Sportivo Carapeguá v Resistencia

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Sportivo Carapeguá win at 41%.
2. 1′Little has changed for our model: Sportivo Carapeguá 41% before kick-off, 42% now. 0–0 · 42–25–33
3. 1′KICK-OFF Sportivo Carapeguá v Resistencia
4. 18′Sportivo Carapeguá score on 17′ to make it 1–0. 1–0 · 68–20–12
5. 18′We said Sportivo Carapeguá at 41% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 68%. 1–0 · 68–20–12
6. 18′⚽ GOAL · 17' Sportivo Carapeguá 1–0 Resistencia
7. 18′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 18' Sportivo Carapeguá win: 41% at kick-off, 68% now
8. 29′We said Sportivo Carapeguá at 41% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 70%. 1–0 · 70–20–10
9. 30′The goal count is tracking the 2.8 we expected. 1–0 · 70–20–10
10. 37′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 37' Sportivo Carapeguá win: 41% at kick-off, 71% now
11. 45′HALF-TIME Sportivo Carapeguá 1–0 Resistencia
12. 46′SECOND HALF Sportivo Carapeguá 1–0 Resistencia
13. 55′We said Sportivo Carapeguá at 41% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 75%. 1–0 · 75–20–6
14. 67′We said Sportivo Carapeguá at 41% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 80%. 1–0 · 80–17–3
15. 69′Resistencia find the net on 68′. 1–1. 1–1 · 23–58–19
16. 69′We said Sportivo Carapeguá at 41%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 23%. 1–1 · 23–58–19
17. 69′⚽ GOAL · 68' Sportivo Carapeguá 1–1 Resistencia
18. 69′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 69' Sportivo Carapeguá win: 41% at kick-off, 23% now
19. 69′THE CALL SWINGS · 69' Draw is now our likeliest result at 58% (was Sportivo Carapeguá win 23%)
20. 72′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 72' Sportivo Carapeguá win: 41% at kick-off, 21% now
21. 74′We said Sportivo Carapeguá at 41%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 19%. 1–1 · 19–65–16
22. 80′We said Sportivo Carapeguá at 41%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 13%. 1–1 · 13–75–12
23. 82′A goal for Resistencia on 81′ — 1–2. 1–2 · 1–11–89
24. 82′⚽ GOAL · 81' Sportivo Carapeguá 1–2 Resistencia
25. 82′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 82' Sportivo Carapeguá win: 41% at kick-off, 1% now
26. 82′THE CALL SWINGS · 82' Resistencia win is now our likeliest result at 89% (was Draw 11%)
27. 83′We said Sportivo Carapeguá at 41%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 1%. 1–2 · 1–9–90
28. 83′3 goals already, more than the 2.8 we expected for the whole match. 1–2 · 1–9–90
29. FTFULL TIME Sportivo Carapeguá 1–2 Resistencia
30. FTSportivo Carapeguá 1–2 Resistencia · Sportivo Carapeguá win: wrong · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.