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SOL DE America v Atlético Tembetary

SOL DE America
1–1Full time
Atlético Tembetary

Division Intermedia · SAT 24 OCT · Estadio Luis Alfonso Giagni

Full timeGraded 24 Oct 16:33
SOL DE America 1–1 Atlético Tembetary SOL DE AMERICA WIN · WRONGUNDER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · RIGHT
We said SOL DE America win46%
The market said50%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.810
The market’s Brier score0.860

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay11 notes · 15 alerts
  1. 0′Before kick-off: we said SOL DE America win at 46%.
  2. 1′Much as we predicted: SOL DE America was 46% before kick-off and our model makes it 46% now. 0–0 · 46–28–27
  3. 1′KICK-OFF SOL DE America v Atlético Tembetary
  4. 13′A goal for Atlético Tembetary on 13′ — 0–1. 0–1 · 21–23–56
  5. 13′We said SOL DE America at 46%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 21%. 0–1 · 21–23–56
  6. 13′⚽ GOAL · 13' SOL DE America 0–1 Atlético Tembetary
  7. 13′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 13' SOL DE America win: 46% at kick-off, 21% now
  8. 13′THE CALL SWINGS · 13' Atlético Tembetary win is now our likeliest result at 56% (was SOL DE America win 44%)
  9. 19′We said SOL DE America at 46%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 19%. 0–1 · 19–24–57
  10. 27′SOL DE America score on 26′ to make it 1–1. 1–1 · 42–33–26
  11. 27′⚽ GOAL · 26' SOL DE America 1–1 Atlético Tembetary
  12. 27′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 27' SOL DE America win: 46% at kick-off, 42% now
  13. 27′THE CALL SWINGS · 27' SOL DE America win is now our likeliest result at 42% (was Atlético Tembetary win 58%)
  14. 45′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 45' SOL DE America win: 46% at kick-off, 36% now
  15. 45′HALF-TIME SOL DE America 1–1 Atlético Tembetary
  16. 46′THE CALL SWINGS · 45+1' Draw is now our likeliest result at 41% (was SOL DE America win 38%)
  17. 46′SECOND HALF SOL DE America 1–1 Atlético Tembetary
  18. 51′We said SOL DE America at 46%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 34%. 1–1 · 34–43–22
  19. 56′Goals are coming at about the 2.6 we expected. 1–1 · 32–47–21
  20. 61′We said SOL DE America at 46%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 29%. 1–1 · 29–51–20
  21. 66′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 66' SOL DE America win: 46% at kick-off, 26% now
  22. 78′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 78' SOL DE America win: 46% at kick-off, 16% now
  23. 80′We said SOL DE America at 46%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 14%. 1–1 · 14–76–10
  24. 84′We said SOL DE America at 46%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 9%. 1–1 · 9–85–6
  25. 88′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 88' SOL DE America win: 46% at kick-off, 6% now
  26. 91′We said SOL DE America at 46%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 4%. 1–1 · 4–93–3
  27. FTFULL TIME SOL DE America 1–1 Atlético Tembetary
  28. FTSOL DE America 1–1 Atlético Tembetary · SOL DE America win: wrong · Under 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: right

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

SOL DE America are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: SOL DE America 46%, draw 27%, Atlético Tembetary 27%. Over 2.5 goals 48%, both teams to score 52%.

The AI’s read on SOL DE America v Atlético TembetaryBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 22 Oct 09:31 · locked at kick-off

SOL DE America win46%
Draw27%
Atlético Tembetary win27%

Kick-offSAT 24 OCT · 14:00

RoundMatchday 30

VenueEstadio Luis Alfonso Giagni

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

SOL DE America

Atlético Tembetary

6Days since last match7

Last match: 18 Oct · Division Intermedia

Last match: 17 Oct · Division Intermedia

2Matches in previous 14 days3

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026

Positions before kick-off

#TEAMPGDPTS
5SOL DE America29+744
10Atlético Tembetary29−736

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · sol de america winFirst published 22 Oct 09:31 · locked at kick-off
46% The market50%
Us46%
Market50%

We make SOL DE America a 46% chance to win. The market has them at 50%. We are 4 points less confident than the market. The model expects 1.5–1.1.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · SOL DE America v Atlético Tembetary1.52 – 1.09
Form · last six in Division Intermedia this season · since 13 SeptW3 D1 L2 · W2 D0 L4
Table places · points 44 v 365 v 10
The market · SOL DE America win50% · ours 46%

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published
45%50%55% 22 OCT 09:3124 OCT 13:35
Our probability · SOL DE America win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 50% now.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
SOL DE America win46%50%−4
Draw27%26%+1
Atlético Tembetary win27%24%+3
Over 2.5 goals48%53%−5
Both teams to score52%55%−3
Over 1.5 goals74%76%−2
Over 3.5 goals27%32%−5
SOL DE America or draw73%76%−3
SOL DE America clean sheet34%––
Atlético Tembetary clean sheet22%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 9 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 12.9%
0123450 8.5 7.2 4.4 1 10.2 12.9 6.6 2.4 2 8.4 9.0 4.9 3 4.3 4.6 2.5 4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+SOL DE America down, Atlético Tembetary across0–5 goals a side shown (99.3% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

2 meetings since 2024
Goals a meeting3.50
Over 2.51 of 2
Both scored2 of 2
Last meetingsATL 2–3 SOL · ATL 1–1 SOL

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Division Intermedia this season · since 13 Sept

SOL DE AMERICA

WLWDLW3–2 · 0–3 · 2–0 · 1–1 · 2–4 · 1–0

ATLÉTICO TEMBETARY

LLWWLL1–2 · 1–2 · 2–1 · 3–2 · 0–3 · 1–2

The table

2026
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Deportivo Santani29+2257
2General Caballero29+2156
312 de Junio VH29+1154
4Paraguari AC30+747
5SOL DE America29+744
6Independiente F.b.c.30+543
7Sportivo Carapeguá30−643
8Benjamín Aceval29+442
9Resistencia29039
10Atlético Tembetary29−736
11Deportivo Capiata29−335
12Fernando De La Mora29−1034
133 de Noviembre29−829
14Guairena FC30−1529
15Tacuary29−1427
16Encarnación29−1425

The competition's standings before kick-off.