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Guairena FC v Sportivo Carapeguá
Guairena FC
Sportivo CarapeguáDivision Intermedia · FRI 23 OCT
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Guairena FC win at 36%.
- 1′Little has changed for our model: Guairena FC 36% before kick-off, 36% now. 0–0 · 36–29–35
- 1′KICK-OFF Guairena FC v Sportivo Carapeguá
- 33′THE CALL SWINGS · 33' Draw is now our likeliest result at 37% (was Guairena FC win 34%)
- 45′HALF-TIME Guairena FC 0–0 Sportivo Carapeguá
- 46′SECOND HALF Guairena FC 0–0 Sportivo Carapeguá
- 55′Goalless on 55′ when we expected about 2.5 goals — that one is getting away from us. 0–0 · 26–48–26
- 55′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 55' Guairena FC win: 36% at kick-off, 26% now
- 61′We said Guairena FC at 36%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 24%. 0–0 · 24–53–23
- 70′We said Guairena FC at 36%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 19%. 0–0 · 19–62–19
- 74′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 74' Guairena FC win: 36% at kick-off, 16% now
- 77′We said Guairena FC at 36%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 14%. 0–0 · 14–72–14
- 82′We said Guairena FC at 36%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 9%. 0–0 · 9–81–9
- 86′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 86' Guairena FC win: 36% at kick-off, 6% now
- 91′We said Guairena FC at 36%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 3%. 0–0 · 3–93–3
- FTFULL TIME Guairena FC 0–0 Sportivo Carapeguá
- FTGuairena FC 0–0 Sportivo Carapeguá · Guairena FC win: wrong · Under 2.5: right · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: wrong · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
Close to call, with Guairena FC just ahead.
The Pitchside prediction: Guairena FC 36%, draw 29%, Sportivo Carapeguá 35%. Over 2.5 goals 45%, both teams to score 51%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 22 Oct 09:01 · locked at kick-off
Guairena FC win36%
Sportivo Carapeguá win35%Kick-offFRI 23 OCT · 20:30
RoundMatchday 30
Match timeline
All events
Guairena FCMIN
Sportivo CarapeguáEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Guairena FC
Sportivo Carapeguá
Last match: 19 Oct · Division Intermedia
Last match: 16 Oct · Division Intermedia
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make Guairena FC a 36% chance to win. The market has them at 36%. We are level with the market. The model expects 1.2–1.2.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 36% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Guairena FC win | 36% | 36% | 0 |
| Draw | 29% | 27% | +2 |
| Sportivo Carapeguá win | 35% | 37% | −2 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 45% | 53% | −8 |
| Both teams to score | 51% | 57% | −6 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 71% | 76% | −5 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 24% | 32% | −8 |
| Guairena FC or draw | 65% | 63% | +2 |
| Guairena FC clean sheet | 30% | – | – |
| Sportivo Carapeguá clean sheet | 29% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 7 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
5 meetings since 2023Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · last six in Division Intermedia this season · since 12 Sept
GUAIRENA FC
SPORTIVO CARAPEGUÁ
The table
2026| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Deportivo Santani | 29 | +22 | 57 |
| 2 | General Caballero | 29 | +21 | 56 |
| 3 | 12 de Junio VH | 29 | +11 | 54 |
| 4 | SOL DE America | 29 | +7 | 44 |
| 5 | Paraguari AC | 29 | +5 | 44 |
| 6 | Independiente F.b.c. | 29 | +7 | 43 |
| 7 | Benjamín Aceval | 29 | +4 | 42 |
| 8 | Sportivo Carapeguá | 29 | −6 | 42 |
| 9 | Resistencia | 29 | 0 | 39 |
| 10 | Atlético Tembetary | 29 | −7 | 36 |
| 11 | Deportivo Capiata | 29 | −3 | 35 |
| 12 | Fernando De La Mora | 29 | −10 | 34 |
| 13 | 3 de Noviembre | 29 | −8 | 29 |
| 14 | Guairena FC | 29 | −15 | 28 |
| 15 | Tacuary | 29 | −14 | 27 |
| 16 | Encarnación | 29 | −14 | 25 |
The competition's standings before kick-off.
Deportivo Santani
General Caballero
12 de Junio VH
SOL DE America
Paraguari AC
Independiente F.b.c.
Benjamín Aceval
Resistencia
Atlético Tembetary
Deportivo Capiata
Fernando De La Mora
3 de Noviembre
Tacuary
Encarnación