' Atletico Grau win: 51% at kick-off, 81% now
15. 45′11 shots for ADT, 5 the other way, and they still trail 1–0. 1–0 · 81–16–4
16. 45′HALF-TIME Atletico Grau 1–0 ADT
17. 46′SUBSTITUTION · 45' Atletico Grau · On: D. Rodríguez · Off: Aldair Vásquez
18. 46′SECOND HALF Atletico Grau 1–0 ADT
19. 48′🟨 YELLOW · 45+2' Gabriel Alfaro · Atletico Grau
20. 54′ADT have had 12 attempts to 6 and it is still 1–0. 1–0 · 82–15–3
21. 59′🟨 YELLOW · 58' Ignacio Tapia · Atletico Grau
22. 61′We said Atletico Grau at 51%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 30%. 1–1 · 30–54–16
23. 61′⚽ GOAL · 61' Atletico Grau 1–1 ADT
24. 61′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 61' Atletico Grau win: 51% at kick-off, 30% now
25. 61′THE CALL SWINGS · 61' Draw is now our likeliest result at 54% (was Atletico Grau win 84%)
26. 62′Horacio Benincasa scores for ADT on 61′ — 1–1. 1–1 · 29–55–16
27. 63′We said Atletico Grau at 51%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 29%. 1–1 · 29–56–15
28. 69′We said Atletico Grau at 51%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 24%. 1–1 · 24–63–13
29. 69′SUBSTITUTION · 68' Atletico Grau · On: Mauro Da Luz · Off: Adrián Fernández
30. 70′ADT have had 16 attempts to 7 and it is still 1–1. 1–1 · 23–64–13
31. 70′SUBSTITUTION · 69' Atletico Grau · On: Paulo De La Cruz · Off: Diego Barreto
32. 70′🟨 YELLOW · 70' Juan Valencia · ADT
33. 73′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 73' Atletico Grau win: 51% at kick-off, 21% now
34. 74′🟨 YELLOW · 73' Aldair Rodríguez · ADT
35. 76′We said Atletico Grau at 51%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 18%. 1–1 · 18–72–10
36. 77′SUBSTITUTION · 76' ADT · On: Jonathan Bauman · Off: Said Peralta
37. 78′🟨 YELLOW · 77' Luis Pérez · ADT
38. 80′We said Atletico Grau at 51%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 14%. 1–1 · 14–79–8
39. 82′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 82' Atletico Grau win: 51% at kick-off, 11% now
40. 82′🟨 YELLOW · 77' Said Peralta · ADT
41. 82′SUBSTITUTION · 82' Atletico Grau · On: Eslyn Imanol Correa Vilela · Off: Freddy Oncoy
42. 82′SUBSTITUTION · 82' Atletico Grau · On: Pablo Lavandeira · Off: Gabriel Alfaro
43. 84′We said Atletico Grau at 51%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 9%. 1–1 · 9–86–5
44. 86′We said Atletico Grau at 51%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at under 1%. 1–2 · 0–7–93
45. 86′⚽ GOAL · 86' Atletico Grau 1–2 ADT
46. 86′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 86' Atletico Grau win: 51% at kick-off, under 1% now
47. 86′THE CALL SWINGS · 86' ADT win is now our likeliest result at 93% (was Draw 88%)
48. 87′86′: Jonathan Bauman on the scoresheet for ADT, making it 1–2. 1–2 · 0–6–93
49. 88′That is 3, and we only asked for 2.3 across ninety minutes. 1–2 · 0–6–94
50. 89′GOAL DISALLOWED · 88' Jonathan Bauman · ADT
51. 89′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 89' Atletico Grau win: 51% at kick-off, 5% now
52. 89′THE CALL SWINGS · 89' Draw is now our likeliest result at 92% (was ADT win 94%)
53. 89′🟥 RED CARD · 88' Jonathan Bauman · ADT
54. 90′Red cards for both sides: Atletico Grau down to ten, ADT to ten. The model does not price cards, so read the number with that in mind. 1–1 · 5–93–3
55. 90′🟨 YELLOW · 89' Joao Rojas · ADT
56. 90′SUBSTITUTION · 89' ADT · On: J. Alvino · Off: Angel Ojeda
57. 90′SUBSTITUTION · 89' ADT · On: Aylton Mazzo · Off: Aldair Rodríguez
58. 97′🟨 YELLOW · 90+6' D. Rodríguez · Atletico Grau
59. FTFULL TIME Atletico Grau 1–1 ADT
60. FTAtletico Grau 1–1 ADT · Atletico Grau win: wrong · Under 2.5: right · Not both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–0 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.