Tacuary v Independiente F.b.c.

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Independiente F.b.c. win at 42%.
2. 1′Much as we predicted: Independiente F.b.c. was 42% before kick-off and our model makes it 42% now. 0–0 · 31–27–42
3. 1′KICK-OFF Tacuary v Independiente F.b.c.
4. 13′Independiente F.b.c. find the net on 13′. 0–1. 0–1 · 12–18–70
5. 13′⚽ GOAL · 13' Tacuary 0–1 Independiente F.b.c.
6. 13′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 13' Independiente F.b.c. win: 42% at kick-off, 70% now
7. 14′We published Independiente F.b.c. at 42%. Our model now makes it 70%. 0–1 · 12–18–70
8. 29′⚽ GOAL · 29' Tacuary 1–1 Independiente F.b.c.
9. 29′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 29' Independiente F.b.c. win: 42% at kick-off, 38% now
10. 30′A goal for Tacuary on 29′ — 1–1. 1–1 · 29–33–38
11. 43′THE CALL SWINGS · 43' Draw is now our likeliest result at 39% (was Independiente F.b.c. win 36%)
12. 45′HALF-TIME Tacuary 1–1 Independiente F.b.c.
13. 46′SECOND HALF Tacuary 1–1 Independiente F.b.c.
14. 50′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 50' Independiente F.b.c. win: 42% at kick-off, 32% now
15. 51′Tacuary score on 51′ to make it 2–1. 2–1 · 68–23–9
16. 51′⚽ GOAL · 51' Tacuary 2–1 Independiente F.b.c.
17. 51′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 51' Independiente F.b.c. win: 42% at kick-off, 9% now
18. 51′THE CALL SWINGS · 51' Tacuary win is now our likeliest result at 68% (was Draw 43%)
19. 52′We said Independiente F.b.c. at 42%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 9%. 2–1 · 69–23–9
20. 53′That is 3, and we only asked for 2.7 across ninety minutes. 2–1 · 69–23–8
21. 67′We said Independiente F.b.c. at 42%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 4%. 2–1 · 76–20–4
22. 74′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 74' Independiente F.b.c. win: 42% at kick-off, 2% now
23. 77′Tacuary find the net on 76′. 3–1. 3–1 · 98–2–0
24. 77′4 goals already, more than the 2.7 we expected for the whole match. 3–1 · 98–2–0
25. 77′⚽ GOAL · 76' Tacuary 3–1 Independiente F.b.c.
26. 90′A goal for Independiente F.b.c. on 89′ — 3–2. 3–2 · 95–4–0
27. 90′That is 5, and we only asked for 2.7 across ninety minutes. 3–2 · 95–4–0
28. 90′⚽ GOAL · 89' Tacuary 3–2 Independiente F.b.c.
29. FTFULL TIME Tacuary 3–2 Independiente F.b.c.
30. FTTacuary 3–2 Independiente F.b.c. · Independiente F.b.c. win: wrong · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.