Encarnación v General Caballero

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said General Caballero win at 54%.
2. 1′Much as we predicted: General Caballero was 54% before kick-off and our model makes it 54% now. 0–0 · 22–24–54
3. 1′KICK-OFF Encarnación v General Caballero
4. 28′Encarnación find the net on 28′. 0–0 · 22–29–48
5. 28′We said General Caballero at 54%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 23%. 1–0 · 52–25–23
6. 28′⚽ GOAL · 28' Encarnación 1–0 General Caballero
7. 28′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 28' General Caballero win: 54% at kick-off, 23% now
8. 28′THE CALL SWINGS · 28' Encarnación win is now our likeliest result at 52% (was General Caballero win 48%)
9. 30′Goals are coming at about the 3.0 we expected. 1–0 · 52–25–22
10. 33′A goal for Encarnación on 32′. 1–0 · 53–26–21
11. 33′We said General Caballero at 54%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 7%. 2–0 · 79–14–7
12. 33′⚽ GOAL · 32' Encarnación 2–0 General Caballero
13. 33′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 33' General Caballero win: 54% at kick-off, 7% now
14. 45′HALF-TIME Encarnación 2–0 General Caballero
15. 45′SECOND HALF Encarnación 2–0 General Caballero
16. 46′We said General Caballero at 54%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 4%. 2–0 · 84–11–4
17. 46′General Caballero find the net on 46′. 2–1. 2–1 · 58–26–16
18. 46′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 45+1' General Caballero win: 54% at kick-off, 4% now
19. 46′⚽ GOAL · 46' Encarnación 2–1 General Caballero
20. 46′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 46' General Caballero win: 54% at kick-off, 16% now
21. 48′We said General Caballero at 54%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 15%. 2–1 · 59–26–15
22. 50′We said General Caballero at 54%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 14%. 2–1 · 59–26–14
23. 53′A goal for Encarnación on 52′. 2–1 · 61–26–13
24. 53′4 goals already, more than the 3.0 we expected for the whole match. 3–1 · 87–10–3
25. 53′⚽ GOAL · 52' Encarnación 3–1 General Caballero
26. 53′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 53' General Caballero win: 54% at kick-off, 3% now
27. 82′That is 5, and we only asked for 3.0 across ninety minutes. 3–2 · 86–13–1
28. 82′⚽ GOAL · 82' Encarnación 3–2 General Caballero
29. 83′General Caballero score on 82′ to make it 3–2. 3–2 · 87–12–1
30. FTFULL TIME Encarnación 3–2 General Caballero
31. FTEncarnación 3–2 General Caballero · General Caballero win: wrong · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.