Club Guarani v 2 de Mayo prediction · Division Profesional

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Club GuaraniDraw2 de Mayo

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 22:30

Before kick-off · Match result · Club Guarani 45%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Club Guarani are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Club Guarani 45%, draw 30%, 2 de Mayo 25%. Over 2.5 goals 39%, both teams to score 45%.

The AI’s read on Club Guarani v 2 de MayoBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 24 Oct 00:02 · locked at kick-off

Club Guarani win45%

Draw30%

2 de Mayo win25%

Kick-offFRI 30 OCT · 22:30

RoundClausura · matchday 17

VenueEstadio Rogelio Livieres

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Club Guarani

2 de Mayo

7Days since last match13

Last match: 23 Oct · Division Profesional - Clausura

Last match: 17 Oct · Division Profesional - Clausura

2Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
5	2 de Mayo	15	+1	28
6	Club Guarani	16	+4	25

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · club guarani winFirst published 24 Oct 00:02 · locked at kick-off

45% The market–

Us45%

We make Club Guarani a 45% chance to win. The model expects 1.3–0.9, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 14%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Club Guarani v 2 de Mayo~~1.34 – 0.92

~~Form · last six in Division Profesional - Clausura this season · since 11 Sept~~W3 D2 L1 · W2 D1 L3

~~Table places · points 25 v 28~~6 v 5

Built from every result and the chances each side creates and concedes, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Club Guarani win	45%	–	–
Draw	30%	–	–
2 de Mayo win	25%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	39%	–	–
Both teams to score	45%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	67%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	19%	–	–
Club Guarani or draw	75%	–	–
Club Guarani clean sheet	40%	–	–
2 de Mayo clean sheet	27%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 13.7%

0123450 11.6 8.6 4.5 1 12.9 13.7 5.9 2 9.3 8.5 3.9 3 4.2 3.8 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Club Guarani down, 2 de Mayo across0–5 goals a side shown (99.7% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from the goals and expected goals of 711 Division Profesional - Clausura matches up to 24 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Division Profesional - Clausura matches have gone over 2.5 in 47.3% of games this season, across 93 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: the last 10 meetings in every competition we cover, 2.00 goals a meeting; 3 of 10 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Club Guarani at home: 1.17 scored, 1.33 conceded a game (last 6). 2 de Mayo away: 1.17 scored, 1.50 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.34 goals for Club Guarani, 0.92 for 2 de Mayo. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

Last 10 meetings

~~Goals a meeting~~2.00

~~Over 2.5~~3 of 10

~~Both scored~~4 of 10

~~Last meetings~~DEM 0–0 CLU · DEM 2–2 CLU · CLU 1–1 DEM · DEM 1–0 CLU

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Division Profesional - Clausura this season · since 11 Sept

CLUB GUARANI

WWDDLW1–0 · 1–0 · 1–1 · 2–2 · 0–2 · 2–0

2 DE MAYO

LLDWWL0–2 · 0–3 · 2–2 · 2–0 · 1–0 · 0–3

The table

2026

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Olimpia	15	+15	30
2	Libertad Asuncion	16	+7	30
3	Sportivo Trinidense	16	+12	30
4	Nacional Asuncion	16	+14	29
5	2 de Mayo	15	+1	28
6	Club Guarani	16	+4	25
7	Cerro Porteno	15	+4	21
8	Sportivo Ameliano	15	−1	19
9	Sportivo Luqueno	16	−13	16
10	Rubio NU	16	−12	13
11	Deportivo Recoleta	15	−12	11
12	Club Sp. San Lorenzo	15	−19	4