Benjamín Aceval v SOL DE America

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Benjamín Aceval win at 37%.
2. 1′Little has changed for our model: Benjamín Aceval 37% before kick-off, 37% now. 0–0 · 37–28–35
3. 1′KICK-OFF Benjamín Aceval v SOL DE America
4. 24′We said Benjamín Aceval at 37%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 13%. 0–1 · 13–21–66
5. 24′⚽ GOAL · 24' Benjamín Aceval 0–1 SOL DE America
6. 24′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 24' Benjamín Aceval win: 37% at kick-off, 13% now
7. 24′THE CALL SWINGS · 24' SOL DE America win is now our likeliest result at 66% (was Benjamín Aceval win 13%)
8. 25′A goal for SOL DE America on 25′ — 0–1. 0–1 · 13–21–66
9. 30′The goal count is tracking the 2.6 we expected. 0–1 · 12–22–66
10. 42′We said Benjamín Aceval at 37%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 9%. 0–1 · 9–22–69
11. 45′SECOND HALF Benjamín Aceval 0–1 SOL DE America
12. 46′HALF-TIME Benjamín Aceval 0–1 SOL DE America
13. 49′🟥 RED CARD · 49' SOL DE America
14. 50′SOL DE America are down to ten from 50′. Our number never saw that coming — nothing here adjusts for it. 0–1 · 7–21–71
15. 50′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 50' Benjamín Aceval win: 37% at kick-off, 7% now
16. 63′We said Benjamín Aceval at 37%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 4%. 0–1 · 4–19–76
17. 95′0–1 at the end. Our 37% on Benjamín Aceval misses, and the record keeps it. 0–1 · 0–0–100
18. FTFULL TIME Benjamín Aceval 0–1 SOL DE America
19. FTBenjamín Aceval 0–1 SOL DE America · Benjamín Aceval win: wrong · Under 2.5: right · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: wrong · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.