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Home › Football › Division Intermedia › Atlético Tembetary v Deportivo Capiata

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Atlético Tembetary v Deportivo Capiata

Atlético Tembetary
1–2Full time
Deportivo Capiata

Division Intermedia · SAT 17 OCT

Full timeGraded 17 Oct 17:28
Atlético Tembetary 1–2 Deportivo Capiata ATLÉTICO TEMBETARY WIN · WRONGUNDER 2.5 · WRONGBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said Atlético Tembetary win39%
The market said37%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.674
The market’s Brier score0.681

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay15 notes · 14 alerts
  1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Atlético Tembetary win at 39%.
  2. 1′Much as we predicted: Atlético Tembetary was 39% before kick-off and our model makes it 39% now. 0–0 · 39–28–33
  3. 1′KICK-OFF Atlético Tembetary v Deportivo Capiata
  4. 10′Atlético Tembetary find the net on 10′. 1–0. 1–0 · 67–19–13
  5. 10′⚽ GOAL · 10' Atlético Tembetary 1–0 Deportivo Capiata
  6. 10′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 10' Atlético Tembetary win: 39% at kick-off, 67% now
  7. 11′We published Atlético Tembetary at 39%. Our model now makes it 67%. 1–0 · 67–19–13
  8. 23′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 23' Atlético Tembetary win: 39% at kick-off, 69% now
  9. 30′Goals are coming at about the 2.6 we expected. 1–0 · 69–20–10
  10. 31′We published Atlético Tembetary at 39%. Our model now makes it 70%. 1–0 · 70–20–10
  11. 41′A goal for Deportivo Capiata on 41′ — 1–1. 1–1 · 33–39–29
  12. 41′⚽ GOAL · 41' Atlético Tembetary 1–1 Deportivo Capiata
  13. 41′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 41' Atlético Tembetary win: 39% at kick-off, 33% now
  14. 41′THE CALL SWINGS · 41' Draw is now our likeliest result at 39% (was Atlético Tembetary win 33%)
  15. 45′HALF-TIME Atlético Tembetary 1–1 Deportivo Capiata
  16. 46′A. Oviedo scores for Deportivo Capiata on 42′ — 1–1. 1–1 · 31–41–28
  17. 46′SECOND HALF Atlético Tembetary 1–1 Deportivo Capiata
  18. 49′A. Oviedo scores for Deportivo Capiata on 42′ — 1–1. 1–1 · 30–43–27
  19. 50′Much as we predicted: Atlético Tembetary was 39% before kick-off and our model makes it 30% now. 1–1 · 30–43–27
  20. 52′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 52' Atlético Tembetary win: 39% at kick-off, 29% now
  21. 56′Goals are coming at about the 2.6 we expected. 1–1 · 28–47–25
  22. 57′We said Atlético Tembetary at 39%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 27%. 1–1 · 27–48–25
  23. 64′We said Atlético Tembetary at 39%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 24%. 1–1 · 24–54–22
  24. 71′Deportivo Capiata score on 71′ to make it 1–2. 1–2 · 3–17–80
  25. 71′We said Atlético Tembetary at 39%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 3%. 1–2 · 3–17–80
  26. 71′That is 3, and we only asked for 2.6 across ninety minutes. 1–2 · 3–17–80
  27. 71′⚽ GOAL · 71' Atlético Tembetary 1–2 Deportivo Capiata
  28. 71′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 71' Atlético Tembetary win: 39% at kick-off, 3% now
  29. 71′THE CALL SWINGS · 71' Deportivo Capiata win is now our likeliest result at 80% (was Draw 17%)
  30. FTFULL TIME Atlético Tembetary 1–2 Deportivo Capiata
  31. FTAtlético Tembetary 1–2 Deportivo Capiata · Atlético Tembetary win: wrong · Under 2.5: wrong · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pass
Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Atlético Tembetary are narrow favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Atlético Tembetary 39%, draw 28%, Deportivo Capiata 33%. Over 2.5 goals 48%, both teams to score 53%.

The AI’s read on Atlético Tembetary v Deportivo CapiataBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 15 Oct 04:33 · locked at kick-off

Atlético Tembetary win39%
Draw28%
Deportivo Capiata win33%

Kick-offSAT 17 OCT · 14:00

RoundMatchday 29

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Atlético Tembetary

Deportivo Capiata

3Days since last match5

Last match: 14 Oct · Copa Paraguay

Last match: 12 Oct · Division Intermedia

3Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026

Positions before kick-off

#TEAMPGDPTS
10Atlético Tembetary28−636
12Deportivo Capiata28−432

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · atlético tembetary winFirst published 15 Oct 04:33 · locked at kick-off
39% The market37%
Us39%
Market37%

We make Atlético Tembetary a 39% chance to win. The market has them at 37%. We are within 2 points of the market. The model expects 1.4–1.2.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Atlético Tembetary v Deportivo Capiata1.36 – 1.24
Form · last six in Division Intermedia this season · since 9 SeptW2 D1 L3 · W1 D2 L3
Table places · points 36 v 3210 v 12
The market · Atlético Tembetary win37% · ours 39%

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published
35%40%45% 15 OCT 04:5317 OCT 13:28
Our probability · Atlético Tembetary win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 37% now.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Atlético Tembetary win39%37%+2
Draw28%31%−3
Deportivo Capiata win33%33%0
Over 2.5 goals48%43%+5
Both teams to score53%50%+3
Over 1.5 goals74%68%+6
Over 3.5 goals27%24%+3
Atlético Tembetary or draw67%67%0
Atlético Tembetary clean sheet29%––
Deportivo Capiata clean sheet26%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 6 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 13.2%
0123450 8.6 8.3 5.7 2.4 1 9.2 13.2 7.6 3.2 2 6.8 8.3 5.2 2.2 3 3.1 3.8 2.4 4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Atlético Tembetary down, Deportivo Capiata across0–5 goals a side shown (99.4% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

1 meeting since 2024
Goals a meeting4.00
Over 2.51 of 1
Both scored1 of 1
Last meetingsDEP 1–3 ATL

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Division Intermedia this season · since 9 Sept

ATLÉTICO TEMBETARY

DLLWWL1–1 · 1–2 · 1–2 · 2–1 · 3–2 · 0–3

DEPORTIVO CAPIATA

LLLDDW0–1 · 0–1 · 1–3 · 0–0 · 1–1 · 3–1

The table

2026
#TEAMPGDPTS
1General Caballero28+2256
2Deportivo Santani28+2054
312 de Junio VH28+951
4Independiente F.b.c.28+843
5Benjamín Aceval28+542
6Sportivo Carapeguá29−642
7SOL DE America28+641
8Paraguari AC28+341
9Resistencia29039
10Atlético Tembetary28−636
11Fernando De La Mora28−834
12Deportivo Capiata28−432
133 de Noviembre28−629
14Guairena FC28−1328
15Tacuary28−1524
16Encarnación28−1522

The competition's standings before kick-off.